Market · 17 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 211,902 | 92.8¢ | $207K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| ETHhedge0x9a1f…c925 | No | 74,643 | 85.2¢ | $73K | New0 settled bets |
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 52,708 | 94.7¢ | $51.5K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| MarkLuis0x5db4…5d55 | No | 23,656 | 87.2¢ | $23.1K | New19 settled bets |
| 0x2c33…0563 | No | 19,996 | 85.9¢ | $19.5K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 14,034 bets |
| notprofitabl0x42d1…dab6 | No | 19,509 | 95.3¢ | $19.1K | New0 settled bets |
| bitcoin-betting.com.0x83e2…dd5e | No | 15,667 | 87.3¢ | $15.3K | New56 settled bets |
| aleksandmoney0x8f14…1e77 | No | 15,084 | 85.7¢ | $14.7K | Losing−$1.25 per $100 · 2,282 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 15,048 | 75.4¢ | $14.7K | New57 settled bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 13,763 | 94.4¢ | $13.5K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 9,236 | 79.1¢ | $9.03K | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 9,004 | 82.6¢ | $8.8K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 7,500 | 95.7¢ | $7.33K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 7,030 | 81.1¢ | $6.87K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| kiki215670x9a20…9cb5 | No | 6,700 | 88.0¢ | $6.55K | New9 settled bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 6,390 | 94.3¢ | $6.25K | New83 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 6,072 | 97.8¢ | $5.94K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 5,669 | 84.2¢ | $5.54K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| imakebigbets0x09e3…48ac | No | 5,643 | 83.3¢ | $5.52K | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 440 bets |
| 0xf924…7545 | No | 5,495 | 97.4¢ | $5.37K | New11 settled bets |
| 1651989890x2721…325b | No | 5,463 | 73.2¢ | $5.34K | Losing−$6.24 per $100 · 810 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | No | 5,451 | 96.8¢ | $5.33K | New39 settled bets |
| liuxh190xc95b…b355 | No | 5,400 | 95.0¢ | $5.28K | New18 settled bets |
| defi-vegeta0x7158…22a6 | No | 5,219 | 76.0¢ | $5.1K | New3 settled bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 5,000 | 95.0¢ | $4.89K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,235 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 4,484 | 92.1¢ | $4.38K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 4,460 | 83.5¢ | $4.36K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 4,116 | 90.1¢ | $4.02K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| continuepeople0xcf15…f89f | No | 4,054 | 74.0¢ | $3.96K | New14 settled bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 4,005 | 92.1¢ | $3.91K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| Packed0x8db6…09da | No | 3,308 | 88.0¢ | $3.23K | New26 settled bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 3,000 | 81.8¢ | $2.93K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| tryingout10xba0e…5ceb | No | 3,000 | 86.0¢ | $2.93K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 145 bets |
| JetXBTcn0xa206…2cad | No | 2,900 | 87.0¢ | $2.83K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 155 bets |
| elonbust.ai0x362f…f6b9 | No | 2,780 | 85.0¢ | $2.72K | Losing−$15.94 per $100 · 142 bets |
| Alacritous0xeecd…9faa | No | 2,581 | 81.8¢ | $2.52K | New21 settled bets |
| pg13130xf53e…2728 | No | 2,300 | 84.6¢ | $2.25K | Proven+$11.65 per $100 · 180 bets |
| amis0xc1a5…f290 | No | 2,222 | 91.6¢ | $2.17K | Proven+$2.62 per $100 · 349 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 2,200 | 88.7¢ | $2.15K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| cornboy0xa163…4dd3 | No | 2,184 | 70.0¢ | $2.13K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 4,451 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | No | 2,000 | 80.0¢ | $1.96K | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| kirillostrovski0xb357…ff05 | No | 2,000 | 83.0¢ | $1.96K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 222 bets |
| 0x019e…af1d | No | 1,918 | 78.8¢ | $1.87K | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 1,843 | 73.5¢ | $1.8K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 1,767 | 81.1¢ | $1.73K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| Bailu20260x33f0…433a | Yes | 67,052 | 25.3¢ | $1.51K | New3 settled bets |
| metacharsiu0x63b5…7ec8 | No | 1,500 | 73.0¢ | $1.47K | New66 settled bets |
| polyprinter0x45c4…eee1 | No | 1,466 | 87.1¢ | $1.43K | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 101 bets |
