Market · 16 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 54 overlapping windows · 5 events · $16.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 43,049 | 94.6¢ | $42K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 20,000 | 83.0¢ | $19.5K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 19,976 | 96.9¢ | $19.5K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 251 bets |
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 18,897 | 97.3¢ | $18.5K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| Sylvertrades0xe7ef…b402 | No | 17,662 | 92.8¢ | $17.2K | New7 settled bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 13,915 | 82.0¢ | $13.6K | New57 settled bets |
| 0xc449…bd48 | No | 13,827 | 81.7¢ | $13.5K | — |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No | 8,544 | 96.0¢ | $8.34K | New52 settled bets |
| Plainview0xe58f…75a4 | No | 7,000 | 92.4¢ | $6.84K | New38 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 6,708 | 97.6¢ | $6.55K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| xfinity0x919e…4e9b | No | 6,037 | 82.8¢ | $5.9K | New21 settled bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 5,872 | 90.0¢ | $5.73K | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 5,000 | 96.9¢ | $4.88K | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 13,127 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 5,000 | 84.0¢ | $4.88K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| 0xe120…283e | No | 3,914 | 96.0¢ | $3.82K | New13 settled bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 3,200 | 96.4¢ | $3.12K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 3,036 | 96.9¢ | $2.96K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 2,170 | 84.0¢ | $2.12K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| georgecalinescu86350x64ad…ca63 | No | 2,000 | 97.8¢ | $1.95K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 439 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 1,700 | 83.5¢ | $1.66K | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| i2ra40xfa28…bf30 | No | 1,630 | 96.3¢ | $1.59K | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 1,310 | 91.1¢ | $1.28K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 49,548 | 2.8¢ | $1.16K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 1,158 | 97.5¢ | $1.13K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| Shanibro0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | 46,772 | 5.0¢ | $1.1K | New2 settled bets |
| ilove1fname0x8a63…10b3 | No | 1,000 | 98.0¢ | $977 | — |
| fishflash0xaa42…0b49 | No | 978 | 97.1¢ | $955 | New10 settled bets |
| this15cleverboy0x30dd…bb80 | No | 924 | 97.3¢ | $902 | New34 settled bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 808 | 97.9¢ | $789 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| kingminer0010x04fa…f43f | No | 788 | 97.4¢ | $769 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 112 bets |
| Maragaravalhitiskelerson0xffd0…6b34 | Yes | 31,571 | 9.9¢ | $742 | — |
| Art08880x161a…b515 | No | 699 | 88.8¢ | $683 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 384 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 686 | 85.0¢ | $670 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 711 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 661 | 93.7¢ | $646 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,943 bets |
| aleksandmoney0x8f14…1e77 | No | 586 | 97.8¢ | $572 | Losing−$1.25 per $100 · 2,282 bets |
| trzorira20x6d71…82e5 | No | 538 | 95.9¢ | $525 | New98 settled bets |
| bkhm170xb725…39e8 | No | 500 | 96.3¢ | $488 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 96.6¢ | $488 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,713 bets |
| fisherbug0x5bc6…420d | No | 440 | 91.0¢ | $429 | New23 settled bets |
| Noworriesdude0x1a75…3103 | No | 394 | 92.8¢ | $384 | New64 settled bets |
| 13yearsold0xb708…62fb | No | 381 | 96.6¢ | $372 | — |
| Mivindos0x763c…25b2 | No | 362 | 92.0¢ | $353 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 3,888 bets |
| qianbei0x2110…45c4 | No | 333 | 97.4¢ | $325 | New56 settled bets |
| pkFire0x2617…afc5 | No | 307 | 97.5¢ | $300 | Proven+$6.74 per $100 · 234 bets |
| doramifa0x21a8…1aec | No | 300 | 91.0¢ | $293 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 455 bets |
| plmk20xc6ca…6038 | No | 300 | 79.7¢ | $293 | — |
