Market · 7 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 6 events · $16.9M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 12 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 112,709 | 82.5¢ | $98.6K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| floatingraft0x56ad…f13e | No | 100,000 | 85.7¢ | $87.5K | Losing−$12.10 per $100 · 115 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 29,555 | 83.9¢ | $25.9K | Proven+$8.36 per $100 · 562 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 25,947 | 85.1¢ | $22.7K | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 3,350 bets |
| ballinco0x00ff…f7ad | No | 17,142 | 87.6¢ | $15K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 365 bets |
| 0xa784…3ae0 | No | 16,035 | 88.9¢ | $14K | New11 settled bets |
| choohkz230x10fb…c66c | No | 15,234 | 72.3¢ | $13.3K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 1,027 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 98,383 | 16.0¢ | $12.3K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 12,500 | 90.6¢ | $10.9K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| 0x9231…2212 | No | 11,759 | 82.9¢ | $10.3K | Losing−$6.63 per $100 · 174 bets |
| 0xc6ed…6327 | No | 10,327 | 88.6¢ | $9.04K | New1 settled bet |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 10,208 | 87.8¢ | $8.93K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| georgecalinescu86350x64ad…ca63 | No | 9,890 | 89.4¢ | $8.65K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 439 bets |
| Setup10xaf79…d8ee | No | 8,433 | 92.0¢ | $7.38K | New10 settled bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 7,500 | 84.3¢ | $6.56K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 6,401 | 92.4¢ | $5.6K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| chirico0x9c0c…d6ed | No | 6,215 | 92.5¢ | $5.44K | New14 settled bets |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 5,844 | 86.4¢ | $5.11K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| BTCmaxi0xa40a…fa62 | Yes | 39,991 | 15.3¢ | $5K | New85 settled bets |
| Chakamanle0xc61a…4a7c | Yes | 38,123 | 12.8¢ | $4.77K | New4 settled bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 5,446 | 89.6¢ | $4.77K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| schizohedgehog0x4755…4158 | No | 5,338 | 84.9¢ | $4.67K | New63 settled bets |
| bucketor0xe57d…81dd | No | 5,176 | 94.4¢ | $4.53K | New13 settled bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 4,505 | 84.5¢ | $3.94K | New57 settled bets |
| allen1140x7cde…b97d | Yes | 26,472 | 55.5¢ | $3.31K | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 448 bets |
| peterparker9110xf96e…a9c4 | Yes | 23,417 | 13.0¢ | $2.93K | New47 settled bets |
| Didumar0xaeb9…de9b | Yes | 22,428 | 11.3¢ | $2.8K | New0 settled bets |
| AlexMakedonskay0x715d…b09b | No | 3,024 | 66.5¢ | $2.65K | New40 settled bets |
| name4180x86ab…e5be | No | 2,946 | 84.0¢ | $2.58K | New55 settled bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 18,732 | 14.9¢ | $2.34K | Losing−$13.35 per $100 · 443 bets |
| polmar0010x6e6c…e358 | No | 2,608 | 85.8¢ | $2.28K | New52 settled bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 2,600 | 84.7¢ | $2.27K | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 2,589 | 83.6¢ | $2.27K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,546 bets |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No | 2,500 | 91.0¢ | $2.19K | New52 settled bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 2,500 | 81.8¢ | $2.19K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 2,400 | 89.0¢ | $2.1K | New83 settled bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 2,322 | 41.7¢ | $2.03K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| RealMaxNick0x6dc4…6770 | No | 2,295 | 84.9¢ | $2.01K | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 857 bets |
| jingxingyhh0x1bbe…776d | Yes | 15,000 | 20.1¢ | $1.88K | Positive+$11.40 per $100 · 148 bets |
| Dabian0x3f9a…8ece | No | 2,000 | 90.7¢ | $1.75K | New99 settled bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 2,000 | 89.7¢ | $1.75K | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| HowToBasic0xc639…c5a2 | No | 2,000 | 79.2¢ | $1.75K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 2,021 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 13,592 | 13.8¢ | $1.7K | Proven+$13.51 per $100 · 1,692 bets |
| herbertdudu0x273b…de09 | No | 1,809 | 83.3¢ | $1.58K | New1 settled bet |
| 0x379f…7d70 | No | 1,730 | 82.5¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$28.36 per $100 · 573 bets |
| mountmckinley0xc19f…9d86 | No | 1,711 | 88.4¢ | $1.5K | New21 settled bets |