| beastprinting0x4952…44b7 | No | 1,457 | 87.1¢ | $1.42K | New89 settled bets |
| gokutokyo0xf742…7ab6 | No | 1,412 | 77.7¢ | $1.38K | New53 settled bets |
| cruise3050x09f2…7090 | Yes | 59,048 | 11.4¢ | $1.33K | New0 settled bets |
| FXC0x2d88…d5e8 | No | 1,141 | 87.4¢ | $1.12K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 1,534 bets |
| ProBoszcz0x979d…fcfa | Yes | 44,644 | 14.8¢ | $1K | New11 settled bets |
| arnoldschwar0xceb8…f901 | Yes | 25,724 | 16.0¢ | $579 | New16 settled bets |
| 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | 25,559 | 20.8¢ | $575 | New0 settled bets |
| D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd00x861f…177d | Yes | 23,301 | 23.6¢ | $524 | New11 settled bets |
| 0x7db9…d477 | Yes | 22,976 | 10.7¢ | $517 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x419c…8142 | Yes | 20,123 | 26.2¢ | $453 | New0 settled bets |
| maybeyesno0x3c67…44a8 | Yes | 18,000 | 27.2¢ | $405 | New7 settled bets |
| Iron9850x4d21…9e1b | Yes | 16,984 | 28.7¢ | $382 | New2 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 15,887 | 2.7¢ | $357 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | 15,284 | 9.8¢ | $344 | New23 settled bets |
| 0x129e…1547 | Yes | 13,725 | 21.5¢ | $309 | New3 settled bets |
| jupjupjup0x09b1…a301 | Yes | 12,363 | 15.5¢ | $278 | New51 settled bets |
| jorgenjoy0xdd3f…e1ee | Yes | 11,294 | 15.5¢ | $254 | New92 settled bets |
| goodshape0xc893…b7b0 | Yes | 11,172 | 14.7¢ | $251 | New46 settled bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 10,849 | 22.4¢ | $244 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| wglbnwallet0xdfcf…a44c | Yes | 10,183 | 27.8¢ | $229 | New23 settled bets |
| b3tm0re0x8c10…ed7d | Yes | 10,000 | 24.0¢ | $225 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 1,830 bets |
| dontshow0x294a…bbba | Yes | 10,000 | 10.0¢ | $225 | Losing−$3.75 per $100 · 389 bets |
| Becter0xd8c2…fbaa | Yes | 9,780 | 9.6¢ | $220 | New0 settled bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 9,622 | 7.7¢ | $217 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,911 bets |
| 0xpirate110x4e63…6130 | Yes | 9,314 | 15.9¢ | $210 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 7,378 | 6.5¢ | $166 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| Vitus-Stonks0x27fd…5464 | Yes | 7,219 | 25.4¢ | $162 | Positive+$1.94 per $100 · 219 bets |
| shortcrypto140xe58c…942a | Yes | 6,981 | 8.3¢ | $157 | New2 settled bets |
| traderwolfy0x4cf7…28bb | Yes | 6,282 | 20.0¢ | $141 | New41 settled bets |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 6,161 | 0.9¢ | $139 | Positive+$2.41 per $100 · 1,380 bets |
| marmotamarmolejo0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | 6,139 | 16.2¢ | $138 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 213 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 5,460 | 5.5¢ | $123 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Yaroslav5850xa863…5d68 | Yes | 5,195 | 11.8¢ | $117 | New0 settled bets |
| rodt00xe8c9…83b2 | Yes | 5,108 | 19.6¢ | $115 | New0 settled bets |
| satoshi2130x2c9e…f27c | Yes | 5,090 | 20.2¢ | $115 | New14 settled bets |
| Drivetim30xe21a…57a9 | Yes | 5,000 | 23.0¢ | $113 | New4 settled bets |
| Moneymovesmaster0xbf44…4d45 | Yes | 4,750 | 28.1¢ | $107 | New89 settled bets |
| Carpool0x4e61…82ee | Yes | 4,747 | 12.8¢ | $107 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 131 bets |
| Taurusss0x1e5a…935f | Yes | 4,410 | 4.6¢ | $99 | Losing−$50.48 per $100 · 534 bets |
| DarthCarpool0x1852…bc50 | Yes | 4,067 | 13.0¢ | $92 | New7 settled bets |
| roleks0xab6c…88d9 | Yes | 3,967 | 16.8¢ | $89 | New57 settled bets |
| poledy0x8017…1a74 | Yes | 3,208 | 18.7¢ | $72 | New18 settled bets |
| Hellowsr0xedbc…702e | Yes | 3,139 | 23.4¢ | $71 | New0 settled bets |
| eree2330x0bf1…afb3 | Yes | 3,113 | 25.6¢ | $70 | New25 settled bets |
| cwzbnwl0xf16e…74e9 | Yes | 3,030 | 22.4¢ | $68 | New0 settled bets |
| Pau1ito0x4d02…abfa | Yes | 3,000 | 28.0¢ | $68 | New15 settled bets |
| wzgcomeon0xc5a8…01cf | Yes | 2,800 | 24.3¢ | $63 | New0 settled bets |
| anonunicornio0x0c20…f82d | Yes | 2,778 | 19.0¢ | $62 | New0 settled bets |
| barrii0x8562…7596 | Yes | 2,649 | 14.0¢ | $60 | New0 settled bets |
| shu77880x0ab4…772e | Yes | 2,503 | 16.2¢ | $56 | New11 settled bets |
| Sebaschaps0x9cf8…7f09 | Yes | 2,456 | 11.3¢ | $55 | Losing−$10.62 per $100 · 311 bets |
| WearyWanderer0x81fa…c4d6 | Yes | 2,111 | 16.6¢ | $47 | Proven+$18.66 per $100 · 331 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.