Market · 20 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 4 events · $16.9M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 65,997 | 97.6¢ | $65K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 30,000 | 87.3¢ | $29.6K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 19,960 | 95.5¢ | $19.7K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 10,498 | 86.0¢ | $10.3K | New57 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 5,355 | 98.3¢ | $5.28K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| Plainview0xe58f…75a4 | No | 3,139 | 94.0¢ | $3.09K | New38 settled bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 1,224 | 94.4¢ | $1.21K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 1,145 | 97.3¢ | $1.13K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 989 | 84.0¢ | $975 | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 874 | 97.9¢ | $861 | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 3,350 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 55,518 | 2.5¢ | $805 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 724 | 87.1¢ | $713 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| Art08880x161a…b515 | No | 714 | 84.0¢ | $704 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 384 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 702 | 98.7¢ | $692 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 611 | 92.7¢ | $602 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| caroline.name0x6dee…f4e6 | No | 511 | 94.0¢ | $503 | Proven+$2.38 per $100 · 1,789 bets |
| the5season0x1500…d35a | No | 500 | 98.1¢ | $493 | New48 settled bets |
| MontyWalsh0x648c…09c6 | No | 500 | 92.0¢ | $493 | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 479 bets |
| this15cleverboy0x30dd…bb80 | No | 500 | 98.1¢ | $493 | New34 settled bets |
| 13yearsold0xb708…62fb | No | 416 | 97.6¢ | $410 | — |
| MeltersFTW0xc3ce…f646 | No | 400 | 81.0¢ | $394 | Proven+$5.85 per $100 · 205 bets |
| Fredrpa0xf4ce…865c | Yes | 23,246 | 11.0¢ | $337 | — |
| trzorira20x6d71…82e5 | No | 303 | 90.5¢ | $298 | New98 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 269 | 92.4¢ | $265 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| ArbitrageTaker0x5e92…618a | No | 266 | 98.0¢ | $262 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 127 bets |
| bistrogons0x793f…4ee5 | No | 234 | 92.0¢ | $231 | Proven+$3.52 per $100 · 1,012 bets |
| FreeBird90x876f…e56f | No | 188 | 94.0¢ | $186 | — |
| 3menfuckhallis0x6410…ea31 | No | 183 | 98.7¢ | $180 | New64 settled bets |
| 0xc6aa…4949 | Yes | 12,106 | 1.7¢ | $176 | — |
| VladislavaP0xe563…398b | No | 130 | 93.9¢ | $128 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 130 | 93.9¢ | $128 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| MZMMJP0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | 7,585 | 3.8¢ | $110 | New15 settled bets |
| Wenkie30x0e4f…81a1 | No | 106 | 98.4¢ | $104 | Losing−$1.05 per $100 · 502 bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 7,130 | 5.8¢ | $103 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| f2440x3c52…9eae | No | 102 | 98.0¢ | $101 | Losing−$2.90 per $100 · 433 bets |
| yhgjuk3j0x8aad…1155 | No | 101 | 99.0¢ | $100 | — |
| slothtastic0x3bc4…2d14 | No | 100 | 97.4¢ | $99 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 283 bets |
| gh4679ert0x2491…2aa6 | No | 100 | 97.2¢ | $99 | New16 settled bets |
| Cyberflems0x49c4…bf77 | No | 100 | 94.0¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 1,434 bets |
| uioio000x5139…176f | No | 100 | 94.1¢ | $99 | New26 settled bets |
| PadreMaronno0xc468…009d | No | 100 | 68.1¢ | $99 | — |
| wingtwo80xcdfd…6b71 | No | 100 | 79.0¢ | $99 | — |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 100 | 85.0¢ | $99 | — |
| plmk20xc6ca…6038 | No | 85 | 80.2¢ | $84 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 79 | 98.6¢ | $78 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 131,061 bets |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 65 | 81.0¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| conrad8880x4068…f4d6 | Yes | 4,100 | 7.0¢ | $59 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 4,096 | 3.3¢ | $59 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,051 bets |
