Market · 12 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 127,768 | 93.3¢ | $123K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 246 bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 122,830 | 93.8¢ | $118K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| kosaks0xc5ce…266d | No | 62,224 | 94.3¢ | $59.9K | New97 settled bets |
| Siddhartha10xc95e…1288 | No | 50,001 | 95.2¢ | $48.1K | New98 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 31,683 | 95.4¢ | $30.5K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 30,619 | 91.9¢ | $29.5K | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 27,666 | 93.3¢ | $26.6K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| name4180x86ab…e5be | No | 27,090 | 93.2¢ | $26.1K | New55 settled bets |
| datamint0xddf0…119b | No | 23,765 | 93.9¢ | $22.9K | New96 settled bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 20,494 | 85.4¢ | $19.7K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| chirico0x9c0c…d6ed | No | 20,064 | 78.1¢ | $19.3K | New14 settled bets |
| wttg0xdf25…3b7f | No | 16,485 | 63.2¢ | $15.9K | New64 settled bets |
| Creamethod0xe87f…f8e7 | Yes | 403,946 | 7.1¢ | $15.3K | New13 settled bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 14,911 | 79.1¢ | $14.3K | New57 settled bets |
| stocastico0xbafe…2ba1 | No | 14,131 | 93.2¢ | $13.6K | New7 settled bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 11,517 | 77.8¢ | $11.1K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| georgecalinescu86350x64ad…ca63 | No | 11,260 | 95.8¢ | $10.8K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 438 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 10,000 | 95.6¢ | $9.62K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| foodbody0x2d22…e4ce | No | 9,069 | 93.8¢ | $8.72K | New9 settled bets |
| Plainview0xe58f…75a4 | No | 8,000 | 87.8¢ | $7.7K | New38 settled bets |
| 0xcdec…ba9b | No | 7,743 | 94.3¢ | $7.45K | New72 settled bets |
| personone0x5eee…7ef6 | No | 6,643 | 93.8¢ | $6.39K | New9 settled bets |
| aleksandmoney0x8f14…1e77 | No | 6,184 | 93.5¢ | $5.95K | Losing−$1.25 per $100 · 2,282 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 6,000 | 94.0¢ | $5.77K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| singaporesling0xfa8f…d61b | No | 5,907 | 77.6¢ | $5.68K | Losing−$19.40 per $100 · 617 bets |
| goodtrader0x989a…2ead | No | 5,252 | 93.8¢ | $5.05K | New10 settled bets |
| 0xe120…283e | No | 5,000 | 95.8¢ | $4.81K | New13 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 103,909 | 6.5¢ | $3.95K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| stochi0x3a13…7ea6 | No | 3,522 | 85.2¢ | $3.39K | New17 settled bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 3,097 | 66.2¢ | $2.98K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 3,074 | 90.0¢ | $2.96K | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| ballinco0x00ff…f7ad | No | 2,920 | 82.0¢ | $2.81K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 365 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | No | 2,912 | 62.0¢ | $2.8K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| ggdajiba0x1fa0…0465 | No | 2,892 | 94.3¢ | $2.78K | Break-even−$0.28 per $100 · 127 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 2,772 | 90.5¢ | $2.67K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 2,770 | 94.6¢ | $2.66K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | No | 2,303 | 90.0¢ | $2.22K | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,123 | 92.5¢ | $2.04K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 2,086 | 94.7¢ | $2.01K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| Besserwisser0x9879…bc99 | No | 2,044 | 92.0¢ | $1.97K | New50 settled bets |
| PACIFIST0xc752…62e1 | No | 2,041 | 93.4¢ | $1.96K | New68 settled bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 2,000 | 95.3¢ | $1.92K | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 1,794 | 87.3¢ | $1.73K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| nezfipn0xf89c…464d | No | 1,597 | 93.5¢ | $1.54K | New27 settled bets |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 1,300 | 95.3¢ | $1.25K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 1,289 | 93.7¢ | $1.24K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 29,717 | 7.1¢ | $1.13K | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 1,118 | 95.5¢ | $1.08K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| ponczyk0x535c…96ba | No | 1,100 | 95.8¢ | $1.06K | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 283 bets |
