Market · 5 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072 | No | 133,753 | 67.7¢ | $108K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 85,637 | 82.3¢ | $68.9K | New22 settled bets |
| JaneStPredictions0xb57e…16c1 | No | 31,841 | 86.0¢ | $25.6K | New2 settled bets |
| greater-fools0x216b…d8a5 | Yes | 125,071 | 23.9¢ | $24.4K | New0 settled bets |
| meowtravel0x415d…7cb7 | No | 12,226 | 82.1¢ | $9.84K | — |
| 0x9231…2212 | No | 10,044 | 84.0¢ | $8.09K | Losing−$6.63 per $100 · 174 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 40,026 | 19.6¢ | $7.8K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 8,338 | 75.7¢ | $6.71K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| MickyMauldib0x8b87…3e8d | No | 5,656 | 75.4¢ | $4.55K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 127 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 5,000 | 80.0¢ | $4.02K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| RealMaxNick0x6dc4…6770 | No | 4,190 | 77.6¢ | $3.37K | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 857 bets |
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | No | 4,000 | 62.0¢ | $3.22K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 15,247 | 37.7¢ | $2.97K | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| emrico0x6131…fd16 | Yes | 15,000 | 20.8¢ | $2.93K | New57 settled bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 3,269 | 63.3¢ | $2.63K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| max1ved0x3c5d…7be1 | Yes | 12,332 | 20.5¢ | $2.4K | New21 settled bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 11,867 | 21.4¢ | $2.31K | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| Thr33Musketeers0x8492…2cc3 | No | 2,666 | 76.2¢ | $2.15K | New21 settled bets |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 10,054 | 20.0¢ | $1.96K | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| Tobias19090xe394…289c | Yes | 9,397 | 22.3¢ | $1.83K | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 1,326 bets |
| VRVTeam0xe700…7005 | Yes | 8,500 | 34.3¢ | $1.66K | Positive+$20.63 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0x9c54…1d08 | Yes | 5,981 | 22.9¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$7.04 per $100 · 243 bets |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | Yes | 5,479 | 19.2¢ | $1.07K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| josephcasa750xd574…425d | No | 1,305 | 83.0¢ | $1.05K | — |
| Jkk210xd9ae…4081 | No | 1,300 | 83.5¢ | $1.05K | New23 settled bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 5,000 | 45.1¢ | $975 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | Yes | 4,700 | 35.6¢ | $916 | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| JamieIstanbul0xbd31…97a4 | No | 1,000 | 80.0¢ | $805 | New67 settled bets |
| gamblito0x6452…30a1 | Yes | 4,075 | 25.8¢ | $795 | Losing−$6.12 per $100 · 391 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 960 | 68.7¢ | $773 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| efghvcdbjkpqwo0xe0a5…f6a4 | Yes | 3,700 | 39.7¢ | $721 | New78 settled bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 861 | 79.7¢ | $693 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| superbay22220x2de1…dbc5 | Yes | 3,261 | 47.7¢ | $636 | New72 settled bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 612 | 77.0¢ | $493 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| expyexpy0x7ff1…bd17 | Yes | 2,450 | 30.8¢ | $478 | Losing−$14.98 per $100 · 122 bets |
| AleksandarRS0x2da5…9c11 | Yes | 2,153 | 42.0¢ | $420 | — |
| 4lucky0xb37e…8d2f | Yes | 2,053 | 20.6¢ | $400 | New50 settled bets |
| 4851CK0x06da…f2ed | Yes | 2,049 | 32.5¢ | $400 | New52 settled bets |
| tonny190xf388…7f67 | Yes | 2,000 | 45.0¢ | $390 | New44 settled bets |
| Daviid.btv0x338b…26e4 | Yes | 1,914 | 36.6¢ | $373 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x1b46…67a2 | Yes | 1,837 | 46.5¢ | $358 | — |
| EthanDeFi0x975a…359a | No | 400 | 65.0¢ | $322 | — |
| lueagzil0x7389…9b89 | No | 392 | 82.2¢ | $316 | Losing−$4.66 per $100 · 512 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 1,516 | 48.9¢ | $296 | Losing−$8.17 per $100 · 163,834+ bets · updating |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,500 | 18.0¢ | $293 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| elAleman0x1a3f…7112 | Yes | 1,364 | 23.2¢ | $266 | — |