| xareismco0xc20c…81cf | No | 58 | 98.1¢ | $57 | — |
| jhoonn0xd275…12df | Yes | 3,849 | 8.8¢ | $56 | — |
| DutchX0x8100…3d30 | Yes | 3,846 | 2.8¢ | $56 | New8 settled bets |
| harryshpric0x0ace…58de | No | 52 | 97.9¢ | $51 | New16 settled bets |
| lifewousQ0xa795…c5c6 | No | 52 | 97.8¢ | $51 | — |
| drdeisel0x94a5…4e99 | No | 50 | 97.4¢ | $49 | — |
| holylocke0x6dbb…75b6 | No | 50 | 97.4¢ | $49 | New22 settled bets |
| wqdas321310x528e…cdc6 | No | 47 | 97.9¢ | $46 | New9 settled bets |
| asdasdasda1231230xea06…7458 | No | 46 | 97.9¢ | $45 | — |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 40 | 98.8¢ | $39 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| Brucelee20200x90b2…0478 | Yes | 2,360 | 12.7¢ | $34 | — |
| Paradoxpnz0x6afd…a313 | Yes | 2,143 | 1.5¢ | $31 | New4 settled bets |
| 140k0x29b0…a940 | Yes | 1,613 | 6.9¢ | $23 | Losing−$9.45 per $100 · 104 bets |
| Evelyn730xb956…0ec7 | Yes | 1,553 | 4.0¢ | $23 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,902 bets |
| JesusKingofKings0x1c00…741d | Yes | 1,087 | 2.5¢ | $16 | Losing−$9.82 per $100 · 924 bets |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 1,047 | 31.3¢ | $15 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| Rodion550xdea2…308b | Yes | 909 | 11.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Volku0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | 809 | 6.2¢ | $12 | Losing−$81.54 per $100 · 148 bets |
| Kartun0xf37b…5099 | Yes | 800 | 9.7¢ | $12 | — |
| titi127320xe5c3…7f0b | Yes | 775 | 12.9¢ | $11 | — |
| kegeraider10x5b82…ce6e | Yes | 769 | 13.0¢ | $11 | New25 settled bets |
| 0x57e1…9a45 | Yes | 703 | 4.6¢ | $10 | New17 settled bets |
| fhkoey90bsdcqx47w0x5831…3f6c | Yes | 700 | 13.0¢ | $10 | New37 settled bets |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 692 | 10.2¢ | $10 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 629 | 3.9¢ | $9 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 586 | 13.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.25 per $100 · 531 bets |
| slickBeach34560x7f5b…64fb | Yes | 556 | 18.0¢ | $8 | New2 settled bets |
| agdi0xdb55…85af | Yes | 416 | 6.1¢ | $6 | — |
| K2C0x04db…c253 | Yes | 404 | 2.6¢ | $6 | New64 settled bets |
| ertanari0x6e92…4f4e | Yes | 392 | 9.7¢ | $6 | New12 settled bets |
| TonyChao0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | 379 | 5.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$15.76 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 369 | 2.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Elonmama0xf91a…adb4 | Yes | 328 | 9.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ronniegrob0x5494…85fe | Yes | 318 | 5.0¢ | $5 | New43 settled bets |
| Lumberjack0xfb5d…be63 | Yes | 312 | 12.2¢ | $5 | — |
| BetElonia0xea22…747a | Yes | 228 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| SigmoidFreund0xdefd…99c5 | Yes | 222 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| wAliens0xddae…52c4 | Yes | 204 | 2.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x71690x1d44…c1e8 | Yes | 200 | 1.8¢ | $3 | New14 settled bets |
| lliantu0x4947…30b2 | Yes | 190 | 6.1¢ | $3 | New84 settled bets |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 190 | 2.5¢ | $3 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| agbob0xaff1…141e | Yes | 161 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$13.12 per $100 · 465 bets |
| 0x093d…7e85 | Yes | 154 | 13.0¢ | $2 | New23 settled bets |
| RPro0x7089…7351 | Yes | 148 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.08 per $100 · 1,045 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 137 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | 136 | 6.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 129 | 1.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd585…0f14 | Yes | 125 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| muhammadakbarlatifkhan0x632b…c768 | Yes | 108 | 8.0¢ | $2 | New3 settled bets |
| ducavendish0x4352…fbac | Yes | 100 | 6.6¢ | $1 | New91 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.