Market · 9 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 100,610 | 91.0¢ | $93.1K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 82,091 | 89.7¢ | $75.9K | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 49,641 | 89.7¢ | $45.9K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 40,153 | 93.6¢ | $37.1K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 37,600 | 90.9¢ | $34.8K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 246 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 33,514 | 72.9¢ | $31K | New57 settled bets |
| Siddhartha10xc95e…1288 | No | 25,000 | 94.0¢ | $23.1K | New98 settled bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 21,878 | 90.9¢ | $20.2K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| chirico0x9c0c…d6ed | No | 18,976 | 92.2¢ | $17.6K | New14 settled bets |
| wttg0xdf25…3b7f | No | 14,781 | 52.5¢ | $13.7K | New64 settled bets |
| name4180x86ab…e5be | No | 14,562 | 92.5¢ | $13.5K | New55 settled bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 14,092 | 93.3¢ | $13K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 169,145 | 11.1¢ | $12.7K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| AynR0x5e07…93f1 | No | 11,745 | 90.2¢ | $10.9K | New39 settled bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 10,000 | 94.0¢ | $9.25K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 10,000 | 68.0¢ | $9.25K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| stocastico0xbafe…2ba1 | No | 9,783 | 91.6¢ | $9.05K | New7 settled bets |
| Jkk210xd9ae…4081 | No | 9,238 | 89.3¢ | $8.54K | New23 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 9,208 | 92.3¢ | $8.52K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 8,758 | 42.0¢ | $8.1K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| kreere0x5d13…cb62 | No | 8,470 | 84.2¢ | $7.83K | New10 settled bets |
| askbid0x97fa…f9b0 | No | 7,399 | 90.6¢ | $6.84K | New25 settled bets |
| 0xe120…283e | No | 7,000 | 93.1¢ | $6.47K | New13 settled bets |
| BabyIBeenWatchingYou0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | 6,766 | 51.7¢ | $6.26K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 2,243 bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 5,766 | 86.8¢ | $5.33K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| javaisfirst0x353a…7b82 | No | 5,679 | 89.7¢ | $5.25K | New15 settled bets |
| ballinco0x00ff…f7ad | No | 5,326 | 81.6¢ | $4.93K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 365 bets |
| elasticsearch0x49ac…9aee | No | 5,237 | 89.7¢ | $4.84K | New10 settled bets |
| AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | 64,208 | 67.4¢ | $4.82K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 13,568 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 5,066 | 90.0¢ | $4.69K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No | 5,000 | 95.1¢ | $4.63K | New52 settled bets |
| Shanibro0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | 55,075 | 5.7¢ | $4.13K | New2 settled bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 4,258 | 88.2¢ | $3.94K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| bobylong0x26aa…5054 | No | 4,207 | 89.7¢ | $3.89K | New9 settled bets |
| Plainview0xe58f…75a4 | No | 3,900 | 90.6¢ | $3.61K | New38 settled bets |
| 0xcdec…ba9b | No | 3,564 | 91.9¢ | $3.3K | New72 settled bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 3,491 | 94.2¢ | $3.23K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| sean1210x4ef3…2a7f | No | 3,423 | 83.5¢ | $3.17K | New9 settled bets |
| fisherbug0x5bc6…420d | No | 3,158 | 95.3¢ | $2.92K | New23 settled bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 2,966 | 93.1¢ | $2.74K | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| quanyou0x3d65…9ad4 | No | 2,780 | 89.7¢ | $2.57K | New13 settled bets |
| Star-7490x84f8…b9be | No | 2,657 | 91.0¢ | $2.46K | New9 settled bets |
| BTCmaxi0xa40a…fa62 | Yes | 32,549 | 8.8¢ | $2.44K | New85 settled bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 2,600 | 90.0¢ | $2.4K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 2,500 | 91.6¢ | $2.31K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| 0x24DF220xe768…9d43 | No | 2,500 | 81.1¢ | $2.31K | Proven+$7.18 per $100 · 359 bets |
| PACIFIST0xc752…62e1 | No | 2,500 | 93.1¢ | $2.31K | New68 settled bets |
| peterparker9110xf96e…a9c4 | Yes | 30,000 | 8.3¢ | $2.25K | New47 settled bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 2,383 | 93.8¢ | $2.2K | New83 settled bets |
