Market · 8 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072 | No | 709,351 | 54.2¢ | $649K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 83,429 | 91.9¢ | $76.3K | New22 settled bets |
| floatingraft0x56ad…f13e | No | 70,000 | 82.9¢ | $64K | Losing−$12.10 per $100 · 115 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 40,440 | 70.6¢ | $37K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 38,970 | 76.3¢ | $35.7K | Proven+$13.75 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | No | 38,562 | 28.7¢ | $35.3K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| rabbit20180xdbad…9352 | No | 36,286 | 38.8¢ | $33.2K | Losing−$13.54 per $100 · 2,815 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | No | 29,090 | 89.3¢ | $26.6K | Proven+$8.79 per $100 · 547 bets |
| Baderbet0x67ae…0f0a | No | 27,628 | 34.2¢ | $25.3K | New11 settled bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | No | 22,283 | 30.0¢ | $20.4K | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 19,095 | 48.7¢ | $17.5K | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 16,567 | 76.2¢ | $15.2K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| bitcoin-betting.com.0x83e2…dd5e | No | 16,139 | 67.1¢ | $14.8K | New56 settled bets |
| VibeyQuant0x1f85…a51b | No | 15,894 | 61.8¢ | $14.5K | Proven+$3.12 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 15,655 | 63.0¢ | $14.3K | New57 settled bets |
| datamint0xddf0…119b | No | 13,377 | 77.3¢ | $12.2K | New96 settled bets |
| Gdub0x0b64…49bd | No | 13,351 | 31.6¢ | $12.2K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 1,466 bets |
| Cyclewin0xbc0a…35cd | Yes | 138,800 | 10.4¢ | $11.8K | New0 settled bets |
| sowhat20x99dc…7d0a | No | 10,580 | 45.3¢ | $9.68K | New24 settled bets |
| scsa.260x0f01…079e | No | 10,028 | 42.9¢ | $9.18K | New15 settled bets |
| smartbaza0x8f10…8b9b | No | 10,000 | 50.1¢ | $9.15K | New7 settled bets |
| Marioy0x66ad…cc4e | No | 10,000 | 29.0¢ | $9.15K | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 460 bets |
| allen1110x269c…9017 | No | 10,000 | 29.0¢ | $9.15K | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 705 bets |
| valueorbubble0x6453…5553 | No | 9,167 | 34.0¢ | $8.39K | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 138 bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 8,447 | 80.8¢ | $7.73K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 245 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 7,608 | 89.5¢ | $6.96K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| jingxingyhh0x1bbe…776d | No | 7,500 | 92.0¢ | $6.86K | Positive+$11.40 per $100 · 148 bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 6,587 | 82.0¢ | $6.03K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| cornboy0xa163…4dd3 | No | 6,561 | 24.0¢ | $6K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 4,451 bets |
| Baoyingjishuchiyouzhe0x38a3…9a02 | No | 6,369 | 28.2¢ | $5.83K | New84 settled bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 6,330 | 87.7¢ | $5.79K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| ChasingPaper0x8dc7…116f | No | 6,207 | 46.8¢ | $5.68K | Proven+$10.97 per $100 · 442 bets |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 62,402 | 13.5¢ | $5.3K | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| ETHhedge0x9a1f…c925 | Yes | 61,060 | 35.4¢ | $5.19K | New0 settled bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 5,400 | 46.8¢ | $4.94K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| 1651989890x2721…325b | No | 5,324 | 38.5¢ | $4.87K | Losing−$6.24 per $100 · 810 bets |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 5,091 | 34.8¢ | $4.66K | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | No | 5,000 | 57.0¢ | $4.58K | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 66.0¢ | $4.57K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| completion0xfeb5…a393 | No | 4,700 | 31.3¢ | $4.3K | Proven+$7.18 per $100 · 4,391 bets |
| gdebablo0xd980…5be0 | Yes | 50,000 | 12.7¢ | $4.25K | Positive+$26.62 per $100 · 611 bets |
| 0x0340…6907 | Yes | 49,428 | 55.2¢ | $4.2K | Proven+$12.73 per $100 · 163 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 4,538 | 48.3¢ | $4.15K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| bitcoinmafia0x4d3e…783b | No | 4,500 | 61.0¢ | $4.12K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 1,246 bets |
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 4,090 | 36.7¢ | $3.74K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| Jakato0x9b26…2211 | Yes | 40,984 | 24.0¢ | $3.48K | New7 settled bets |
