Market · 6 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072 | No | 278,075 | 73.7¢ | $238K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 119 bets |
| RealMaxNick0x6dc4…6770 | No | 47,220 | 59.1¢ | $40.4K | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 857 bets |
| JaneStPredictions0xb57e…16c1 | No | 42,070 | 91.3¢ | $36K | New2 settled bets |
| MickyMauldib0x8b87…3e8d | No | 37,419 | 68.5¢ | $32K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 127 bets |
| greater-fools0x216b…d8a5 | Yes | 103,304 | 24.1¢ | $15K | New0 settled bets |
| Lunarcorona0x96e8…bf9f | Yes | 73,398 | 20.2¢ | $10.6K | New22 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 9,350 | 84.0¢ | $7.99K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| JamieIstanbul0xbd31…97a4 | No | 7,839 | 70.4¢ | $6.7K | New67 settled bets |
| cosmicxbt0x9ee4…697b | No | 7,104 | 64.6¢ | $6.07K | New35 settled bets |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 6,954 | 85.0¢ | $5.95K | New22 settled bets |
| 0x9231…2212 | No | 5,901 | 81.4¢ | $5.04K | Losing−$6.63 per $100 · 174 bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 5,495 | 91.6¢ | $4.7K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | Yes | 31,344 | 15.9¢ | $4.54K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| Jkk210xd9ae…4081 | No | 4,847 | 88.7¢ | $4.14K | New23 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 23,077 | 15.3¢ | $3.35K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 3,394 | 29.0¢ | $2.9K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 3,224 | 85.0¢ | $2.76K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | No | 3,000 | 89.6¢ | $2.56K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 2,927 | 86.4¢ | $2.5K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 0x0321…8cb5 | No | 2,853 | 86.8¢ | $2.44K | New24 settled bets |
| superbay22220x2de1…dbc5 | Yes | 15,564 | 32.8¢ | $2.26K | New72 settled bets |
| Cyclewin0xbc0a…35cd | Yes | 12,460 | 16.1¢ | $1.81K | New0 settled bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 1,943 | 73.7¢ | $1.66K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| VRVTeam0xe700…7005 | Yes | 10,297 | 22.5¢ | $1.49K | Positive+$20.63 per $100 · 101 bets |
| emrico0x6131…fd16 | Yes | 10,000 | 14.8¢ | $1.45K | New57 settled bets |
| KongX0xede1…7dd1 | Yes | 10,000 | 14.8¢ | $1.45K | Positive+$5.57 per $100 · 774 bets |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 10,000 | 14.0¢ | $1.45K | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| L20250x6408…c7ae | Yes | 10,000 | 46.9¢ | $1.45K | Positive+$4.92 per $100 · 241 bets |
| prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8 | No | 1,690 | 85.1¢ | $1.44K | New82 settled bets |
| 0xde5e…3a94 | Yes | 9,650 | 52.4¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 158 bets |
| xfinity0x919e…4e9b | Yes | 9,386 | 47.4¢ | $1.36K | New21 settled bets |
| Thr33Musketeers0x8492…2cc3 | No | 1,558 | 77.2¢ | $1.33K | New21 settled bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | Yes | 8,564 | 65.7¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| 0xb560…452a | No | 1,447 | 22.2¢ | $1.24K | New4 settled bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 8,000 | 30.6¢ | $1.16K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| Mark03090x3b0d…073f | Yes | 7,659 | 16.2¢ | $1.11K | Losing−$5.27 per $100 · 273 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,172 | 82.2¢ | $1K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 1,111 | 86.0¢ | $950 | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 6,354 | 19.7¢ | $921 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| 0x2f64…9138 | Yes | 6,265 | 36.8¢ | $908 | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 639 bets |
| 0x2270…6732 | Yes | 6,127 | 16.5¢ | $888 | New4 settled bets |
| Satoshiiii260x9fbd…572c | No | 1,033 | 88.7¢ | $883 | New24 settled bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 1,009 | 86.8¢ | $863 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| 0xc6e1…3b95 | No | 1,000 | 86.8¢ | $855 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 431 bets |
| sameday10xe36f…cd91 | Yes | 5,875 | 71.0¢ | $852 | New64 settled bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 5,831 | 11.9¢ | $846 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 5,352 | 9.0¢ | $776 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0x9c54…1d08 | Yes | 5,236 | 17.1¢ | $759 | Losing−$7.04 per $100 · 243 bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | Yes | 4,499 | 32.3¢ | $652 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| RV1130x2d29…f683 | No | 716 | 80.5¢ | $612 | Break-even−$0.61 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| kot.v.tance0x5be2…8fa3 | No | 705 | 68.4¢ | $603 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 535 bets |
