Market · 14 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 6 events · $16.9M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 35,943 | 96.7¢ | $34.8K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 30,000 | 96.1¢ | $29.1K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 21,386 | 95.9¢ | $20.7K | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 3,350 bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 16,166 | 95.8¢ | $15.7K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 251 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 14,654 | 75.7¢ | $14.2K | New57 settled bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 13,168 | 84.0¢ | $12.8K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| beibeidoudou0xb3da…96b0 | No | 11,552 | 97.1¢ | $11.2K | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 11,303 | 95.9¢ | $11K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| sean1210x4ef3…2a7f | No | 11,111 | 90.0¢ | $10.8K | New9 settled bets |
| Sylvertrades0xe7ef…b402 | No | 9,350 | 96.5¢ | $9.07K | New7 settled bets |
| name4180x86ab…e5be | No | 8,778 | 96.0¢ | $8.51K | New55 settled bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 8,630 | 96.1¢ | $8.37K | New83 settled bets |
| kosaks0xc5ce…266d | No | 8,580 | 95.9¢ | $8.32K | New97 settled bets |
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 6,613 | 95.3¢ | $6.41K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No | 5,674 | 93.0¢ | $5.5K | New52 settled bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 96.4¢ | $4.85K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 4,990 | 95.9¢ | $4.84K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| 0xe120…283e | No | 4,871 | 96.0¢ | $4.72K | New13 settled bets |
| stochi0x3a13…7ea6 | No | 4,540 | 88.1¢ | $4.4K | New17 settled bets |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 3,919 | 87.2¢ | $3.8K | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 3,704 | 93.8¢ | $3.59K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| singaporesling0xfa8f…d61b | No | 3,591 | 81.4¢ | $3.48K | Losing−$19.40 per $100 · 617 bets |
| northsonic0xfd6a…58a5 | No | 3,547 | 95.9¢ | $3.44K | — |
| boblove0x6cfe…3232 | No | 3,331 | 92.8¢ | $3.23K | New25 settled bets |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | No | 3,227 | 96.8¢ | $3.13K | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| beatcount0x806e…3950 | No | 2,626 | 95.8¢ | $2.55K | New14 settled bets |
| 0x9c0x24df…e8b2 | No | 2,500 | 91.6¢ | $2.42K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 4,951 bets |
| AynR0x5e07…93f1 | No | 2,352 | 85.0¢ | $2.28K | New39 settled bets |
| sanshigo0x95d9…91d9 | No | 2,319 | 70.9¢ | $2.25K | — |
| Shanibro0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | 67,498 | 4.7¢ | $2.06K | New2 settled bets |
| LP-LosPepes0xbcb0…70e6 | No | 2,000 | 70.0¢ | $1.94K | New28 settled bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 1,842 | 73.6¢ | $1.79K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 58,390 | 3.9¢ | $1.78K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,742 | 93.6¢ | $1.69K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| monolog0xf3f6…6f83 | No | 1,550 | 95.5¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0x24df228f4c96d1a3ee5614617a0593dd4159e8b0x6f8b…b3d7 | No | 1,500 | 91.5¢ | $1.45K | New98 settled bets |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 1,329 | 94.3¢ | $1.29K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 1,311 | 97.3¢ | $1.27K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| trzorira20x6d71…82e5 | No | 1,302 | 96.7¢ | $1.26K | New98 settled bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 1,198 | 95.8¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$8.35 per $100 · 563 bets |
| prostoLUCK0x36f1…ec06 | No | 1,187 | 97.2¢ | $1.15K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0xc2f0xc2f8…56b6 | No | 1,153 | 92.5¢ | $1.12K | — |
| MGB20xf6d1…32b8 | No | 1,000 | 89.0¢ | $970 | — |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 1,000 | 96.9¢ | $969 | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 984 | 96.8¢ | $954 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 845 | 95.4¢ | $819 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Besserwisser0x9879…bc99 | No | 800 | 96.8¢ | $776 | New50 settled bets |
