Market · 19 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trashbag0x42fa…1fc7 | No | 59,239 | 89.1¢ | $58.3K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 138 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 33,412 | 93.1¢ | $32.9K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 22,458 | 85.3¢ | $22.1K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 11,564 | 86.3¢ | $11.4K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 10,892 | 86.0¢ | $10.7K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 10,870 | 92.5¢ | $10.7K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 10,196 | 95.3¢ | $10K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 8,607 | 92.6¢ | $8.47K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 8,308 | 96.6¢ | $8.18K | New83 settled bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 5,964 | 82.4¢ | $5.87K | New57 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 5,775 | 84.4¢ | $5.69K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 21,994 bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 5,655 | 85.6¢ | $5.57K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| FXC0x2d88…d5e8 | No | 5,623 | 81.8¢ | $5.54K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 1,534 bets |
| 0xe120…283e | No | 5,527 | 93.7¢ | $5.44K | New13 settled bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | No | 5,467 | 90.6¢ | $5.38K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| 0x0321…8cb5 | No | 5,330 | 97.7¢ | $5.25K | New24 settled bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 5,000 | 88.7¢ | $4.92K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 3,100 | 90.8¢ | $3.05K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| aleksandmoney0x8f14…1e77 | No | 3,014 | 94.2¢ | $2.97K | Losing−$1.25 per $100 · 2,282 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 2,223 | 90.0¢ | $2.19K | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,212 | 90.8¢ | $2.18K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| MGB20xf6d1…32b8 | No | 2,000 | 88.5¢ | $1.97K | — |
| 15cmMonster0x6391…bc1c | No | 1,995 | 81.0¢ | $1.96K | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 1,883 | 95.4¢ | $1.85K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 1,558 | 84.3¢ | $1.53K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| Michel de Nostredame0x19de…713e | No | 1,518 | 87.5¢ | $1.49K | New79 settled bets |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 1,199 | 96.9¢ | $1.18K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| Srea0x7458…fecf | No | 1,113 | 90.5¢ | $1.1K | Losing−$3.22 per $100 · 517 bets |
| 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | 70,195 | 14.9¢ | $1.09K | New0 settled bets |
| vxxxxv0xadd0…df58 | No | 1,100 | 86.0¢ | $1.08K | — |
| pg13130xf53e…2728 | No | 1,100 | 94.4¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$11.65 per $100 · 180 bets |
| deTka0x4035…91aa | No | 1,067 | 87.7¢ | $1.05K | — |
| 0xf924…7545 | No | 863 | 97.9¢ | $850 | New11 settled bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 855 | 90.3¢ | $842 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| moonstarstar0x68dc…a9c8 | No | 806 | 86.8¢ | $794 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 673 | 98.3¢ | $662 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| OnliFi0x07d4…f94f | No | 670 | 95.7¢ | $660 | New32 settled bets |
| ptaszek0x5cf6…6ade | No | 597 | 97.9¢ | $588 | — |
| Nik20250x0eda…fff0 | Yes | 36,127 | 9.0¢ | $560 | New10 settled bets |
| Jmn0xfdba…36c4 | No | 500 | 86.0¢ | $492 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 356 bets |
| skygoto0xbefe…89c4 | No | 466 | 88.7¢ | $459 | — |
| 0x9ad8…6dbf | No | 444 | 83.1¢ | $438 | — |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 400 | 91.6¢ | $394 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| PhoenixWager0xb3d7…7504 | No | 330 | 91.6¢ | $325 | — |
| turtletrader90x83ce…835c | No | 328 | 81.8¢ | $323 | — |
| maybeyesno0x3c67…44a8 | Yes | 20,218 | 22.7¢ | $313 | New7 settled bets |