| Erka-RoadTo1M0x22e6…409f | Yes | 4,002 | 22.5¢ | $580 | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 1,440 bets |
| RogerKint0xf5d6…b213 | Yes | 4,000 | 38.2¢ | $580 | New87 settled bets |
| samuraicoco0x939c…ad45 | Yes | 3,858 | 36.6¢ | $559 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 101 bets |
| PeterStuyvesant0xe476…30ee | No | 615 | 86.3¢ | $526 | New62 settled bets |
| omg870xb326…c43f | No | 600 | 86.8¢ | $513 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 3,507 | 20.8¢ | $509 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| goodshape0xc893…b7b0 | Yes | 3,360 | 23.8¢ | $487 | New46 settled bets |
| chopin0x30f8…b824 | No | 551 | 73.9¢ | $471 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 1,355 bets |
| 0x0340…6907 | Yes | 3,213 | 80.7¢ | $466 | Proven+$12.73 per $100 · 163 bets |
| yurlppy0xd2c9…bac8 | No | 532 | 20.1¢ | $455 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 3,246 bets |
| accelarated0x39df…644b | Yes | 2,500 | 14.8¢ | $363 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 388 bets |
| 4851CK0x06da…f2ed | Yes | 2,453 | 21.5¢ | $356 | New52 settled bets |
| expyexpy0x7ff1…bd17 | Yes | 2,433 | 26.8¢ | $353 | Losing−$14.98 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0xfa95…2ce6 | Yes | 2,163 | 41.2¢ | $314 | New0 settled bets |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 363 | 83.4¢ | $310 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| ployJojo0xb523…4b8f | Yes | 2,019 | 38.9¢ | $293 | Proven+$9.33 per $100 · 728 bets |
| fgtf46470x7f32…3e2c | Yes | 2,000 | 27.8¢ | $290 | Proven+$6.17 per $100 · 309 bets |
| WorldCup11330x4e92…e4fc | Yes | 1,855 | 21.4¢ | $269 | New61 settled bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 300 | 88.7¢ | $257 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| maybeno2760xd1ba…8737 | No | 300 | 72.0¢ | $257 | New69 settled bets |
| lueagzil0x7389…9b89 | No | 300 | 83.3¢ | $256 | Losing−$4.66 per $100 · 512 bets |
| Lihazazs0x1ec6…7edb | Yes | 1,660 | 16.2¢ | $241 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 259 bets |
| chaoticgod0xffea…06c0 | Yes | 1,660 | 16.0¢ | $241 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 316 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 1,456 | 21.6¢ | $211 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 0x94ee…5ebc | Yes | 1,427 | 29.7¢ | $207 | New2 settled bets |
| darth123450x6ccc…653f | Yes | 1,426 | 59.3¢ | $207 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 634 bets |
| efghvcdbjkpqwo0xe0a5…f6a4 | Yes | 1,400 | 25.8¢ | $203 | New78 settled bets |
| KohenGadol0x91fd…51aa | No | 233 | 44.7¢ | $199 | Losing−$6.13 per $100 · 238 bets |
| Winningtoomuch0x79de…db49 | No | 224 | 86.6¢ | $191 | Proven+$12.51 per $100 · 209 bets |
| Mr.Anderson.0x4a13…ee8d | Yes | 1,312 | 16.1¢ | $190 | New58 settled bets |
| Bouplai0xc56b…0e6d | Yes | 1,273 | 35.9¢ | $185 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 291 bets |
| Top1-J0xa576…8678 | Yes | 1,188 | 73.1¢ | $172 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 606 bets |
| bigcryptobet0xb37b…da0c | No | 200 | 87.4¢ | $171 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| robinhoodx0xb2dc…b433 | Yes | 1,159 | 20.1¢ | $168 | Proven+$3.45 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Dolllarydoos0x74fc…8d08 | Yes | 1,157 | 17.8¢ | $168 | Losing−$4.69 per $100 · 976 bets |
| tlalocai0x75fd…7265 | No | 192 | 53.9¢ | $164 | Losing−$1.22 per $100 · 15,268 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 190 | 86.5¢ | $162 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| cxpMacWin0x5c6c…9707 | Yes | 1,100 | 50.2¢ | $160 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 208 bets |
| 0x2d75…308b | Yes | 1,082 | 19.5¢ | $157 | New16 settled bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | No | 165 | 84.0¢ | $141 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| orderfill0x1a37…6984 | No | 162 | 64.6¢ | $139 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 191 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 150 | 83.2¢ | $128 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 367 bets |
| Dreamer19730x5571…a167 | No | 146 | 87.8¢ | $125 | New99 settled bets |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 108 | 82.6¢ | $93 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| Kirils0xc689…9279 | No | 101 | 70.0¢ | $86 | Losing−$2.32 per $100 · 184 bets |
| Galthran0x2b16…a4fc | No | 100 | 87.0¢ | $86 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 768 bets |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | 100 | 86.8¢ | $86 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| tradervader0xd7e6…4f99 | No | 100 | 76.3¢ | $86 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 578 | 14.8¢ | $84 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.