| texaspoontappa690x1067…6f3e | Yes | 10,933 | 8.2¢ | $257 | New1 settled bet |
| Fredrpa0xf4ce…865c | Yes | 10,592 | 11.0¢ | $249 | — |
| conrad8880x4068…f4d6 | Yes | 9,662 | 6.4¢ | $227 | New4 settled bets |
| winla880x8deb…d435 | No | 227 | 80.3¢ | $222 | — |
| hahahappy0x1d32…e863 | No | 223 | 98.2¢ | $218 | New76 settled bets |
| 3menfuckhallis0x6410…ea31 | No | 223 | 97.6¢ | $218 | New64 settled bets |
| Kirils0xc689…9279 | No | 219 | 82.2¢ | $214 | Losing−$2.32 per $100 · 184 bets |
| BrokenUmbrella0x54d8…6eac | No | 205 | 97.7¢ | $200 | New28 settled bets |
| CipherVault0x0e7b…d719 | No | 205 | 97.8¢ | $200 | New33 settled bets |
| SleepingGoblin0x603e…e019 | No | 205 | 97.8¢ | $200 | — |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 8,000 | 3.3¢ | $188 | Losing−$13.35 per $100 · 443 bets |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 7,951 | 29.8¢ | $187 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| ronniegrob0x5494…85fe | Yes | 7,780 | 13.5¢ | $183 | New43 settled bets |
| dexttte3320x7027…590d | Yes | 5,120 | 19.5¢ | $120 | New2 settled bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 3,984 | 12.3¢ | $94 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| TariqAlM0x7449…be3c | Yes | 3,922 | 8.9¢ | $92 | New5 settled bets |
| 3CCowboy0x1977…d081 | Yes | 2,124 | 8.0¢ | $50 | New2 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 2,110 | 20.0¢ | $50 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| 0xc838…b106 | Yes | 2,032 | 7.9¢ | $48 | — |
| SigmoidFreund0xdefd…99c5 | Yes | 1,830 | 18.0¢ | $43 | — |
| Paradoxpnz0x6afd…a313 | Yes | 1,500 | 2.1¢ | $35 | New4 settled bets |
| Graypoint0x199f…b36a | Yes | 1,311 | 4.1¢ | $31 | New48 settled bets |
| 0xa7f7…0e32 | Yes | 1,154 | 8.5¢ | $27 | — |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 1,111 | 33.4¢ | $26 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| 0x6517…46b6 | Yes | 1,111 | 18.0¢ | $26 | New10 settled bets |
| Jjjj.0xa740…ee18 | Yes | 1,000 | 21.0¢ | $24 | — |
| al-coco0x19fd…97f0 | Yes | 971 | 20.0¢ | $23 | New40 settled bets |
| 0x2f5e…e184 | Yes | 913 | 8.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.58 per $100 · 104 bets |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | 893 | 3.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Brucelee20200x90b2…0478 | Yes | 769 | 13.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 730 | 10.8¢ | $17 | — |
| kakaroto210x6dce…6b11 | Yes | 666 | 8.6¢ | $16 | New7 settled bets |
| 0xd543…7380 | Yes | 625 | 8.5¢ | $15 | — |
| Paddy110x5ba8…6326 | Yes | 600 | 17.0¢ | $14 | New14 settled bets |
| 0x96b3…3815 | Yes | 541 | 10.0¢ | $13 | — |
| mellisa0x5cd0…caa1 | Yes | 538 | 9.0¢ | $13 | New39 settled bets |
| 0xacc0…441d | Yes | 526 | 19.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Volku0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | 505 | 5.6¢ | $12 | Losing−$81.54 per $100 · 148 bets |
| sirnostalgia0xcf8a…085b | Yes | 460 | 5.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 878tyuui0x0df3…4a2d | Yes | 444 | 50.0¢ | $10 | New60 settled bets |
| panda7-2610x861e…2a04 | Yes | 403 | 12.2¢ | $9 | — |
| LTCTY.FYLAYH.0x9b2d…4fa5 | Yes | 400 | 8.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 397 | 3.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 298 bets |
| TonyChao0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | 387 | 6.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$15.76 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| blurmaggie8880xd7e4…7137 | Yes | 364 | 4.4¢ | $9 | — |
| K2C0x04db…c253 | Yes | 335 | 3.2¢ | $8 | New64 settled bets |
| TheCandyManCan0xe95f…93d6 | Yes | 274 | 2.6¢ | $6 | — |
| MrExPLO0xc6af…27ed | Yes | 263 | 19.0¢ | $6 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 252 | 3.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Naudway0x09ae…004e | Yes | 250 | 8.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$11.07 per $100 · 684 bets |
| Bollockswinner0xe54b…9f08 | Yes | 234 | 7.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Elonmama0xf91a…adb4 | Yes | 227 | 11.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x6cc8…df90 | Yes | 210 | 8.0¢ | $5 | New1 settled bet |
| omnibus-00c8ef0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | 208 | 2.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.45 per $100 · 15,875 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.