Market · 15 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 30,899 | 96.7¢ | $30K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 125 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 24,488 | 78.0¢ | $23.8K | New57 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 18,026 | 97.1¢ | $17.5K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| xfinity0x919e…4e9b | No | 14,124 | 77.9¢ | $13.7K | New21 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 12,592 | 97.4¢ | $12.2K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| kreere0x5d13…cb62 | No | 11,355 | 79.3¢ | $11K | New10 settled bets |
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 7,000 | 79.4¢ | $6.81K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 6,673 | 96.3¢ | $6.49K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 6,106 | 96.5¢ | $5.94K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| Crezes0x83d4…c67e | No | 5,556 | 90.0¢ | $5.4K | New2 settled bets |
| Sylvertrades0xe7ef…b402 | No | 5,158 | 97.2¢ | $5.02K | New7 settled bets |
| 0xe120…283e | No | 5,000 | 96.0¢ | $4.86K | New13 settled bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 5,000 | 76.0¢ | $4.86K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| stochi0x3a13…7ea6 | No | 4,276 | 91.2¢ | $4.16K | New17 settled bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 4,265 | 90.0¢ | $4.15K | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| beibeidoudou0xb3da…96b0 | No | 4,188 | 97.2¢ | $4.07K | — |
| Tomyum0x08e0…beb9 | No | 4,117 | 77.6¢ | $4K | New45 settled bets |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No | 3,297 | 91.0¢ | $3.21K | New52 settled bets |
| singaporesling0xfa8f…d61b | No | 3,136 | 85.0¢ | $3.05K | Losing−$19.40 per $100 · 617 bets |
| Ju1ian0x296d…70f9 | No | 3,010 | 97.5¢ | $2.93K | — |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 2,567 | 90.6¢ | $2.5K | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 2,314 | 80.0¢ | $2.25K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| lenny48780x753c…e3ad | No | 2,065 | 97.1¢ | $2.01K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 175 bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 2,013 | 95.1¢ | $1.96K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| georgecalinescu86350x64ad…ca63 | No | 2,000 | 97.3¢ | $1.95K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 438 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 2,000 | 90.0¢ | $1.95K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| LP-LosPepes0xbcb0…70e6 | No | 2,000 | 78.0¢ | $1.95K | New28 settled bets |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 2,000 | 73.5¢ | $1.94K | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 1,713 | 97.2¢ | $1.67K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 1,647 | 91.7¢ | $1.6K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| trzorira20x6d71…82e5 | No | 1,613 | 96.1¢ | $1.57K | New98 settled bets |
| kosaks0xc5ce…266d | No | 1,573 | 96.8¢ | $1.53K | New97 settled bets |
| the5season0x1500…d35a | No | 1,488 | 97.0¢ | $1.45K | — |
| 100www0x47b3…039c | No | 1,432 | 97.2¢ | $1.39K | — |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | No | 1,291 | 96.1¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| Fezzix0x17b5…7fb6 | No | 1,282 | 78.0¢ | $1.25K | — |
| S550x7124…70c1 | No | 1,270 | 91.5¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 500 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,268 | 97.3¢ | $1.23K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| zZzzZZzzz10x8cb5…8685 | No | 1,200 | 89.2¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$1.77 per $100 · 1,800 bets |
| this15cleverboy0x30dd…bb80 | No | 1,195 | 96.9¢ | $1.16K | — |
| sayanghae0x2826…f448 | No | 1,099 | 91.0¢ | $1.07K | Proven+$2.53 per $100 · 130 bets |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 1,099 | 95.4¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 1,058 | 97.3¢ | $1.03K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| apostada0x4af8…5f2f | No | 1,033 | 97.1¢ | $1K | New41 settled bets |
| ineed12wife0x38c8…64d0 | No | 1,027 | 96.7¢ | $999 | — |
