Market · 22 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trashbag0x42fa…1fc7 | No | 60,717 | 93.3¢ | $60.2K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 138 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 39,470 | 98.0¢ | $39.1K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| someone20260xa7ce…6398 | No | 30,000 | 85.7¢ | $29.7K | New18 settled bets |
| amis0xc1a5…f290 | No | 20,962 | 91.1¢ | $20.8K | Proven+$2.62 per $100 · 349 bets |
| TonyEffe0xf541…74f7 | No | 15,128 | 87.8¢ | $15K | New79 settled bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 6,606 | 94.0¢ | $6.55K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
| 1651989890x2721…325b | No | 5,569 | 88.2¢ | $5.52K | Losing−$6.24 per $100 · 810 bets |
| sameday10xe36f…cd91 | No | 3,798 | 90.0¢ | $3.77K | New64 settled bets |
| werrui0xba3b…099f | No | 3,538 | 93.0¢ | $3.51K | — |
| bitcoin-betting.com.0x83e2…dd5e | No | 3,506 | 92.0¢ | $3.48K | New56 settled bets |
| vxxxxv0xadd0…df58 | No | 3,000 | 88.5¢ | $2.97K | — |
| 0x2c33…0563 | No | 2,971 | 92.0¢ | $2.95K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 14,034 bets |
| elonbust.ai0x362f…f6b9 | No | 2,966 | 92.6¢ | $2.94K | Losing−$15.94 per $100 · 142 bets |
| OnliFi0x07d4…f94f | No | 2,923 | 95.8¢ | $2.9K | New32 settled bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 2,563 | 92.7¢ | $2.54K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| orderfill0x1a37…6984 | No | 2,550 | 90.0¢ | $2.53K | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 191 bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | No | 2,507 | 85.9¢ | $2.49K | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 2,500 | 88.8¢ | $2.48K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| highlows0x6f7b…1893 | No | 2,237 | 91.0¢ | $2.22K | — |
| cryptomoon420x11f8…2bd5 | No | 2,225 | 89.0¢ | $2.21K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,205 | 95.4¢ | $2.19K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| keborgan0xa793…d077 | No | 2,111 | 94.7¢ | $2.09K | — |
| tryingout10xba0e…5ceb | No | 1,500 | 86.6¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 145 bets |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 1,419 | 91.6¢ | $1.41K | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| 0x019e…af1d | No | 1,387 | 86.6¢ | $1.38K | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 1,356 | 91.5¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| AveragePerson0xdc24…eec1 | No | 1,300 | 86.0¢ | $1.29K | — |
| Srea0x7458…fecf | No | 1,066 | 94.2¢ | $1.06K | Losing−$3.22 per $100 · 517 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 1,000 | 95.3¢ | $992 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 1,000 | 88.0¢ | $992 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| Jdjxjxjxk0xb3d9…79e3 | No | 752 | 86.0¢ | $746 | — |
| deTka0x4035…91aa | No | 700 | 89.1¢ | $694 | — |
| xinathx0xc317…4eea | No | 578 | 89.0¢ | $573 | — |
| 0x3dbe…7194 | No | 557 | 93.0¢ | $553 | — |
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 550 | 91.5¢ | $545 | — |
| 0xac18…0eb6 | No | 536 | 90.0¢ | $531 | — |
| kunsect70x1086…7b3c | No | 532 | 87.7¢ | $527 | Losing−$3.92 per $100 · 1,614 bets |
| YRTRTUY0x2108…aa48 | No | 517 | 93.0¢ | $512 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 500 | 86.0¢ | $496 | New69 settled bets |
| 0x3fab…a97c | No | 359 | 92.9¢ | $356 | — |
| ra30x8ce9…b0e7 | No | 336 | 97.2¢ | $333 | — |
| byebyekoko0x22d0…3bea | No | 300 | 91.0¢ | $297 | — |
| Tarcapick1120x8685…7ad9 | No | 300 | 98.7¢ | $297 | — |
| kozhedub0xbc90…ab10 | No | 300 | 98.2¢ | $297 | — |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 300 | 87.0¢ | $297 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 300 | 90.0¢ | $297 | — |
| NurofenA0xa38a…3b2f | No | 300 | 98.1¢ | $297 | — |
| 0x74b4…6bea | No | 258 | 94.4¢ | $256 | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 30,000 | 1.2¢ | $255 | Proven+$13.75 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | 29,773 | 2.0¢ | $253 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 553 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 27,980 | 2.5¢ | $238 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| epstes0xa1a7…05d6 | No | 225 | 91.0¢ | $223 | — |
