Market · 21 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 49,997 | 89.8¢ | $49.5K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| someone20260xa7ce…6398 | No | 41,188 | 90.5¢ | $40.8K | New18 settled bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 12,576 | 88.7¢ | $12.4K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| olegs0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | 9,027 | 98.9¢ | $8.93K | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 5,279 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 4,780 | 96.7¢ | $4.73K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,886 | 93.3¢ | $2.86K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0xe120…283e | No | 1,785 | 98.6¢ | $1.77K | New13 settled bets |
| OnliFi0x07d4…f94f | No | 1,526 | 97.1¢ | $1.51K | New32 settled bets |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 1,442 | 97.3¢ | $1.43K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 968 | 90.0¢ | $957 | New69 settled bets |
| Kirils0xc689…9279 | No | 550 | 91.0¢ | $544 | Losing−$2.32 per $100 · 184 bets |
| Voron0x596a…aa14 | No | 500 | 98.9¢ | $495 | — |
| Blackpearl240xd8b3…9165 | No | 490 | 92.0¢ | $485 | — |
| VortexBet0x107f…bb8c | No | 435 | 92.0¢ | $430 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 7,947 bets |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 400 | 90.0¢ | $396 | — |
| 0x9ad8…6dbf | No | 386 | 90.7¢ | $382 | — |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 326 | 92.0¢ | $323 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 321 | 95.2¢ | $317 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| big50cent0x14f7…1fab | No | 318 | 94.4¢ | $314 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 292 | 98.7¢ | $288 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | No | 250 | 89.0¢ | $247 | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| 0x125c…bce0 | No | 224 | 91.8¢ | $222 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 19,645 | 1.5¢ | $206 | New62 settled bets |
| lalallalrek0x4ac9…544f | No | 202 | 91.0¢ | $200 | — |
| 15cmMonster0x6391…bc1c | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $198 | — |
| Nik20250x0eda…fff0 | Yes | 15,085 | 3.8¢ | $158 | New10 settled bets |
| 0x57e1…9a45 | Yes | 14,286 | 7.4¢ | $150 | — |
| Wbet0xadd9…6333 | No | 130 | 92.0¢ | $129 | — |
| junnet0x4700…41ce | No | 126 | 96.2¢ | $125 | — |
| ANDRIS0xcfc5…817e | No | 120 | 89.0¢ | $119 | — |
| VitalikLiana0xfd31…4f6d | No | 120 | 94.0¢ | $119 | — |
| 1119990x5cf9…44dd | Yes | 10,712 | 10.0¢ | $112 | — |
| Batatabet0x0889…45a9 | No | 114 | 98.4¢ | $112 | — |
| VladislavaP0xe563…398b | No | 110 | 98.4¢ | $109 | — |
| 2121212121212121212120x1bc0…4429 | Yes | 10,000 | 10.0¢ | $105 | Proven+$4.29 per $100 · 572 bets |
| shrekkek220x2a60…f062 | No | 101 | 98.9¢ | $100 | New81 settled bets |
| JetXBTcn0xa206…2cad | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 155 bets |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $99 | — |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 100 | 93.0¢ | $99 | — |
| Drivetim30xe21a…57a9 | Yes | 9,333 | 9.0¢ | $98 | New4 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 8,523 | 1.8¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| pxb96v3clwti0xedd8…b939 | No | 84 | 91.6¢ | $83 | — |
| pojitrew0x6919…d27b | Yes | 7,656 | 1.5¢ | $80 | — |
| TumTumTree0xe5ee…0aba | Yes | 7,000 | 11.0¢ | $73 | — |
| answerball0x2b91…a535 | No | 68 | 94.4¢ | $68 | — |
| 0xddd7…0827 | No | 55 | 91.6¢ | $54 | — |
| 0x572c…4360 | No | 55 | 91.9¢ | $54 | — |
| pcec4ult1ps50x53c8…f543 | No | 55 | 91.5¢ | $54 | — |
| Giddyfurball0x322c…c485 | No | 53 | 94.4¢ | $53 | — |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 52 | 97.7¢ | $51 | — |
| yellasio0x6ba5…6769 | No | 51 | 98.3¢ | $50 | — |
| TonyMonkaka0x0c37…063d | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | $49 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 50 | 96.3¢ | $49 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| 0xcb0d…530d | No | 49 | 92.0¢ | $48 | — |
| TerraLibra0xbf6b…edb8 | Yes | 4,560 | 11.0¢ | $48 | — |
| mgb220x9116…740b | No | 43 | 93.5¢ | $42 | — |
| tregastel0xb792…8e7d | Yes | 3,873 | 7.5¢ | $41 | — |
| Siaja7770x11f2…0158 | Yes | 3,333 | 9.0¢ | $35 | — |
| AmsterdamTrader0x3d6d…0a6c | Yes | 3,139 | 8.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xa335…e247 | No | 32 | 90.0¢ | $32 | — |
| 6euq2olzo5y70x03e6…24e6 | No | 31 | 91.9¢ | $30 | — |
| vAIctor0x9bc3…d392 | No | 30 | 90.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xbc7a…4d4b | No | 28 | 91.9¢ | $28 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 2,132 | 1.9¢ | $22 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,087 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| horse220x6f5b…a5be | Yes | 1,947 | 10.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x76fd…b25b | Yes | 1,862 | 4.6¢ | $20 | — |
| VirtualRem0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | 1,000 | 7.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 111 bets |
| marmotamarmolejo0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | 822 | 9.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 213 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 800 | 0.5¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 754 | 1.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| kennyhowlah0x3c10…f367 | Yes | 714 | 7.4¢ | $8 | — |
| WanderingImpulse0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | 636 | 11.0¢ | $7 | — |
| soccer12340x9267…0338 | Yes | 500 | 7.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 00dd0xa1ff…f398 | Yes | 402 | 1.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xb299…d48c | Yes | 400 | 5.3¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 292 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| 0x80b9…0863 | Yes | 222 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf37d…97ea | Yes | 221 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ma151a0x41ae…51e0 | Yes | 200 | 5.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 190 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| abchihba0x683e…bd2d | Yes | 185 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 150 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x310d…a485 | Yes | 125 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1db5…ef2f | Yes | 111 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| blurmaggie8880xd7e4…7137 | Yes | 111 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 110 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb8d6…660b | Yes | 102 | 9.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Guttenberg0x8607…9c55 | Yes | 100 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Kiranov0x3b6b…3eee | Yes | 92 | 10.8¢ | $1 | — |
| pududu0x8edc…f3dd | Yes | 71 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 50 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x42ca…8380 | Yes | 34 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PontiusPilate0x7300…e52c | Yes | 22 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 18,019 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| giugyugy0x96ea…6995 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| whathaveidone0xc5ed…9374 | Yes | 17 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cqjiba0xc1ed…fc7a | Yes | 15 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd226…9d6a | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| offei0xceb7…d10d | Yes | 11 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.