Market · 20 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 25,218 | 96.8¢ | $24.9K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,390 bets |
| kreere0x5d13…cb62 | No | 11,075 | 90.3¢ | $10.9K | New10 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 10,901 | 98.9¢ | $10.7K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 10,335 | 89.4¢ | $10.2K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| Siddhartha10xc95e…1288 | No | 10,306 | 98.0¢ | $10.2K | New96 settled bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 9,012 | 88.5¢ | $8.88K | New57 settled bets |
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 7,411 | 98.6¢ | $7.3K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 125 bets |
| Plainview0xe58f…75a4 | No | 5,000 | 94.0¢ | $4.93K | New38 settled bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 3,162 | 86.0¢ | $3.12K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 2,596 | 88.9¢ | $2.56K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No | 2,500 | 94.9¢ | $2.46K | New52 settled bets |
| beastprinting0x4952…44b7 | No | 2,016 | 88.2¢ | $1.99K | New89 settled bets |
| ls10xbea1…2909 | No | 1,579 | 95.3¢ | $1.56K | — |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 1,118 | 89.4¢ | $1.1K | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| prostaker0x9cf5…c7d5 | No | 1,010 | 88.0¢ | $995 | — |
| Art08880x161a…b515 | No | 814 | 86.0¢ | $802 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 586 | 98.5¢ | $578 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| bkhm170xb725…39e8 | No | 539 | 97.6¢ | $531 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 35,356 | 1.4¢ | $513 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| kingminer0010x04fa…f43f | No | 500 | 98.7¢ | $493 | — |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 478 | 96.0¢ | $472 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| MeltersFTW0xc3ce…f646 | No | 462 | 85.6¢ | $455 | Proven+$5.85 per $100 · 205 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 417 | 95.3¢ | $411 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| 3menfuckhallis0x6410…ea31 | No | 300 | 98.5¢ | $296 | — |
| Tomas77770xf9c0…62b2 | No | 300 | 98.7¢ | $296 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 288 | 98.4¢ | $284 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| plmk20xc6ca…6038 | No | 282 | 84.0¢ | $277 | — |
| low.iq.games0xc4de…9b81 | No | 280 | 93.0¢ | $276 | — |
| lasoncalac0x8a05…3b04 | No | 270 | 93.0¢ | $266 | — |
| winla880x8deb…d435 | No | 237 | 84.2¢ | $233 | — |
| Fredrpa0xf4ce…865c | Yes | 14,228 | 13.4¢ | $206 | — |
| billguts0xd375…f2f5 | No | 206 | 93.0¢ | $203 | — |
| SilentHamster0x2fba…fd69 | No | 204 | 98.0¢ | $201 | — |
| EchoKernel0x41e7…5124 | No | 204 | 98.0¢ | $201 | — |
| VectorHaven0x6214…c4a0 | No | 204 | 98.0¢ | $201 | — |
| CosmicPotato0xfcf1…6ea0 | No | 203 | 98.5¢ | $200 | — |
| doramifa0x21a8…1aec | No | 200 | 93.0¢ | $197 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 455 bets |
| this15cleverboy0x30dd…bb80 | No | 195 | 98.6¢ | $192 | — |
| hezuohuoban0x411a…5a86 | No | 188 | 95.0¢ | $185 | — |
| conrad8880x4068…f4d6 | Yes | 11,295 | 5.5¢ | $164 | — |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 152 | 98.8¢ | $150 | — |
| Tomoon88990x4e78…9d93 | No | 145 | 83.7¢ | $143 | — |
| qianbei0x2110…45c4 | No | 143 | 98.3¢ | $141 | — |
| wingtwo80xcdfd…6b71 | No | 142 | 83.5¢ | $140 | — |
| 0x2a42…246b | No | 140 | 94.9¢ | $138 | — |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 9,372 | 6.5¢ | $136 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| m440x65fe…911e | No | 118 | 98.5¢ | $116 | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 680 bets |
| porty0xe832…ab8e | No | 113 | 93.0¢ | $111 | — |
| jiljack0x1388…8fd8 | No | 112 | 98.4¢ | $110 | — |
