Market · 13 of 19 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 30,000 | 89.0¢ | $29.2K | Losing−$3.36 per $100 · 266 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 26,641 | 93.5¢ | $25.9K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Marioy0x66ad…cc4e | No | 10,000 | 90.0¢ | $9.73K | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 460 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 6,630 | 96.4¢ | $6.45K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 5,000 | 89.9¢ | $4.87K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,624 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 4,745 | 96.5¢ | $4.62K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 3,029 | 96.1¢ | $2.95K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| HandsomeLi0x9bbf…c59f | No | 3,000 | 96.5¢ | $2.92K | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 251 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 2,556 | 92.0¢ | $2.49K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 2,500 | 91.3¢ | $2.43K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| Morpheus.pump0xeee8…7e06 | No | 2,170 | 90.3¢ | $2.11K | — |
| 245080x0129…f939 | No | 1,900 | 90.6¢ | $1.85K | New92 settled bets |
| ivanliew850x26c5…ee21 | No | 1,596 | 96.4¢ | $1.55K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 530 bets |
| Manhohoho0xd800…c256 | No | 1,594 | 93.5¢ | $1.55K | — |
| On9Chasiu0xa8d6…af94 | No | 1,396 | 90.6¢ | $1.36K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,381 | 94.4¢ | $1.34K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 1,131 | 97.6¢ | $1.1K | New57 settled bets |
| Prinas0x3032…99e7 | No | 1,000 | 88.0¢ | $974 | Proven+$9.08 per $100 · 394 bets |
| luckdog0x6995…99f9 | No | 1,000 | 94.0¢ | $974 | Proven+$3.10 per $100 · 415 bets |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No | 1,000 | 87.9¢ | $974 | — |
| tudulu0x2698…a979 | No | 830 | 87.8¢ | $808 | New92 settled bets |
| haydat0x8f3c…b4b8 | No | 737 | 96.9¢ | $718 | — |
| 0xshanhai0xf94c…59dc | No | 737 | 95.3¢ | $717 | New37 settled bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 700 | 86.8¢ | $681 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| 0xmoki0xf22e…0c2c | No | 690 | 94.0¢ | $672 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 684 | 97.5¢ | $666 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| PeterStuyvesant0xe476…30ee | No | 618 | 93.5¢ | $602 | New62 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 22,105 | 12.0¢ | $586 | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 3,350 bets |
| ts1410xcd76…77bd | No | 594 | 97.0¢ | $578 | — |
| donmaximi0x81d9…60f1 | No | 549 | 91.6¢ | $535 | New97 settled bets |
| SuAlteza0x1c86…c427 | No | 500 | 89.8¢ | $487 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 819 bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 500 | 90.0¢ | $487 | Losing−$2.13 per $100 · 270 bets |
| leveredHoneybadger0x310f…e361 | No | 410 | 97.6¢ | $399 | — |
| nibbio10x08cb…d5aa | No | 400 | 87.5¢ | $389 | Losing−$17.31 per $100 · 1,032 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 319 | 97.7¢ | $311 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,444 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 10,116 | 9.1¢ | $268 | Proven+$13.51 per $100 · 1,692 bets |
| Giveittome0xe539…399e | Yes | 10,016 | 4.4¢ | $265 | — |
| DarkleyWilling0xd2d5…df2f | Yes | 9,354 | 11.4¢ | $248 | Positive+$16.92 per $100 · 150 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 9,044 | 11.0¢ | $240 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 241 | 93.4¢ | $234 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| ArbusPerni0xf48b…5b7a | No | 240 | 96.3¢ | $233 | — |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 7,981 | 10.6¢ | $211 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 7,669 | 5.0¢ | $203 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| chopin0x30f8…b824 | No | 206 | 97.3¢ | $201 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,360 bets |
| 0x7532…2a88 | No | 200 | 91.6¢ | $195 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 169 bets |
| piolho0x86b9…6d75 | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $195 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 190 | 89.0¢ | $185 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 6,907 bets |