| MrBombastic0x6f8c…a31a | No | 2,233 | 89.7¢ | $2.07K | New43 settled bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | No | 2,222 | 45.0¢ | $2.06K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,221 | 90.3¢ | $2.05K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 26,906 | 7.7¢ | $2.02K | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 2,073 | 85.1¢ | $1.92K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| 245080x0129…f939 | No | 2,000 | 91.6¢ | $1.85K | New92 settled bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 2,000 | 54.3¢ | $1.85K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 18,296 | 9.1¢ | $1.37K | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| Osetinskaya0x87d6…d1e7 | Yes | 17,730 | 34.7¢ | $1.33K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 483 bets |
| StupidMonkeyyy0x67d6…245e | Yes | 15,656 | 7.4¢ | $1.17K | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| jingxingyhh0x1bbe…776d | Yes | 15,000 | 10.8¢ | $1.12K | Positive+$11.40 per $100 · 148 bets |
| stocktrader21230x2d09…3150 | Yes | 12,630 | 21.4¢ | $947 | New79 settled bets |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 11,458 | 37.0¢ | $859 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 10,899 | 46.0¢ | $817 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 8,979 | 37.7¢ | $673 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| gamblito0x6452…30a1 | Yes | 8,951 | 11.9¢ | $671 | Losing−$6.12 per $100 · 391 bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 8,509 | 33.2¢ | $638 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Asfalto0x0178…98e2 | Yes | 8,205 | 12.2¢ | $615 | New2 settled bets |
| DarkleyWilling0xd2d5…df2f | Yes | 7,990 | 10.0¢ | $599 | Positive+$16.92 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Miguchutuesa0x5290…651f | Yes | 7,952 | 10.0¢ | $596 | New3 settled bets |
| LuckyPunch990x3169…21b4 | Yes | 7,853 | 10.0¢ | $589 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 566 bets |
| NGD15120x7bc2…59a8 | Yes | 7,525 | 27.9¢ | $564 | New1 settled bet |
| goldshroomz0xedf3…969c | Yes | 6,670 | 0.0¢ | $500 | New24 settled bets |
| 0xb225…d4a1 | Yes | 6,667 | 14.1¢ | $500 | Positive+$4.36 per $100 · 219 bets |
| MMJP0x2468…4826 | Yes | 6,627 | 11.7¢ | $497 | New16 settled bets |
| mmaket0xab16…d5dc | Yes | 6,434 | 12.4¢ | $483 | New15 settled bets |
| Aptekar0xed36…e096 | Yes | 6,397 | 17.5¢ | $480 | Losing−$6.20 per $100 · 160 bets |
| Rufr0xbb5d…fa33 | Yes | 5,655 | 47.8¢ | $424 | New6 settled bets |
| DOGWIFHAT0xa8da…f944 | Yes | 4,060 | 53.3¢ | $305 | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 238 bets |
| yerto0xa517…3b69 | Yes | 3,500 | 25.0¢ | $263 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 3,398 | 6.3¢ | $255 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| justin.courtright0xbd5c…8408 | Yes | 3,333 | 6.4¢ | $250 | Proven+$6.22 per $100 · 218 bets |
| tolicien0xe144…fa7c | Yes | 3,314 | 6.4¢ | $249 | New72 settled bets |
| Jessica2370xc192…af41 | Yes | 3,225 | 22.9¢ | $242 | New22 settled bets |
| 0xa85c…a55e | Yes | 3,140 | 13.5¢ | $236 | New22 settled bets |
| Heisenberg150xf5ca…de9c | Yes | 3,035 | 33.0¢ | $228 | New5 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,551 | 13.6¢ | $191 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| Nasmutin0x24c5…923d | Yes | 2,468 | 9.8¢ | $185 | Losing−$3.13 per $100 · 474 bets |
| Thomasbuis0x50d3…1acf | Yes | 2,417 | 24.0¢ | $181 | New62 settled bets |
| MZMMJP0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | 2,359 | 10.7¢ | $177 | New15 settled bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 2,332 | 54.9¢ | $175 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 2,068 | 8.3¢ | $155 | New62 settled bets |
| dknu0xa580…493a | Yes | 2,060 | 48.0¢ | $155 | New3 settled bets |
| goldddddddd0x371b…8786 | Yes | 2,059 | 7.7¢ | $154 | Losing−$8.22 per $100 · 595 bets |
| 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | 1,602 | 10.0¢ | $120 | Losing−$8.96 per $100 · 599 bets |
| xvxvv0x69c4…13eb | Yes | 1,426 | 13.8¢ | $107 | New6 settled bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 1,383 | 12.7¢ | $104 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0xb90a…9729 | Yes | 1,334 | 25.8¢ | $100 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xa118…42e9 | Yes | 1,250 | 8.5¢ | $94 | New28 settled bets |
| 0xc866…a478 | Yes | 1,111 | 18.0¢ | $83 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x7d93…fdef | Yes | 1,043 | 11.5¢ | $78 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 12,555 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.