Market · 3 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072 | No | 217,194 | 59.9¢ | $138K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 119 bets |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | Yes | 94,257 | 34.4¢ | $34.4K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| max1ved0x3c5d…7be1 | Yes | 80,880 | 37.0¢ | $29.5K | New21 settled bets |
| JnStPrdctns0xa98a…3b92 | No | 35,458 | 75.9¢ | $22.5K | New4 settled bets |
| greater-fools0x216b…d8a5 | Yes | 51,298 | 42.0¢ | $18.7K | New0 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 27,075 | 41.2¢ | $17.2K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| ohranoid0x9c10…43fe | Yes | 25,325 | 29.7¢ | $9.24K | — |
| RealMaxNick0x6dc4…6770 | No | 13,956 | 51.3¢ | $8.86K | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 857 bets |
| Tobias19090xe394…289c | No | 11,829 | 68.9¢ | $7.51K | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 1,326 bets |
| JaneStPredictions0xb57e…16c1 | No | 10,421 | 73.1¢ | $6.62K | New2 settled bets |
| JamieIstanbul0xbd31…97a4 | No | 9,785 | 65.9¢ | $6.21K | New67 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 8,998 | 64.6¢ | $5.71K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| MickyMauldib0x8b87…3e8d | No | 8,400 | 67.0¢ | $5.33K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 127 bets |
| CSSMLNDSMDVRSNSMVSMQLIVB0x0ced…5452 | Yes | 14,470 | 69.1¢ | $5.28K | New62 settled bets |
| VRVTeam0xe700…7005 | Yes | 14,058 | 40.0¢ | $5.13K | Positive+$20.63 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0xe8ce…6da0 | Yes | 14,000 | 43.7¢ | $5.11K | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 8,000 | 64.0¢ | $5.08K | Proven+$8.66 per $100 · 548 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 7,259 | 64.5¢ | $4.61K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| nate8520x2667…74cf | No | 6,000 | 67.4¢ | $3.81K | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 5,759 | 66.9¢ | $3.66K | Losing−$6.51 per $100 · 57,562+ bets · updating |
| KongX0xede1…7dd1 | Yes | 10,000 | 35.6¢ | $3.65K | Positive+$5.57 per $100 · 774 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 10,000 | 44.9¢ | $3.65K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0x9231…2212 | No | 5,275 | 71.3¢ | $3.35K | Losing−$6.63 per $100 · 174 bets |
| emrico0x6131…fd16 | Yes | 8,844 | 35.0¢ | $3.23K | New57 settled bets |
| nelbal84860x8c44…fcd4 | Yes | 8,780 | 67.2¢ | $3.2K | Positive+$4.41 per $100 · 128 bets |
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | No | 5,000 | 42.8¢ | $3.17K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| superbay22220x2de1…dbc5 | Yes | 8,524 | 66.1¢ | $3.11K | New72 settled bets |
| jingxingyhh0x1bbe…776d | No | 3,953 | 42.8¢ | $2.51K | Positive+$11.40 per $100 · 148 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 3,804 | 65.3¢ | $2.42K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 0x9a69…c2a0 | No | 3,767 | 65.7¢ | $2.39K | — |
| Poopek0x8b2d…67b3 | Yes | 5,285 | 30.6¢ | $1.93K | — |
| reelcs0xd0c2…8915 | Yes | 5,001 | 34.2¢ | $1.83K | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 2,627 | 30.5¢ | $1.67K | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| Lihazazs0x1ec6…7edb | Yes | 4,507 | 36.3¢ | $1.64K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 259 bets |
| chaoticgod0xffea…06c0 | Yes | 4,507 | 36.3¢ | $1.64K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 316 bets |
| Shari12340xceff…e47e | Yes | 4,315 | 51.6¢ | $1.58K | — |
| 0xa613…1bf9 | Yes | 4,031 | 37.8¢ | $1.47K | New99 settled bets |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Yes | 3,959 | 60.2¢ | $1.44K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| Thr33Musketeers0x8492…2cc3 | No | 2,081 | 65.9¢ | $1.32K | New21 settled bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | Yes | 3,500 | 46.6¢ | $1.28K | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 3,500 | 24.2¢ | $1.28K | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 1,730 | 64.0¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 67-ROBLOX-670x3425…cc0b | Yes | 2,893 | 35.8¢ | $1.06K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 1,653 | 41.6¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 2,608 | 31.6¢ | $952 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| expyexpy0x7ff1…bd17 | Yes | 2,437 | 32.1¢ | $889 | Losing−$14.98 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0x815d…8648 | No | 1,119 | 55.5¢ | $711 | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 130 bets |
