Market · 26 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sameday10xe36f…cd91 | No | 15,259 | 96.8¢ | $15.2K | New64 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 8,119 | 98.0¢ | $8.07K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 7,273 | 96.3¢ | $7.23K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 2,118 | 98.4¢ | $2.11K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | No | 1,930 | 53.0¢ | $1.92K | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| 0x019e…af1d | No | 1,640 | 97.1¢ | $1.63K | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| olegs0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | 1,402 | 99.3¢ | $1.39K | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 5,279 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1,350 | 97.3¢ | $1.34K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| burann0xc13e…fb8f | No | 1,071 | 95.8¢ | $1.06K | — |
| estateshomer0xca22…2ee7 | No | 1,000 | 96.7¢ | $995 | — |
| zd888880xaa0d…c48c | No | 476 | 97.7¢ | $474 | — |
| realchump200x881c…0f28 | No | 378 | 96.1¢ | $376 | New75 settled bets |
| 0x0321…8cb5 | No | 319 | 98.0¢ | $317 | New24 settled bets |
| 0x091e…84bc | No | 308 | 97.8¢ | $306 | — |
| cdhack5210x1d9f…1471 | No | 305 | 98.3¢ | $304 | — |
| fafadj220x5e2a…f2a2 | No | 305 | 98.3¢ | $304 | — |
| xianghui0x9d9a…f083 | No | 282 | 99.4¢ | $280 | — |
| bitcointothemoon0xf591…6ad5 | No | 277 | 98.3¢ | $275 | — |
| zhoushan70x5a88…023d | No | 225 | 99.4¢ | $224 | — |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 207 | 96.3¢ | $206 | — |
| notworthit0x1b3f…b538 | No | 200 | 97.9¢ | $199 | — |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 200 | 96.2¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| continuekaton0x7d7a…bc1f | No | 200 | 99.0¢ | $199 | — |
| 19youeryeang0x8753…8262 | No | 200 | 97.8¢ | $199 | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 193 | 98.5¢ | $192 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| 0x3153…8e0f | No | 177 | 96.2¢ | $177 | — |
| calebkinygi0x2480…c148 | No | 158 | 97.6¢ | $157 | — |
| health20250x1d43…bc88 | No | 153 | 98.3¢ | $152 | — |
| f0330xe159…2c22 | No | 148 | 99.0¢ | $147 | — |
| xiaossanjia0x2abc…9110 | No | 141 | 98.0¢ | $140 | — |
| tiger110xe821…b27e | Yes | 23,878 | 2.3¢ | $131 | Losing−$2.71 per $100 · 6,036 bets |
| 0xec89…9796 | No | 130 | 96.3¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x59e5…66ab | No | 126 | 96.2¢ | $125 | — |
| 5e777260x1dd8…d130 | No | 121 | 99.3¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x1404…08a5 | No | 118 | 0.0¢ | $117 | — |
| 8f3B2C0xc425…daf0 | No | 117 | 99.3¢ | $116 | — |
| eCB360x6bfb…2623 | No | 114 | 99.3¢ | $113 | — |
| facaipolymarket0x86d7…d57f | No | 111 | 99.1¢ | $110 | — |
| kazuha0xb9eb…f48c | No | 106 | 98.2¢ | $105 | — |
| stagekjsan0xfe50…618a | No | 103 | 97.6¢ | $102 | — |
| shimauma50x0403…6928 | No | 102 | 98.2¢ | $101 | — |
| lovehjy0xc28a…96d9 | No | 102 | 98.2¢ | $101 | — |
| fgasdf0x565e…3ca6 | No | 102 | 98.3¢ | $101 | — |
| fishfeet0xc11f…95ad | No | 102 | 98.3¢ | $101 | — |
| geoposany0x9309…c705 | No | 102 | 98.3¢ | $101 | — |
| byikg6jhvgf0xcb07…a553 | No | 101 | 98.9¢ | $101 | — |
| opennight0x1436…f300 | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $99 | — |
| beautifulbb0x1b81…a5e5 | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $99 | — |
| liuv60x64e2…6825 | No | 100 | 96.8¢ | $99 | — |
| Betttttttttnn0x6ca9…3f78 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $99 | New7 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $99 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0x9796…0d2f | Yes | 15,188 | 2.5¢ | $84 | — |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 12,372 | 2.5¢ | $68 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| 2121212121212121212120x1bc0…4429 | Yes | 6,115 | 3.8¢ | $34 | Proven+$4.29 per $100 · 572 bets |
| mommy-0x05f0…fc39 | Yes | 928 | 3.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 880 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| XXFOSTER0x666a…da22 | Yes | 720 | 2.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xe4e7…17c3 | Yes | 552 | 3.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 431 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| lucasadonisryan0x659c…d142 | Yes | 400 | 3.4¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 381 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| Dantev0x6c41…fb65 | Yes | 381 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | 250 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 210 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| blurmaggie8880xd7e4…7137 | Yes | 208 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| graysonmiawalker0x535f…9667 | Yes | 205 | 3.4¢ | $1 | — |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 198 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| 0x6f3d…76a2 | Yes | 187 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 170 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| 0x310d…a485 | Yes | 125 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Surfgirl760xe30e…4743 | Yes | 124 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| celinetwentyeight0xeb68…1ff1 | Yes | 101 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 100 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6c57…0d5b | Yes | 84 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| VinolinG0x0c45…6bbf | Yes | 77 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaa16…e664 | Yes | 75 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 60 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Aliesha0xe66f…f658 | Yes | 56 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 50 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ROGERMIR0x4146…01a2 | Yes | 45 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| clausemaster0x9b68…b64b | Yes | 36 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf118…079e | Yes | 34 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb299…d48c | Yes | 32 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| wpsk0xc518…671c | Yes | 27 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| abc12311124410x5b29…e882 | Yes | 26 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| WilliMekkit0x8031…c84c | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| BubaGump0x57ba…655e | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a40…599e | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Energeticone0x00fa…30be | Yes | 24 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| jithinchandran70x1c9d…0c43 | Yes | 23 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 23 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed89…647b | Yes | 5 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| blessedshirt0xb8eb…cfcc | Yes | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | Yes | 1 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420230xd035…f165 | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 0 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | 0 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 553 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| kuash0x517b…fe53 | Yes | 0 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| acc320x3a30…99ec | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.