| pmuser0x48b3…9a19 | No | 268 | 91.0¢ | $264 | — |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 250 | 95.9¢ | $246 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| redstronzo0xf195…b488 | No | 250 | 95.6¢ | $246 | — |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 228 | 88.0¢ | $224 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| 3737SANQI0x16ea…d096 | No | 220 | 92.5¢ | $216 | — |
| gamingyy0xcb5b…30f2 | No | 218 | 87.8¢ | $215 | — |
| ihaveadream0xec6d…a0b7 | No | 217 | 91.6¢ | $214 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 11,252 | 1.7¢ | $174 | New62 settled bets |
| ProBoszcz0x979d…fcfa | Yes | 10,535 | 13.1¢ | $163 | New11 settled bets |
| Drivetim30xe21a…57a9 | Yes | 9,624 | 19.7¢ | $149 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | 7,715 | 6.5¢ | $120 | New23 settled bets |
| byteA0x9765…436b | Yes | 7,618 | 12.9¢ | $118 | — |
| vlad3101k0xb95d…a56a | Yes | 6,853 | 7.4¢ | $106 | — |
| 0x682b…2854 | Yes | 6,317 | 15.8¢ | $98 | — |
| PROPHET1000000000x1182…0aa5 | Yes | 5,259 | 1.9¢ | $82 | — |
| usernamen0x636c…1e07 | Yes | 4,768 | 11.1¢ | $74 | New24 settled bets |
| D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd00x861f…177d | Yes | 4,538 | 16.7¢ | $70 | New11 settled bets |
| Sebaschaps0x9cf8…7f09 | Yes | 4,100 | 9.1¢ | $64 | Losing−$10.62 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 2121212121212121212120x1bc0…4429 | Yes | 4,000 | 20.0¢ | $62 | Proven+$4.29 per $100 · 572 bets |
| 0xd775…34b3 | Yes | 3,774 | 10.1¢ | $58 | Losing−$15.02 per $100 · 324 bets |
| FreePalpatine0xfe07…d250 | Yes | 3,678 | 18.0¢ | $57 | — |
| 5899850x8afb…7f1c | Yes | 3,518 | 15.9¢ | $55 | New18 settled bets |
| cruise3050x09f2…7090 | Yes | 3,162 | 8.5¢ | $49 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0dd3…7c76 | Yes | 3,099 | 15.9¢ | $48 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 2,120 | 4.6¢ | $33 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| marmotamarmolejo0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | 2,074 | 14.8¢ | $32 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 213 bets |
| hnwdgf0xcfca…9722 | Yes | 1,888 | 12.1¢ | $29 | — |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 1,531 | 1.2¢ | $24 | Positive+$2.41 per $100 · 1,380 bets |
| tregastel0xb792…8e7d | Yes | 1,473 | 15.2¢ | $23 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,350 | 1.3¢ | $21 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,911 bets |
| serliangatpm0x4fdb…69fa | Yes | 1,334 | 15.0¢ | $21 | — |
| papayonci0x0e45…ae93 | Yes | 1,002 | 19.5¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 711 bets |
| NUKEIT0x58ff…7e02 | Yes | 1,000 | 13.9¢ | $16 | — |
| dafenqew0x7c24…3bb2 | Yes | 1,000 | 16.0¢ | $16 | — |
| VirtualRem0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | 1,000 | 14.2¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 111 bets |
| Topbidder0x8d7e…85c5 | Yes | 944 | 4.5¢ | $15 | — |
| anonunicornio0x0c20…f82d | Yes | 898 | 15.9¢ | $14 | New0 settled bets |
| 00dd0xa1ff…f398 | Yes | 834 | 3.0¢ | $13 | — |
| pRdm0xf0d9…94c6 | Yes | 800 | 11.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | 785 | 1.7¢ | $12 | — |
| cakoy0x6447…3aa3 | Yes | 756 | 14.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Acorran0x990a…7b16 | Yes | 698 | 7.4¢ | $11 | New82 settled bets |
| 0x8270…38c0 | Yes | 698 | 19.3¢ | $11 | — |
| okcoolstorybro0x122c…821f | Yes | 666 | 15.9¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 729 bets |
| S980x0618…c39a | Yes | 600 | 7.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xa2b4…e00d | Yes | 597 | 19.7¢ | $9 | — |
| lukaz04110x48e9…872c | Yes | 579 | 15.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x5757…bdf0 | Yes | 533 | 18.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3388…1ad9 | Yes | 449 | 16.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xb299…d48c | Yes | 396 | 13.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf37d…97ea | Yes | 384 | 19.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Forfunzies0x16c8…cb07 | Yes | 293 | 13.8¢ | $5 | — |
| sxaolin0xc214…f3c5 | Yes | 270 | 13.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Singha0xd15f…7ee4 | Yes | 270 | 16.1¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.