Market · 25 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 49,830 | 92.6¢ | $49.5K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| Trashbag0x42fa…1fc7 | No | 37,012 | 95.5¢ | $36.8K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 138 bets |
| someone20260xa7ce…6398 | No | 30,257 | 91.9¢ | $30.1K | New18 settled bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 21,155 | 93.9¢ | $21K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 15,549 | 97.8¢ | $15.4K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 12,005 | 98.1¢ | $11.9K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 4,738 | 96.4¢ | $4.71K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| keborgan0xa793…d077 | No | 4,636 | 97.1¢ | $4.61K | — |
| sameday10xe36f…cd91 | No | 3,420 | 94.5¢ | $3.4K | New64 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,874 | 94.5¢ | $2.85K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | No | 2,746 | 89.6¢ | $2.73K | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| VortexBet0x107f…bb8c | No | 2,109 | 94.8¢ | $2.09K | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 7,947 bets |
| 0x019e…af1d | No | 1,992 | 89.9¢ | $1.98K | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| 0x2ca3…5dab | No | 1,815 | 93.9¢ | $1.8K | — |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 1,400 | 93.5¢ | $1.39K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| us.strike0x0312…9f6b | No | 1,113 | 95.5¢ | $1.11K | — |
| Xuxito0x7277…ab80 | No | 1,054 | 93.8¢ | $1.05K | Losing−$13.61 per $100 · 173 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 700 | 98.3¢ | $695 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Flatten96960xe073…18d9 | No | 641 | 98.2¢ | $637 | — |
| Steveohm0xf230…bbfb | No | 626 | 91.8¢ | $621 | — |
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 527 | 95.1¢ | $524 | — |
| kingminer0010x04fa…f43f | No | 500 | 98.3¢ | $497 | — |
| 0x125c…bce0 | No | 485 | 93.0¢ | $482 | — |
| junnet0x4700…41ce | No | 361 | 97.0¢ | $358 | — |
| estateshomer0xca22…2ee7 | No | 333 | 94.2¢ | $331 | — |
| Awestin.eth0xb779…ab22 | No | 280 | 92.9¢ | $278 | — |
| 0x4f3b…c773 | Yes | 41,651 | 11.8¢ | $271 | — |
| asdasxad0xccbb…c8c6 | No | 250 | 97.3¢ | $248 | — |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 214 | 93.4¢ | $213 | — |
| LRRRSV0x4593…9d77 | No | 209 | 98.3¢ | $208 | — |
| A1terego0x23b0…a7c8 | No | 200 | 98.9¢ | $199 | — |
| Braaazzxx0x668e…1c09 | No | 200 | 95.1¢ | $199 | — |
| eAccAi0xa43e…f8d2 | No | 200 | 98.4¢ | $199 | — |
| LockedInPol0xe9dc…4e23 | No | 199 | 98.4¢ | $198 | — |
| RAlimovv0xd268…755f | No | 191 | 98.3¢ | $190 | — |
| AlexeyyFTW0x494e…565e | No | 175 | 98.9¢ | $174 | New26 settled bets |
| IbnuM0xde7c…c5d2 | No | 160 | 98.3¢ | $159 | — |
| luckyasia0x389e…188e | No | 150 | 98.3¢ | $149 | — |
| Moneymovesmaster0xbf44…4d45 | Yes | 22,133 | 7.5¢ | $144 | New89 settled bets |
| notworthit0x1b3f…b538 | No | 133 | 96.0¢ | $132 | — |
| sx4pppnv3u3q0x835c…8e3b | No | 132 | 93.6¢ | $131 | — |
| VitalikLiana0xfd31…4f6d | No | 120 | 94.6¢ | $119 | — |
| Maduroking0x9398…427c | No | 114 | 98.4¢ | $113 | — |
| nfxss0xb100…673f | No | 111 | 94.6¢ | $111 | — |
| tregastel0xb792…8e7d | Yes | 15,767 | 4.4¢ | $102 | — |
| TOPCATs0x1557…e7bd | Yes | 15,579 | 0.6¢ | $101 | — |
| oneoneone0010xa1ca…95f8 | No | 101 | 96.5¢ | $100 | — |
| ruhuag0x6095…5be5 | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $99 | — |
| EdgeOfChaos0x896a…7b9c | No | 100 | 96.0¢ | $99 | — |
| kaseyibc0x9339…d0c7 | No | 100 | 95.0¢ | $99 | — |
| badmsc00x9fb8…68f8 | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $99 | — |