| PermanentUnderclassEscapee0x76c9…ab2e | No | 1,000 | 92.0¢ | $973 | — |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 1,000 | 90.0¢ | $973 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| Besserwisser0x9879…bc99 | No | 840 | 95.4¢ | $817 | New50 settled bets |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 776 | 97.4¢ | $755 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 752 | 93.3¢ | $732 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| jiangwei0x239a…9461 | Yes | 18,661 | 10.4¢ | $513 | — |
| 0xb225…d4a1 | Yes | 17,997 | 4.2¢ | $495 | Positive+$4.36 per $100 · 219 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 15,827 | 3.7¢ | $435 | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 15,600 | 13.5¢ | $429 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| Maragaravalhitiskelerson0xffd0…6b34 | Yes | 14,266 | 11.5¢ | $392 | — |
| dexttte3320x7027…590d | Yes | 13,242 | 23.2¢ | $364 | — |
| 0x880c…cc6f | Yes | 12,160 | 9.9¢ | $334 | New0 settled bets |
| Shanibro0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | 7,969 | 4.7¢ | $219 | New2 settled bets |
| Rambo7770xd7c5…a855 | Yes | 6,303 | 10.0¢ | $173 | — |
| TariqAlM0x7449…be3c | Yes | 6,292 | 10.2¢ | $173 | New5 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 5,180 | 31.8¢ | $142 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 5,000 | 23.1¢ | $137 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| squirtl0xe140…78d4 | Yes | 4,545 | 11.0¢ | $125 | New44 settled bets |
| Jcmiras0xc04a…8046 | Yes | 4,464 | 4.1¢ | $123 | — |
| WhateverTrevor0x35b2…bd2c | Yes | 4,147 | 10.0¢ | $114 | — |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 4,033 | 16.7¢ | $111 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Tommy910xcc00…0115 | Yes | 3,620 | 5.6¢ | $100 | — |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 3,099 | 29.8¢ | $85 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| tolicien0xe144…fa7c | Yes | 3,066 | 3.5¢ | $84 | New72 settled bets |
| dany1230x31ab…c575 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.4¢ | $82 | — |
| mmaket0xab16…d5dc | Yes | 2,670 | 2.7¢ | $73 | New15 settled bets |
| bzzz0x4c31…5240 | Yes | 2,641 | 11.4¢ | $73 | — |
| MMJP0x2468…4826 | Yes | 2,564 | 4.0¢ | $71 | New16 settled bets |
| 3CCowboy0x1977…d081 | Yes | 2,536 | 10.0¢ | $70 | — |
| gegerg0xe28d…ff9e | Yes | 2,212 | 6.4¢ | $61 | — |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | Yes | 2,000 | 9.0¢ | $55 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| SigmoidFreund0xdefd…99c5 | Yes | 1,840 | 27.0¢ | $51 | — |
| 0x2f5e…e184 | Yes | 1,833 | 5.2¢ | $50 | — |
| Graypoint0x199f…b36a | Yes | 1,667 | 6.4¢ | $46 | — |
| ran980x795a…2fb5 | Yes | 1,661 | 10.0¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x6ca1…72ae | Yes | 1,525 | 11.8¢ | $42 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,396 | 2.6¢ | $38 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| 0xb811…6abd | Yes | 1,385 | 10.1¢ | $38 | — |
| BritishSteel0xb02a…4372 | Yes | 1,288 | 10.5¢ | $35 | — |
| 0xb721…2f08 | Yes | 1,214 | 8.5¢ | $33 | — |
| marly0x5395…3fda | Yes | 1,178 | 21.0¢ | $32 | — |
| Lumberjack0xfb5d…be63 | Yes | 1,145 | 10.5¢ | $31 | — |
| afasqs0x0aee…77ee | Yes | 1,108 | 10.0¢ | $30 | — |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 1,077 | 35.6¢ | $30 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| Fredrpa0xf4ce…865c | Yes | 1,056 | 9.0¢ | $29 | — |
| a43850x506b…b0fe | Yes | 1,000 | 6.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$21.32 per $100 · 362 bets |
| nukel0x6050…80d6 | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $28 | — |
| VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu0x6c7d…d6eb | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$13.98 per $100 · 1,806 bets |
| bitkeep0xb36b…3437 | Yes | 1,000 | 25.0¢ | $28 | — |
| 0TX0xc8bc…1d6c | Yes | 996 | 30.1¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x506a…c02c | Yes | 990 | 10.0¢ | $27 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 969 | 10.2¢ | $27 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| saeuggul0xc5e0…a93c | Yes | 906 | 11.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 1,277 bets |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 897 | 3.1¢ | $25 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| userforecaster0x987d…a9c3 | Yes | 798 | 8.6¢ | $22 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.