| 0xda5b…8cce | Yes | 40,636 | 56.5¢ | $3.45K | New2 settled bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 3,694 | 67.1¢ | $3.38K | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| greater-fools0x216b…d8a5 | Yes | 37,677 | 21.7¢ | $3.2K | New0 settled bets |
| 1337hax0x2683…b5bf | No | 3,490 | 64.4¢ | $3.19K | Losing−$3.08 per $100 · 299 bets |
| porti0xe54d…391d | No | 3,483 | 46.1¢ | $3.19K | New6 settled bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 3,407 | 45.3¢ | $3.12K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| BabySharkk0xf20a…642f | Yes | 34,627 | 7.0¢ | $2.94K | Positive+$4.72 per $100 · 548 bets |
| 0xb560…452a | No | 3,061 | 47.3¢ | $2.8K | New4 settled bets |
| gengis1110x8b14…d0b1 | Yes | 32,933 | 55.4¢ | $2.8K | New37 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 3,049 | 80.5¢ | $2.79K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Larry880x7992…48bf | Yes | 32,500 | 32.6¢ | $2.76K | New82 settled bets |
| cramso0x36d0…bf76 | No | 3,015 | 27.4¢ | $2.76K | Losing−$49.79 per $100 · 1,668 bets |
| KaZaMaKung0xe708…47d7 | No | 3,005 | 40.6¢ | $2.75K | New55 settled bets |
| Newbietrading0x7b37…222b | No | 2,883 | 52.7¢ | $2.64K | New23 settled bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 2,854 | 52.1¢ | $2.61K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| allback0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | 30,613 | 71.5¢ | $2.6K | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 260 bets |
| 0xd19a…be97 | Yes | 25,661 | 12.6¢ | $2.18K | New14 settled bets |
| xfinity0x919e…4e9b | Yes | 24,404 | 42.6¢ | $2.07K | New21 settled bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 23,135 | 36.6¢ | $1.97K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| Pi3.140x90d0…e7b5 | Yes | 21,530 | 46.8¢ | $1.83K | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 358 bets |
| Armando670x128e…abfa | Yes | 20,468 | 51.1¢ | $1.74K | New41 settled bets |
| sssxx0x60bf…15aa | Yes | 20,000 | 58.5¢ | $1.7K | New27 settled bets |
| z1810x7c46…ddac | Yes | 19,100 | 45.1¢ | $1.62K | New8 settled bets |
| btc1800000x8369…680b | Yes | 18,922 | 35.0¢ | $1.61K | New2 settled bets |
| bitcoin80x73be…2b67 | Yes | 17,017 | 35.9¢ | $1.45K | New2 settled bets |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 15,941 | 9.0¢ | $1.36K | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| CSSMLNDSMDVRSNSMVSMQLIVB0x0ced…5452 | Yes | 15,358 | 55.8¢ | $1.31K | New62 settled bets |
| habibihello0xa759…ea9e | Yes | 14,915 | 44.1¢ | $1.27K | New0 settled bets |
| 0xde5e…3a94 | Yes | 14,186 | 52.5¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 158 bets |
| 0x9b4b…7a73 | Yes | 12,034 | 76.1¢ | $1.02K | New7 settled bets |
| SwingXBT0xa0a1…31e3 | Yes | 11,968 | 53.2¢ | $1.02K | New41 settled bets |
| forget70x4e47…4122 | Yes | 10,128 | 10.6¢ | $861 | Losing−$21.80 per $100 · 275 bets |
| KongX0xede1…7dd1 | Yes | 10,000 | 10.4¢ | $850 | Positive+$5.57 per $100 · 774 bets |
| weaksweak0x04f8…a547 | Yes | 9,974 | 61.7¢ | $848 | New30 settled bets |
| Cesky-narodni-bowlingovy-tym0x7d33…d482 | Yes | 8,961 | 55.8¢ | $762 | New1 settled bet |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 8,173 | 13.0¢ | $695 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 7,902 | 57.6¢ | $672 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 0x2f64…9138 | Yes | 7,893 | 37.1¢ | $671 | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 639 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 7,754 | 68.9¢ | $659 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| TradeLearner0xf575…c1d5 | Yes | 7,500 | 8.0¢ | $637 | New13 settled bets |
| jakeman1230xd8c6…9211 | Yes | 7,411 | 19.9¢ | $630 | Losing−$6.71 per $100 · 261 bets |
| qweri3140x7671…56b8 | Yes | 7,215 | 16.8¢ | $613 | New0 settled bets |
| Simoz230010xcb60…4c99 | Yes | 6,934 | 13.4¢ | $589 | New1 settled bet |
| 4851CK0x06da…f2ed | Yes | 6,905 | 13.3¢ | $587 | New52 settled bets |
| srmiiie0xbca5…8727 | Yes | 6,665 | 27.1¢ | $567 | Losing−$55.78 per $100 · 173 bets |
| yyyyz0x2a97…1f4b | Yes | 6,500 | 46.9¢ | $552 | New78 settled bets |
| dzjzh0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | 6,400 | 60.6¢ | $544 | New4 settled bets |
| Wolffzc0x4628…14b9 | Yes | 6,335 | 42.6¢ | $539 | New10 settled bets |
| rmax0x02ed…7251 | Yes | 5,890 | 14.1¢ | $501 | New60 settled bets |
| shortcrypto140xe58c…942a | Yes | 5,885 | 51.1¢ | $500 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x3a6f…8b59 | Yes | 5,792 | 33.0¢ | $492 | New2 settled bets |
| xiewenxin0xb3e3…b829 | Yes | 5,739 | 26.5¢ | $488 | New1 settled bet |
| ibetwandwin0x867c…a0cc | Yes | 5,704 | 50.7¢ | $485 | New1 settled bet |
| publicenemies0x6c3a…0d47 | Yes | 5,620 | 19.9¢ | $478 | New53 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.