| safeN0890xb3aa…2efc | No | 100 | 98.1¢ | $99 | — |
| 0xb5f9…f192 | No | 100 | 92.7¢ | $99 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 100 | 97.0¢ | $99 | — |
| 5899850x8afb…7f1c | Yes | 10,712 | 7.5¢ | $70 | New18 settled bets |
| AmsterdamTrader0x3d6d…0a6c | Yes | 9,399 | 5.6¢ | $61 | — |
| fsghkfjha0xd4be…96db | Yes | 6,191 | 6.5¢ | $40 | — |
| fhfghgkhkj0xa033…df1b | Yes | 6,123 | 7.2¢ | $40 | — |
| giugyugy0x96ea…6995 | Yes | 6,116 | 7.3¢ | $40 | — |
| pojitrew0x6919…d27b | Yes | 6,020 | 1.8¢ | $39 | — |
| fegrdfadaf0xe8e2…37ca | Yes | 5,795 | 7.3¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 5,416 | 0.4¢ | $35 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| Siaja7770x11f2…0158 | Yes | 4,135 | 7.2¢ | $27 | — |
| celery-cactus0x0c72…a042 | Yes | 4,045 | 2.3¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 194 bets |
| marmotamarmolejo0xb3bb…d291 | Yes | 3,948 | 5.5¢ | $26 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 213 bets |
| fdgafd0x5db0…095a | Yes | 3,759 | 7.2¢ | $24 | — |
| dajlfdjsa0x47a7…3be0 | Yes | 3,485 | 7.1¢ | $23 | — |
| dsafhdkahfka0x86b9…edf4 | Yes | 3,439 | 7.2¢ | $22 | — |
| horse220x6f5b…a5be | Yes | 2,960 | 7.9¢ | $19 | — |
| dfjijaiof0xfc39…d79c | Yes | 2,923 | 6.8¢ | $19 | — |
| dfsakjndl0x28ff…41bd | Yes | 2,687 | 7.4¢ | $17 | — |
| dsafldha0xb485…cc78 | Yes | 2,175 | 7.3¢ | $14 | — |
| dgkhfdjakfd0x7f3d…ad90 | Yes | 2,069 | 7.2¢ | $13 | — |
| Cricstar0x878a…134d | Yes | 1,729 | 7.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x67fb…788f | Yes | 1,691 | 5.9¢ | $11 | — |
| fdgrfa0x5aa4…8a93 | Yes | 1,426 | 7.4¢ | $9 | — |
| fdgfdadfd0x39a2…685e | Yes | 1,382 | 7.2¢ | $9 | — |
| hkdjak0x9176…8d14 | Yes | 1,356 | 7.3¢ | $9 | — |
| duncka0x424e…3520 | Yes | 1,250 | 8.0¢ | $8 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 966 | 0.6¢ | $6 | New62 settled bets |
| PontiusPilate0x7300…e52c | Yes | 885 | 4.5¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 18,019 bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 665 | 6.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | 514 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 501 | 2.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Drivetim30xe21a…57a9 | Yes | 406 | 7.3¢ | $3 | New4 settled bets |
| gfsfdsg0x6da7…f72f | Yes | 387 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 338 | 3.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| gdplabs0x1c02…d7dc | Yes | 300 | 7.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9dc7…8c0a | Yes | 273 | 5.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$52.35 per $100 · 367 bets |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | Yes | 240 | 4.3¢ | $2 | — |
| fsggrrr0x4d8c…7b41 | Yes | 212 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| graysonmiawalker0x535f…9667 | Yes | 205 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| lucasadonisryan0x659c…d142 | Yes | 200 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| dfafdafde0x07c5…c6ac | Yes | 155 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| fdaslfdhasilf0xe34c…0e57 | Yes | 151 | 6.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4a46…e354 | Yes | 145 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| WanderingImpulse0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | 137 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x417e…7302 | Yes | 135 | 7.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | 133 | 5.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.75 per $100 · 2,290 bets |
| 0x0b01…8f47 | Yes | 132 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.