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | No | 310 | 54.9¢ | $250 | — |
| LBOJ0x5b3a…783e | Yes | 1,250 | 20.0¢ | $244 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 247 bets |
| Markximus0x6ef9…afac | Yes | 1,200 | 38.5¢ | $234 | — |
| lara.i0xde2b…feaf | Yes | 1,123 | 22.0¢ | $219 | — |
| PeterStuyvesant0xe476…30ee | No | 250 | 82.1¢ | $201 | New62 settled bets |
| accelarated0x39df…644b | Yes | 1,000 | 21.1¢ | $195 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 388 bets |
| moonboi1010xddae…8ee2 | Yes | 1,000 | 23.2¢ | $195 | New62 settled bets |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | Yes | 991 | 31.3¢ | $193 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 238 | 84.9¢ | $192 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 959 | 19.0¢ | $187 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| 0x94ee…5ebc | Yes | 870 | 48.2¢ | $170 | New2 settled bets |
| tradervader0xd7e6…4f99 | No | 200 | 60.7¢ | $161 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| CloudY-0950x4592…a49c | Yes | 766 | 39.6¢ | $149 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 182 | 69.6¢ | $147 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 181 | 61.7¢ | $145 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| PBH0xe24a…07db | No | 179 | 55.7¢ | $144 | — |
| fgtf46470x7f32…3e2c | Yes | 700 | 42.0¢ | $137 | Proven+$6.17 per $100 · 309 bets |
| newguy6660xf579…9989 | Yes | 600 | 18.0¢ | $117 | — |
| ArthurGreen0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | 511 | 21.1¢ | $100 | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 1,000 bets |
| cicciot0x8f0a…20ee | Yes | 503 | 22.2¢ | $98 | — |
| ANDRIS0xcfc5…817e | No | 120 | 61.0¢ | $97 | — |
| Winningtoomuch0x79de…db49 | No | 116 | 84.9¢ | $94 | Proven+$12.51 per $100 · 209 bets |
| 0xede8…ad70 | Yes | 479 | 51.7¢ | $93 | — |
| 0x8c75…103b | Yes | 470 | 22.2¢ | $92 | — |
| Resender960x82ab…1f23 | Yes | 419 | 22.2¢ | $82 | — |
| Galthran0x2b16…a4fc | No | 100 | 79.0¢ | $81 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 768 bets |
| AlwaysTimed0x13c2…b7c8 | Yes | 393 | 40.7¢ | $77 | — |
| teledavis0x49d1…be72 | No | 91 | 63.1¢ | $73 | — |
| germin0xde45…c2c0 | Yes | 270 | 38.1¢ | $53 | — |
| 00dd0xa1ff…f398 | Yes | 267 | 14.9¢ | $52 | — |
| Fisofas0x3094…cea6 | Yes | 254 | 27.0¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x9dc7…8c0a | Yes | 244 | 42.7¢ | $48 | Losing−$52.35 per $100 · 367 bets |
| bryccx0xd1e0…072a | No | 58 | 57.1¢ | $47 | — |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 55 | 80.3¢ | $44 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| Dolllarydoos0x74fc…8d08 | Yes | 216 | 22.2¢ | $42 | Losing−$4.69 per $100 · 976 bets |
| 0x27f8…f927 | Yes | 208 | 25.3¢ | $41 | — |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc0x477a…2d8e | No | 50 | 79.2¢ | $40 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Hefe0x8e31…4716 | No | 50 | 80.0¢ | $40 | — |
| jcy890x2a01…9b9f | Yes | 200 | 25.8¢ | $39 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 45 | 79.9¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 40 | 60.0¢ | $32 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 367 bets |
| tlalocai0x75fd…7265 | No | 33 | 83.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$1.22 per $100 · 15,268 bets |
| Ciezar0x73f9…00c8 | No | 30 | 62.0¢ | $24 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 120 | 19.7¢ | $23 | New62 settled bets |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 23 | 64.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| jinwujinshu0x06fb…9713 | No | 20 | 81.1¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 895 bets |
| SayGoodbyeFireflies0x0dcd…9910 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $16 | — |
| andorrinobcn0x5593…fdbb | No | 17 | 60.3¢ | $14 | Losing−$11.46 per $100 · 149 bets |
| 0x1db5…ef2f | No | 17 | 61.0¢ | $14 | — |
| kennyKING0x576c…5050 | No | 16 | 65.6¢ | $13 | — |
| f3090xcb81…a029 | No | 15 | 79.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Verified.Counts0x410c…f7f0 | No | 13 | 81.1¢ | $10 | — |
| iminmymomscarbroombroom0x2eae…8d29 | No | 12 | 82.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 350 bets |
| ktv.test0x1b89…5e65 | Yes | 35 | 19.9¢ | $7 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.