| crackenthusiast0xb5e2…e599 | No | 800 | 72.0¢ | $776 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 525 bets |
| 777777777777770x9977…78ae | No | 782 | 96.2¢ | $758 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 632 | 93.0¢ | $612 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 613 | 97.0¢ | $594 | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 17,225 | 4.8¢ | $525 | Losing−$13.35 per $100 · 443 bets |
| Creamethod0xe87f…f8e7 | Yes | 16,342 | 4.9¢ | $498 | New13 settled bets |
| Maragaravalhitiskelerson0xffd0…6b34 | Yes | 16,173 | 11.9¢ | $493 | — |
| Semo8880xe5a0…20da | Yes | 15,774 | 9.5¢ | $481 | — |
| canbane0xafd7…f634 | No | 484 | 61.3¢ | $469 | — |
| AlfredTheShiller0xcd6b…68f5 | Yes | 10,015 | 11.5¢ | $305 | Proven+$5.96 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| Newnewnewnew0x15a3…d715 | Yes | 8,532 | 10.7¢ | $260 | New48 settled bets |
| aaaiikk0x57e7…bc87 | Yes | 7,867 | 9.1¢ | $240 | New7 settled bets |
| TariqAlM0x7449…be3c | Yes | 7,672 | 11.1¢ | $234 | New5 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 7,621 | 37.4¢ | $232 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| HiMisha0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | 6,953 | 4.4¢ | $212 | New67 settled bets |
| dexttte3320x7027…590d | Yes | 4,412 | 32.0¢ | $135 | New2 settled bets |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | Yes | 4,000 | 4.6¢ | $122 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| Jessica2370xc192…af41 | Yes | 3,239 | 11.5¢ | $99 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | 2,900 | 3.5¢ | $88 | Losing−$15.85 per $100 · 2,790 bets |
| DutchX0x8100…3d30 | Yes | 2,797 | 3.8¢ | $85 | New8 settled bets |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 1,670 | 3.7¢ | $51 | New62 settled bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 1,653 | 4.0¢ | $50 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| licmilu0x1491…55d0 | Yes | 1,596 | 4.2¢ | $49 | New60 settled bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 1,502 | 6.4¢ | $46 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 1,500 | 30.0¢ | $46 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| SigmoidFreund0xdefd…99c5 | Yes | 1,430 | 35.0¢ | $44 | — |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 1,305 | 20.7¢ | $40 | Losing−$6.25 per $100 · 531 bets |
| Andru230xdea1…3d9f | Yes | 1,135 | 3.7¢ | $35 | — |
| 0Ryu00xca3e…f2fa | Yes | 1,049 | 9.8¢ | $32 | Losing−$9.99 per $100 · 258 bets |
| random8670x963a…8cbd | Yes | 990 | 11.0¢ | $30 | — |
| jingxingyhh0x1bbe…776d | Yes | 986 | 4.9¢ | $30 | Positive+$11.40 per $100 · 148 bets |
| ran980x795a…2fb5 | Yes | 985 | 14.0¢ | $30 | New0 settled bets |
| niber180x75ef…2597 | Yes | 938 | 32.0¢ | $29 | New7 settled bets |
| Miguchutuesa0x5290…651f | Yes | 927 | 4.8¢ | $28 | New3 settled bets |
| wAliens0xddae…52c4 | Yes | 890 | 4.1¢ | $27 | — |
| dopethrone0x80aa…3c70 | Yes | 850 | 14.0¢ | $26 | New29 settled bets |
| saeuggul0xc5e0…a93c | Yes | 820 | 12.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 1,277 bets |
| mavax0x9fab…afd6 | Yes | 800 | 11.0¢ | $24 | — |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | 797 | 3.9¢ | $24 | — |
| btcdaddy-1550x232c…d50f | Yes | 788 | 14.0¢ | $24 | New43 settled bets |
| Dosal0xf34c…320b | Yes | 764 | 13.3¢ | $23 | — |
| MrKnightly0x76ce…a6b7 | Yes | 752 | 2.9¢ | $23 | New9 settled bets |
| betterlife9740x4371…2e31 | Yes | 690 | 29.0¢ | $21 | New84 settled bets |
| cloudland0xfea1…b48c | Yes | 667 | 12.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Troeggery0x01a4…ac62 | Yes | 607 | 7.0¢ | $19 | New45 settled bets |
| leinaddd0x6209…91bd | Yes | 589 | 3.6¢ | $18 | New15 settled bets |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 576 | 3.6¢ | $18 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| Brucelee20200x90b2…0478 | Yes | 556 | 18.0¢ | $17 | — |
| fadeded0x4f36…cf93 | Yes | 518 | 27.1¢ | $16 | New20 settled bets |
| Carlo7200x8fe8…0ec5 | Yes | 500 | 34.0¢ | $15 | — |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | Yes | 450 | 30.7¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 567 shares each side · Show
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