| 400p0x5637…618f | No | 205 | 90.0¢ | $203 | — |
| Drivetim30xe21a…57a9 | Yes | 13,571 | 14.7¢ | $115 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | 12,503 | 3.8¢ | $106 | New23 settled bets |
| TOPCATs0x1557…e7bd | Yes | 11,187 | 2.0¢ | $95 | — |
| 2121212121212121212120x1bc0…4429 | Yes | 10,000 | 14.0¢ | $85 | Proven+$4.29 per $100 · 572 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 9,887 | 1.6¢ | $84 | Proven+$8.79 per $100 · 547 bets |
| rodt00xe8c9…83b2 | Yes | 9,836 | 12.2¢ | $84 | New0 settled bets |
| Taurusss0x1e5a…935f | Yes | 9,805 | 4.2¢ | $83 | Losing−$50.48 per $100 · 534 bets |
| aethir10x0x98fa…e7ed | Yes | 9,185 | 9.2¢ | $78 | — |
| serliangatpm0x4fdb…69fa | Yes | 9,093 | 10.7¢ | $77 | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 5,519 | 2.4¢ | $47 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| tregastel0xb792…8e7d | Yes | 4,930 | 7.7¢ | $42 | — |
| 168mac120x32b4…1ecd | Yes | 4,803 | 15.0¢ | $41 | — |
| AmsterdamTrader0x3d6d…0a6c | Yes | 4,651 | 12.4¢ | $40 | — |
| uafidd9990xaa55…c6ae | Yes | 3,500 | 10.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xb299…d48c | Yes | 3,353 | 3.8¢ | $28 | — |
| marmotamarmolejo0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | 3,294 | 10.1¢ | $28 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 213 bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 3,258 | 11.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| Siaja7770x11f2…0158 | Yes | 2,857 | 14.0¢ | $24 | — |
| okcoolstorybro0x122c…821f | Yes | 1,984 | 11.4¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 729 bets |
| 0xab4e…ba10 | Yes | 1,864 | 1.2¢ | $16 | — |
| VirtualRem0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | 1,577 | 9.6¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 111 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,512 | 2.2¢ | $13 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,433 | 1.2¢ | $12 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,911 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 1,172 | 4.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,050 | 1.5¢ | $9 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| kennyhowlah0x3c10…f367 | Yes | 1,047 | 9.1¢ | $9 | — |
| ProBoszcz0x979d…fcfa | Yes | 1,008 | 10.0¢ | $9 | New11 settled bets |
| 00dd0xa1ff…f398 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.5¢ | $9 | — |
| S980x0618…c39a | Yes | 990 | 6.0¢ | $8 | — |
| dores5200x07e2…8636 | Yes | 950 | 14.0¢ | $8 | New16 settled bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 800 | 2.1¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 685 | 1.4¢ | $6 | New62 settled bets |
| 0x0ac1…8e21 | Yes | 671 | 7.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x3a36…1621 | Yes | 656 | 16.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ETHachiUchiha0x5759…2d3f | Yes | 600 | 10.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GamerBolo0x4930…82ab | Yes | 513 | 7.5¢ | $4 | — |
| NUKEIT0x58ff…7e02 | Yes | 500 | 13.2¢ | $4 | — |
| sports10xd737…71bb | Yes | 500 | 7.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 429 | 3.7¢ | $4 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 400 | 2.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$16.24 per $100 · 11,101 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 356 | 2.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Versovi0x26e0…36f1 | Yes | 333 | 9.6¢ | $3 | — |
| ClownMe0x7463…3bfa | Yes | 222 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf37d…97ea | Yes | 219 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| graysonmiawalker0x535f…9667 | Yes | 205 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Hdde0xbb0d…8565 | Yes | 203 | 14.8¢ | $2 | — |
| lucasadonisryan0x659c…d142 | Yes | 200 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.