Market · 30 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heyheyhey7770x0c9d…c227 | No | 52,362 | 99.8¢ | $52.3K | — |
| Shirohige770x9244…3d8a | No | 39,154 | 99.9¢ | $39.1K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 34,628 |
| 99.0¢ |
| $34.6K |
| Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| 0330330330xd1c7…1d2b | No | 26,662 | 99.8¢ | $26.6K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 830 bets |
| Zeus77770x51bd…663d | No | 15,770 | 99.7¢ | $15.7K | — |
| bin88880xa80e…b94b | No | 7,012 | 98.6¢ | $7K | New59 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 6,662 | 99.6¢ | $6.65K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,220 bets |
| 0x2230x223f…2050 | No | 6,000 | 98.4¢ | $5.99K | — |
| 0x091e…84bc | No | 3,080 | 98.8¢ | $3.08K | — |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 2,120 | 98.1¢ | $2.12K | — |
| xiaoxiongxiong0x478e…0c83 | No | 1,600 | 99.3¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0xYANGZAI0x7e31…1c97 | No | 1,511 | 99.4¢ | $1.51K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,287 | 99.8¢ | $1.29K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| PercyNicholas0x263b…89fb | No | 1,239 | 99.1¢ | $1.24K | — |
| qb24de0xc8d5…c552 | No | 1,066 | 98.5¢ | $1.06K | — |
| badold0x2094…bf3c | No | 1,008 | 99.3¢ | $1.01K | — |
| Slowroasted0xc30c…6509 | No | 1,000 | 99.7¢ | $999 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 5,633 bets |
| 0xc8ee…efce | No | 1,000 | 99.3¢ | $999 | — |
| Nan410x1c8e…0ec1 | No | 703 | 99.6¢ | $702 | — |
| epicFalcon110x119b…0fca | No | 601 | 99.8¢ | $600 | — |
| xiaojji0x07df…7b2d | No | 592 | 99.3¢ | $591 | — |
| 79three0x22d0…2803 | No | 533 | 99.2¢ | $532 | — |
| 0x0f0x06d1…1780 | No | 523 | 99.2¢ | $522 | — |
| qllxiaoyi0x31d0…37f8 | No | 513 | 99.2¢ | $512 | — |
| boyerkelton0x0134…a4b4 | No | 506 | 99.8¢ | $505 | New93 settled bets |
| bitcointothemoon0xf591…6ad5 | No | 505 | 99.1¢ | $504 | — |
| wdwww0x2c54…650b | No | 505 | 99.2¢ | $504 | — |
| Lenswalle0x4dfc…1818 | No | 502 | 99.6¢ | $501 | — |
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 500 | 98.4¢ | $499 | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| xiaoyaofawai0xc25c…1b21 | No | 473 | 99.3¢ | $472 | — |
| tinanakalunda0x73fd…c3a7 | No | 420 | 99.8¢ | $419 | — |
| baofubaofu0xd4a6…64ae | No | 404 | 99.2¢ | $403 | — |
| ChainBerserker0xc875…3005 | No | 401 | 99.7¢ | $401 | — |
| Besserwisser0x9879…bc99 | No | 400 | 98.6¢ | $399 | New50 settled bets |
| johnwicks0xe01b…ba2a | No | 400 | 98.0¢ | $399 | — |
| dorrisankunda0xdf45…a73e | No | 392 | 99.8¢ | $391 | — |
| agabajohn0x40b6…0753 | No | 388 | 99.8¢ | $387 | — |
| W1zz4rd0x6e98…2684 | No | 371 | 99.7¢ | $371 | — |
| genevievemuhwezi0x02a0…93ca | No | 357 | 99.9¢ | $357 | — |
| bacianicchio0x6d44…f042 | No | 304 | 98.8¢ | $303 | — |
| zhoushan70x5a88…023d | No | 303 | 99.2¢ | $302 | — |
| TokenBrawler0x12c0…ba3b | No | 301 | 99.8¢ | $300 | — |
| xianghui0x9d9a…f083 | No | 251 | 99.8¢ | $250 | — |
| manlets0xe90a…06b7 | No | 250 | 99.8¢ | $250 | Positive+$2.83 per $100 · 494 bets |
| redstronzo0xf195…b488 | No | 250 | 99.4¢ | $250 | — |
| lettucehandz0xe0e7…5769 | No | 249 | 99.6¢ | $248 | — |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 101,727 | 0.2¢ | $153 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 31,242 | 0.6¢ | $47 | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| meifreefly0x8012…f32b | Yes | 29,371 | 1.7¢ | $44 | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 23,533 | 1.9¢ | $35 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| SNGLRT0x511f…9511 | Yes | 14,913 | 1.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Jeesuksenmorsian0x33af…675e | Yes | 11,750 | 0.4¢ | $18 | — |
| turbo-d0x31ff…209b | Yes | 9,968 | 1.0¢ | $15 | — |
| LarryPeng0x243b…4810 | Yes | 9,670 | 1.1¢ | $15 | — |
| bakanas0xc58f…ed9f | Yes | 6,667 | 0.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | 6,166 | 0.9¢ | $9 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 5,746 | 0.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| Deepcoin0x6b36…0d4b | Yes | 4,649 | 0.7¢ | $7 | — |
| M192840x02f0…d710 | Yes | 2,400 | 1.1¢ | $4 | — |
| tuananh010119860x489a…e15f | Yes | 2,134 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1709…1a8e | Yes | 2,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9cdc…a1ce | Yes | 1,868 | 1.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8975…7fce | Yes | 1,700 | 1.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2143…2660 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x41b1…cca7 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4efc…2414 | Yes | 1,633 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf6e6…b86b | Yes | 1,112 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xef91…eabc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| TheCandyManCan0xe95f…93d6 | Yes | 968 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4fd6…eb21 | Yes | 833 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| gyt2310x043f…654a | Yes | 760 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdd88…670d | Yes | 759 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 667 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ManhattaN890x57d8…69b0 | Yes | 624 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfa7f…3058 | Yes | 583 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6b1a…2309 | Yes | 543 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | 500 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1c35…e165 | Yes | 500 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe22b…45ab | Yes | 500 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| omnibus-6c8b150x6c8b…645c | Yes | 460 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | 455 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9b89…720d | Yes | 400 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2aed…836f | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6d2a…43e4 | Yes | 332 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3736…9e5e | Yes | 313 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 294 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 291 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| RedRedAvatar0x073e…54c4 | Yes | 277 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 269 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7714…0720 | Yes | 250 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 13.1K shares each side · Show
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