| hack-vc0xdb1b…efb5 | No | 1,000 | 66.0¢ | $635 | — |
| orderfill0x1a37…6984 | No | 890 | 68.5¢ | $565 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 191 bets |
| accelarated0x39df…644b | Yes | 1,500 | 32.5¢ | $548 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 388 bets |
| EthanDeFi0x975a…359a | No | 800 | 48.0¢ | $508 | — |
| chillion0x88a2…68a0 | Yes | 1,368 | 31.3¢ | $499 | — |
| xiaoyinf0x2512…89bc | Yes | 1,200 | 34.7¢ | $438 | — |
| dave123450xc320…7637 | No | 680 | 37.4¢ | $432 | — |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | Yes | 1,177 | 50.8¢ | $430 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| 0xRevelation0xce49…4d44 | No | 634 | 70.5¢ | $402 | — |
| josephcasa750xd574…425d | No | 600 | 70.5¢ | $381 | — |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 1,000 | 35.0¢ | $365 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| napuk0xb464…9cda | Yes | 1,000 | 29.4¢ | $365 | New0 settled bets |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | Yes | 917 | 27.3¢ | $335 | Losing−$5.44 per $100 · 4,988 bets |
| weethe0xdd31…0a42 | Yes | 908 | 66.8¢ | $332 | — |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 486 | 73.1¢ | $308 | New22 settled bets |
| LBOJ0x5b3a…783e | Yes | 833 | 30.0¢ | $304 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 247 bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | No | 475 | 66.1¢ | $302 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| Dolllarydoos0x74fc…8d08 | Yes | 814 | 34.8¢ | $297 | Losing−$4.69 per $100 · 976 bets |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | Yes | 794 | 48.2¢ | $290 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| 0x9c54…1d08 | Yes | 793 | 36.6¢ | $289 | Losing−$7.04 per $100 · 243 bets |
| 0x4760…936f | Yes | 759 | 39.0¢ | $277 | New57 settled bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 433 | 38.4¢ | $275 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 714 | 65.4¢ | $261 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 373 | 60.1¢ | $237 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | Yes | 600 | 41.0¢ | $219 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| ValdeMURRR0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | 538 | 51.3¢ | $196 | Losing−$8.62 per $100 · 352 bets |
| Resender960x82ab…1f23 | Yes | 527 | 39.6¢ | $192 | — |
| 0x2eba…0f3a | No | 300 | 33.4¢ | $190 | — |
| ruslanbes0x66a5…56cb | Yes | 500 | 66.0¢ | $182 | — |
| franeotb0x0e3f…8e8d | No | 266 | 39.3¢ | $169 | — |
| 0x7ae8…ec84 | Yes | 410 | 63.0¢ | $150 | — |
| fgehua0xe2dd…d68e | Yes | 400 | 35.0¢ | $146 | — |
| efghvcdbjkpqwo0xe0a5…f6a4 | Yes | 400 | 61.2¢ | $146 | New78 settled bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 209 | 47.8¢ | $133 | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| 0xbae1…518d | No | 204 | 51.2¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x102a…c34d | Yes | 345 | 30.4¢ | $126 | — |
| 0x9dc7…8c0a | Yes | 317 | 64.6¢ | $116 | Losing−$52.35 per $100 · 367 bets |
| sh7770xea3a…f78e | No | 178 | 67.5¢ | $113 | — |
| 0x26cf…0153 | Yes | 300 | 33.3¢ | $110 | — |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | Yes | 300 | 70.5¢ | $110 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | No | 150 | 31.4¢ | $95 | — |
| tlalocai0x75fd…7265 | No | 148 | 70.1¢ | $94 | Losing−$1.22 per $100 · 15,268 bets |
| Kristinochka0x64c6…8f19 | No | 120 | 65.0¢ | $76 | — |
| Winningtoomuch0x79de…db49 | No | 112 | 69.6¢ | $71 | Proven+$12.51 per $100 · 209 bets |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 110 | 73.1¢ | $70 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| ib18330x5877…d3de | No | 110 | 48.7¢ | $70 | — |
| AnnaKur0xf2c3…0b5e | No | 110 | 66.0¢ | $70 | — |
| bigcryptobet0xb37b…da0c | No | 100 | 66.0¢ | $64 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | No | 100 | 65.0¢ | $63 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| chopin0x30f8…b824 | No | 77 | 66.1¢ | $49 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 1,355 bets |
| 0x1013…d032 | No | 50 | 69.5¢ | $32 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.