| cryptonesiac0x9b1e…cc93 | No | 174 | 93.1¢ | $170 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 173 | 92.5¢ | $168 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| Bodipo0x03db…c28b | No | 154 | 91.6¢ | $150 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 195 bets |
| nnnnntttttttt0x09f9…10f3 | Yes | 5,061 | 3.9¢ | $134 | New0 settled bets |
| r00tsec0x5cca…6633 | No | 127 | 90.6¢ | $123 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 327 bets |
| qiangdadeyao0x2ab9…25a1 | No | 114 | 91.0¢ | $111 | New24 settled bets |
| Flitzekatze0x8e7b…8622 | No | 109 | 94.4¢ | $106 | — |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 3,870 | 9.9¢ | $103 | Losing−$13.35 per $100 · 443 bets |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 103 | 97.3¢ | $100 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 101 | 92.9¢ | $99 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 293,648+ bets · updating |
| lemonmina0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | 100 | 90.8¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 326 bets |
| Scotty1550xc6ec…81c2 | Yes | 3,200 | 6.4¢ | $85 | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 3,114 | 4.6¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 24,435 bets |
| kangkang1230xf5bc…2c49 | Yes | 3,000 | 10.6¢ | $80 | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 2,676 | 12.0¢ | $71 | Proven+$8.35 per $100 · 563 bets |
| Plsz0x86f2…8914 | Yes | 2,342 | 4.6¢ | $62 | — |
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | Yes | 2,000 | 11.9¢ | $53 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| caseyj0x63ca…9265 | Yes | 1,448 | 5.3¢ | $38 | Losing−$15.86 per $100 · 131 bets |
| expyexpy0x7ff1…bd17 | Yes | 1,371 | 9.5¢ | $36 | Losing−$14.98 per $100 · 122 bets |
| jung70xc6ac…d254 | Yes | 1,233 | 8.0¢ | $33 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 1,166 | 9.2¢ | $31 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 1,126 | 12.7¢ | $30 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| airdropper0x4fd8…af91 | Yes | 900 | 11.0¢ | $24 | Positive+$3.16 per $100 · 757 bets |
| 0xb6c6…043d | Yes | 887 | 7.4¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 883 | 5.1¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,528 bets |
| Humbly40xaa45…2e20 | Yes | 788 | 8.1¢ | $21 | — |
| qsfjsjhfs0x9e01…a4ba | Yes | 715 | 14.8¢ | $19 | — |
| ZekoslavMrkva0xb3e0…72a6 | Yes | 645 | 3.3¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x0832…4146 | Yes | 644 | 3.3¢ | $17 | Positive+$72.23 per $100 · 1,945 bets |
| Patriotsss0xa018…3d31 | Yes | 594 | 3.5¢ | $16 | — |
| lcresearch0x2379…1f3a | Yes | 516 | 11.7¢ | $14 | New71 settled bets |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | Yes | 500 | 2.5¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,185 bets |
| toshua0x56c2…17bf | Yes | 500 | 4.1¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.22 per $100 · 1,304 bets |
| 0x80b9…0863 | Yes | 500 | 12.7¢ | $13 | Losing−$12.63 per $100 · 358 bets |
| thirteenchairs0x3723…ad4d | Yes | 400 | 5.3¢ | $11 | New63 settled bets |
| 0x01cd…cbd3 | Yes | 363 | 3.1¢ | $10 | — |
| sp3030xbb9e…4eca | Yes | 321 | 6.7¢ | $9 | — |
| Monarch6660xd7e4…d046 | Yes | 300 | 10.6¢ | $8 | — |
| FrancisBony0xfb96…9f8b | Yes | 273 | 3.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4c08…fbb1 | Yes | 251 | 6.1¢ | $7 | New33 settled bets |
| 0xa5f4…135f | Yes | 215 | 13.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xfd28…4e44 | Yes | 170 | 3.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Anontrader810x0fa3…df33 | Yes | 154 | 13.8¢ | $4 | New27 settled bets |
| 0xc917…7972 | Yes | 140 | 14.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x0141…5a5c | Yes | 138 | 13.9¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| JasonYan30x99e2…01d5 | Yes | 136 | 12.8¢ | $4 | — |
| speed-70xda89…f562 | Yes | 136 | 10.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | 100 | 3.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| ahmad670x7793…592f | Yes | 100 | 9.6¢ | $3 | New20 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | Yes | 100 | 50.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Snuttan0xa6b7…5aac | Yes | 100 | 10.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbc03…2ceb | Yes | 91 | 11.7¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 6 events · $16.9M in play