Market · 27 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 14,871 | 95.0¢ | $14.8K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Sylvertrades0xe7ef…b402 | No | 6,476 | 96.3¢ | $6.44K | New7 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 5,484 | 98.3¢ | $5.46K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| sameday10xe36f…cd91 | No | 3,409 | 95.6¢ | $3.39K | New64 settled bets |
| deTka0x4035…91aa | No | 2,363 | 95.9¢ | $2.35K | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 1,134 | 97.7¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 1,000 | 95.1¢ | $995 | New69 settled bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 919 | 97.7¢ | $914 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| VortexBet0x107f…bb8c | No | 700 | 96.0¢ | $697 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 7,947 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 592 | 96.2¢ | $589 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| kingminer0010x04fa…f43f | No | 500 | 98.5¢ | $498 | — |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 420 | 94.0¢ | $418 | — |
| horsedashuai0x0c5c…dea0 | No | 415 | 95.0¢ | $413 | — |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | No | 400 | 96.0¢ | $398 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 2,791 bets |
| 652940xdc90…d6d0 | No | 380 | 96.7¢ | $378 | — |
| 0x019e…af1d | No | 304 | 96.1¢ | $303 | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| 19youeryeang0x8753…8262 | No | 236 | 96.8¢ | $235 | — |
| notworthit0x1b3f…b538 | No | 200 | 97.4¢ | $199 | — |
| signaturee0x6271…d24e | No | 200 | 95.0¢ | $199 | — |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 200 | 96.5¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| professorr0x99b2…bfd5 | No | 200 | 95.0¢ | $199 | — |
| marsio0x94b0…b337 | No | 189 | 95.9¢ | $188 | — |
| 586980x0313…1cbf | No | 119 | 95.4¢ | $119 | — |
| nakrtuka0x0881…76c2 | No | 113 | 96.5¢ | $112 | — |
| Art08880x161a…b515 | No | 105 | 95.3¢ | $105 | — |
| saqw4eew0x23d7…17fc | No | 100 | 96.6¢ | $100 | — |
| poppl0x2694…6b11 | No | 100 | 97.6¢ | $100 | — |
| depositnow0x3359…dc28 | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $100 | — |
| portff0x3519…1cac | No | 100 | 95.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x54a8…3902 | No | 100 | 96.7¢ | $100 | — |
| minhao7300x72ff…05c8 | No | 100 | 96.5¢ | $100 | — |
| bigcock0x8b63…16a7 | No | 100 | 97.4¢ | $100 | — |
| 878steder0x952e…9ee1 | No | 100 | 97.2¢ | $100 | — |
| mindshare0xeadd…f35c | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $100 | — |
| VladislavaP0xe563…398b | No | 90 | 98.2¢ | $89 | — |
| cutguhj0xea03…0e43 | No | 71 | 98.7¢ | $71 | — |
| oppmmn0x6db1…6a2f | No | 69 | 95.8¢ | $69 | — |
| mgb220x9116…740b | No | 62 | 96.2¢ | $62 | — |
| tiger110xe821…b27e | Yes | 12,179 | 3.0¢ | $61 | Losing−$2.71 per $100 · 6,036 bets |
| monadaa0x6c29…d5b1 | No | 57 | 96.4¢ | $56 | New25 settled bets |
| ybfgf0xcbca…37bc | No | 53 | 96.0¢ | $53 | — |
| beautifulbb0x1b81…a5e5 | No | 51 | 97.4¢ | $51 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 50 | 96.9¢ | $50 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| bbk0x73a0…907b | No | 50 | 96.1¢ | $50 | — |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 50 | 95.7¢ | $50 | — |
| kketh0xfe7a…8399 | No | 50 | 96.4¢ | $50 | — |
| aimemes0xd317…aae2 | No | 47 | 94.4¢ | $47 | — |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | Yes | 8,806 | 0.5¢ | $44 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| 0x1f06…33b3 | No | 42 | 95.5¢ | $42 | — |
| yuhua56680x4a1e…3b52 | No | 41 | 93.5¢ | $41 | — |
| Voron0x596a…aa14 | No | 36 | 95.1¢ | $36 | — |
| D1D660x83d5…884c | No | 33 | 98.8¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 5,071 | 0.3¢ | $25 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| 0xdf8a…0180 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.5¢ | $15 | — |
| Chessxyz0x4594…b1ac | Yes | 2,128 | 4.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$10.25 per $100 · 366 bets |
| Siaja7770x11f2…0158 | Yes | 1,922 | 5.2¢ | $10 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,160 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| evalso0x4222…aa99 | Yes | 1,000 | 3.7¢ | $5 | New30 settled bets |
| tuananh010119860x489a…e15f | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| duncka0x424e…3520 | Yes | 928 | 6.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 723 | 3.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 600 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| 0xf37d…97ea | Yes | 403 | 4.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4ab5…4d9e | Yes | 395 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb299…d48c | Yes | 392 | 3.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2e59…d754 | Yes | 388 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 315 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| MLBot0x5c5c…e316 | Yes | 300 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
| blurmaggie8880xd7e4…7137 | Yes | 245 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| WanderingImpulse0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | 208 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc4a3…81fa | Yes | 208 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| graysonmiawalker0x535f…9667 | Yes | 205 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| lucasadonisryan0x659c…d142 | Yes | 200 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1c35…e165 | Yes | 198 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Olka0x5849…a99e | Yes | 194 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| 0x310d…a485 | Yes | 125 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| VinolinG0x0c45…6bbf | Yes | 119 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 100 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| celinetwentyeight0xeb68…1ff1 | Yes | 71 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 64 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| goldisoverrated0x1617…d790 | Yes | 62 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 3,857 bets |
| 0xba01…0c14 | Yes | 61 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 60 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 53 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$13.75 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 50 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 15pri0x3016…9ffd | Yes | 29 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd226…9d6a | Yes | 27 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd4db…ed4b | Yes | 27 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa4c5…f231 | Yes | 26 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| whathaveidone0xc5ed…9374 | Yes | 23 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
| clausemaster0x9b68…b64b | Yes | 21 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| BubaGump0x57ba…655e | Yes | 19 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| wpsk0xc518…671c | Yes | 18 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3e7f…ba39 | Yes | 10 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| low-risk0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | 5 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed89…647b | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DeveloperAmateur0xfef0…c2dd | Yes | 5 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
| tregastel0xb792…8e7d | Yes | 2 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.