| bin88880xa80e…b94b | No | 1,069 | 91.0¢ | $1.03K | New59 settled bets |
| Bodipo0x03db…c28b | No | 1,000 | 93.4¢ | $962 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 195 bets |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | No | 1,000 | 95.3¢ | $962 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| 0x24df228f4c96d1a3ee5614617a0593dd4159e8b0x6f8b…b3d7 | No | 1,000 | 87.8¢ | $962 | — |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 21,991 | 29.3¢ | $836 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| Shanibro0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | 14,226 | 5.7¢ | $541 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 13,677 | 4.8¢ | $520 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| goldshroomz0xedf3…969c | Yes | 13,281 | 8.0¢ | $505 | New24 settled bets |
| Heisenberg150xf5ca…de9c | Yes | 10,844 | 27.7¢ | $412 | New5 settled bets |
| yvi0x29b1…242e | Yes | 10,126 | 36.5¢ | $385 | New0 settled bets |
| jingxingyhh0x1bbe…776d | Yes | 10,000 | 5.1¢ | $380 | Positive+$11.40 per $100 · 148 bets |
| Ar.Mykhailo0xebc7…4316 | Yes | 9,589 | 6.8¢ | $364 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 8,500 | 34.4¢ | $323 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| 4lucky0xb37e…8d2f | Yes | 6,301 | 14.4¢ | $239 | New50 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 6,000 | 46.0¢ | $228 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| 0xa85c…a55e | Yes | 5,458 | 9.7¢ | $207 | New22 settled bets |
| SeekingFreedom0x3fe6…cdc6 | Yes | 5,140 | 12.0¢ | $195 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 1,181 bets |
| NGD15120x7bc2…59a8 | Yes | 4,517 | 22.1¢ | $172 | New1 settled bet |
| Jessica2370xc192…af41 | Yes | 3,777 | 16.8¢ | $144 | New22 settled bets |
| 0xb90a…9729 | Yes | 3,759 | 20.0¢ | $143 | New0 settled bets |
| 998650x9876…86b4 | Yes | 3,284 | 4.5¢ | $125 | Losing−$8.58 per $100 · 116 bets |
| Tiimer0x2808…df52 | Yes | 3,064 | 12.0¢ | $116 | New32 settled bets |
| 0x7583…4df2 | Yes | 2,555 | 8.3¢ | $97 | New33 settled bets |
| DutchX0x8100…3d30 | Yes | 2,273 | 4.7¢ | $86 | New8 settled bets |
| kanajs0xcb02…ca1c | Yes | 2,200 | 15.0¢ | $84 | New20 settled bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 2,104 | 18.6¢ | $80 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,050 | 9.8¢ | $78 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 1,760 | 5.3¢ | $67 | Losing−$13.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 1,670 | 4.2¢ | $63 | New62 settled bets |
| Mickydsa0x0be5…6a0f | Yes | 1,649 | 6.5¢ | $63 | Losing−$19.97 per $100 · 328 bets |
| 0xdcd3…47b6 | Yes | 1,536 | 6.2¢ | $58 | Losing−$21.16 per $100 · 329 bets |
| Kaiver0x60ec…f09c | Yes | 1,393 | 7.6¢ | $53 | Positive+$3.62 per $100 · 205 bets |
| moonknight30xb58d…b858 | Yes | 1,231 | 13.8¢ | $47 | Losing−$9.53 per $100 · 113 bets |
| penize0x0230…45b2 | Yes | 1,202 | 13.2¢ | $46 | New37 settled bets |
| HiMisha0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | 1,119 | 4.2¢ | $43 | New67 settled bets |
| fonishment0xac83…239c | Yes | 1,102 | 14.2¢ | $42 | Losing−$3.60 per $100 · 206 bets |
| arishone0x88a1…a17b | Yes | 1,092 | 10.7¢ | $42 | Losing−$9.19 per $100 · 1,434 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 1,071 | 5.3¢ | $41 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| shirota0xbec0…68c7 | Yes | 1,068 | 16.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 618 bets |
| BELL1TO0xbf9b…8994 | Yes | 1,044 | 16.0¢ | $40 | New9 settled bets |
| 0x4760…936f | Yes | 1,000 | 7.2¢ | $38 | New57 settled bets |
| TariqAlM0x7449…be3c | Yes | 1,000 | 13.8¢ | $38 | New5 settled bets |
| JPessoa20260x770a…7d17 | Yes | 1,000 | 10.6¢ | $38 | New41 settled bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 1,000 | 9.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| 0xcfe0…89b1 | Yes | 942 | 11.8¢ | $36 | New35 settled bets |
| 0Ryu00xca3e…f2fa | Yes | 768 | 13.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$9.99 per $100 · 258 bets |
| zffo0x64c4…0ead | Yes | 727 | 13.8¢ | $28 | New0 settled bets |
| h0rse0x09c2…f141 | Yes | 721 | 14.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$16.35 per $100 · 106 bets |
| saeuggul0xc5e0…a93c | Yes | 662 | 15.9¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 1,277 bets |
| dfgdfgsdfg0xe372…43d0 | Yes | 652 | 5.5¢ | $25 | New47 settled bets |
| Retardio690xbd31…938f | Yes | 648 | 18.1¢ | $25 | New31 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.