| Str3sU0xd71a…78c9 | No | 1,709 | 94.0¢ | $1.5K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 382 bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | No | 1,700 | 70.9¢ | $1.49K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| dragon270x2dbb…c808 | No | 1,656 | 90.0¢ | $1.45K | New0 settled bets |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 1,500 | 50.0¢ | $1.31K | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| newbie770xf887…6b54 | No | 1,500 | 88.1¢ | $1.31K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 393 bets |
| sebien990x8dfe…b081 | Yes | 10,000 | 33.6¢ | $1.25K | New58 settled bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 9,788 | 21.4¢ | $1.22K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| BabyIBeenWatchingYou0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | 1,382 | 46.4¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 2,243 bets |
| Creamethod0xe87f…f8e7 | Yes | 8,937 | 15.0¢ | $1.12K | New13 settled bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 7,926 | 10.1¢ | $991 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 1,120 | 74.2¢ | $980 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 1,100 | 94.6¢ | $963 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 7,597 | 16.6¢ | $950 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| LilLoose0xe87f…f1e6 | No | 1,075 | 93.0¢ | $941 | Losing−$2.43 per $100 · 627 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 1,053 | 69.0¢ | $922 | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| johnlarx0xe653…4594 | Yes | 7,300 | 26.5¢ | $913 | Losing−$12.74 per $100 · 152 bets |
| Jkk210xd9ae…4081 | No | 1,036 | 85.7¢ | $906 | New23 settled bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 7,150 | 59.3¢ | $894 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 1,000 | 94.2¢ | $875 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 1,000 | 83.0¢ | $875 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 6,866 | 53.9¢ | $858 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| Xuxito0x7277…ab80 | Yes | 5,973 | 41.4¢ | $747 | Losing−$13.61 per $100 · 173 bets |
| goldshroomz0xedf3…969c | Yes | 5,560 | 19.0¢ | $695 | New24 settled bets |
| Selinaluv0xbae1…2f44 | Yes | 3,607 | 13.0¢ | $451 | New13 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 3,499 | 32.1¢ | $437 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| magiorka0x26a1…cff9 | Yes | 3,377 | 15.8¢ | $422 | New19 settled bets |
| 0x6f04…c90c | Yes | 3,374 | 29.6¢ | $422 | New2 settled bets |
| Mandingabeni0xbd38…eaad | Yes | 3,313 | 14.8¢ | $414 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x078a…7102 | Yes | 2,952 | 13.6¢ | $369 | New30 settled bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 2,909 | 18.2¢ | $364 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Jessica2370xc192…af41 | Yes | 2,869 | 30.5¢ | $359 | New22 settled bets |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | Yes | 2,761 | 72.4¢ | $345 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| tolicien0xe144…fa7c | Yes | 2,581 | 8.2¢ | $323 | New72 settled bets |
| ArthurMorgann0x777e…2836 | Yes | 2,244 | 15.7¢ | $281 | Losing−$6.80 per $100 · 22,829 bets |
| 0x5426…1339 | Yes | 2,243 | 17.0¢ | $280 | New99 settled bets |
| MZMMJP0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | 2,241 | 16.5¢ | $280 | New15 settled bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 2,200 | 26.7¢ | $275 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,000 | 9.6¢ | $250 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 1,925 | 17.9¢ | $241 | New92 settled bets |
| SeekingFreedom0x3fe6…cdc6 | Yes | 1,700 | 27.4¢ | $213 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 1,181 bets |
| marcopol00x1fb4…24a9 | Yes | 1,532 | 14.0¢ | $192 | New26 settled bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | Yes | 1,500 | 18.1¢ | $187 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| muons0xbb5e…5b83 | Yes | 1,463 | 20.1¢ | $183 | Positive+$1.53 per $100 · 874 bets |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 1,389 | 14.6¢ | $174 | New62 settled bets |
| jvmoney0xa489…62bd | Yes | 1,389 | 19.0¢ | $174 | New9 settled bets |
| 0x797b…953d | Yes | 1,211 | 27.0¢ | $151 | New10 settled bets |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 1,192 | 12.0¢ | $149 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| 0x7e0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | 1,185 | 15.4¢ | $148 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 378 bets |
| asdfasdfxs0x9b5b…4a17 | Yes | 1,065 | 24.2¢ | $133 | Positive+$9.30 per $100 · 909 bets |
| JPessoa20260x770a…7d17 | Yes | 1,055 | 23.5¢ | $132 | New41 settled bets |
| Yuia0x015b…b363 | Yes | 1,000 | 37.0¢ | $125 | New27 settled bets |
| Mickydsa0x0be5…6a0f | Yes | 994 | 14.5¢ | $124 | Losing−$19.97 per $100 · 328 bets |
| 0x872e…e58f | Yes | 979 | 21.6¢ | $122 | Losing−$12.93 per $100 · 134 bets |
| lolwat0xfbbe…fd4f | Yes | 969 | 8.5¢ | $121 | New28 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.