| lenny48780x753c…e3ad | No | 106 | 95.0¢ | $104 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 175 bets |
| PadreMaronno0xc468…009d | No | 100 | 73.0¢ | $99 | — |
| nefedmiop0x1d52…530d | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $99 | — |
| Cyberflems0x49c4…bf77 | No | 100 | 95.1¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,433 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 92 | 80.0¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 3,968 | 2.8¢ | $58 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| ronniegrob0x5494…85fe | Yes | 3,183 | 9.5¢ | $46 | New43 settled bets |
| SigmoidFreund0xdefd…99c5 | Yes | 3,030 | 16.6¢ | $44 | — |
| Volosaty1000xf138…d815 | Yes | 2,500 | 8.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 000088880x8948…28d5 | Yes | 2,351 | 11.8¢ | $34 | — |
| Sasquash0xa97a…861f | Yes | 2,206 | 4.8¢ | $32 | — |
| Angisa0xf9d1…d610 | Yes | 1,727 | 3.8¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 1,665 | 2.2¢ | $24 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| mmaket0xab16…d5dc | Yes | 1,450 | 2.0¢ | $21 | New15 settled bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 1,262 | 2.9¢ | $18 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 1,257 | 28.1¢ | $18 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| szx33190xcc33…a4e9 | Yes | 1,067 | 3.5¢ | $15 | — |
| Lumberjack0xfb5d…be63 | Yes | 1,065 | 10.2¢ | $15 | — |
| BullRunWaitingRoom0x231e…9297 | Yes | 800 | 8.0¢ | $12 | — |
| SportsPsychology1010x56e2…4b88 | Yes | 751 | 1.8¢ | $11 | Proven+$12.79 per $100 · 110 bets |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | Yes | 701 | 1.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 659 | 10.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xc6aa…4949 | Yes | 591 | 1.8¢ | $9 | — |
| Maxtyt0xbd27…2807 | Yes | 578 | 7.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$12.41 per $100 · 164 bets |
| Brucelee20200x90b2…0478 | Yes | 526 | 19.0¢ | $8 | — |
| TheCandyManCan0xe95f…93d6 | Yes | 515 | 1.1¢ | $7 | — |
| SDIO92nBiQ0x036c…2ceb | Yes | 500 | 7.0¢ | $7 | — |
| pslaw0x3f13…ca9a | Yes | 500 | 6.0¢ | $7 | — |
| rocky420230xd035…f165 | Yes | 474 | 12.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x2f80…e1dd | Yes | 471 | 7.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ertanari0x6e92…4f4e | Yes | 451 | 9.9¢ | $7 | — |
| K2C0x04db…c253 | Yes | 432 | 2.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x773f…24dd | Yes | 420 | 4.5¢ | $6 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 403 | 2.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Volku0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | 400 | 3.9¢ | $6 | — |
| TonyChao0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | 376 | 4.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 375 | 1.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Viper260xb5e1…ab72 | Yes | 366 | 2.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Pokdmon0x6aed…d4fa | Yes | 308 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AlphaAbot0xcc42…3679 | Yes | 276 | 5.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Naudway0x09ae…004e | Yes | 250 | 7.0¢ | $4 | — |
| graysonmiawalker0x535f…9667 | Yes | 235 | 2.4¢ | $3 | — |
| nezna10xf98e…5e58 | Yes | 206 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 200 | 1.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| lucasadonisryan0x659c…d142 | Yes | 200 | 2.4¢ | $3 | — |
| souzafamily0x7649…b00b | Yes | 190 | 2.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd80c…54fd | Yes | 167 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x94f9…fbbd | Yes | 167 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 160 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| 0x66eb…1385 | Yes | 157 | 6.8¢ | $2 | — |
| lliantu0x4947…30b2 | Yes | 150 | 5.7¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.