Market · 2 of 8 outcomes
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMM-10xdf1c…2ebb | Yes | 150,000 | 22.2¢ | $30.2K | — |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | Yes | 63,163 | 12.8¢ | $12.7K | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 24,768 | 30.6¢ | $4.99K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 3,500 | 80.7¢ | $2.79K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| Copyright-10x235e…5673 | Yes | 11,610 | 17.8¢ | $2.34K | Losing−$4.42 per $100 · 2,197 bets |
| flexibleagedbeef0xbbc5…b08b | No | 2,908 | 82.7¢ | $2.32K | — |
| 0x42f0…fc65 | Yes | 11,064 | 16.5¢ | $2.23K | New61 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 9,537 | 22.3¢ | $1.92K | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | Yes | 8,981 | 15.1¢ | $1.81K | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 679 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 8,782 | 15.7¢ | $1.77K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| 0x9718…e827 | Yes | 7,409 | 14.9¢ | $1.49K | — |
| AmirD0xe680…8788 | No | 1,756 | 72.0¢ | $1.4K | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,944 | 3.6¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,472 bets |
| Zirlo0xb7a8…d641 | Yes | 5,808 | 12.8¢ | $1.17K | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 5,420 | 14.7¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$13.26 per $100 · 1,733 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 4,618 | 17.3¢ | $930 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| NOPH0x2412…f534 | Yes | 4,150 | 18.2¢ | $836 | New49 settled bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 3,500 | 8.7¢ | $705 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,812 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 3,100 | 16.0¢ | $625 | — |
| rovim0xb71c…dd68 | Yes | 3,006 | 12.0¢ | $606 | — |
| Milcroftx0x0afb…80f2 | No | 678 | 88.5¢ | $541 | New13 settled bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 675 | 84.2¢ | $539 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 87,916 bets |
| presidentmaster0xdd10…416f | Yes | 2,618 | 14.8¢ | $527 | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 660 | 90.1¢ | $527 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| longxinyan0x7d24…06a2 | Yes | 2,514 | 11.6¢ | $507 | New90 settled bets |
| SZ-TIC-M20x6742…b476 | Yes | 2,448 | 15.5¢ | $493 | New43 settled bets |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 604 | 85.0¢ | $482 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| InnovationEdu0x5b75…433b | No | 500 | 80.0¢ | $399 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 540 bets |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | No | 479 | 83.2¢ | $383 | New62 settled bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,895 | 14.8¢ | $382 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,672 bets |
| maintao0x730f…7026 | Yes | 1,773 | 15.2¢ | $357 | New85 settled bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 400 | 86.7¢ | $319 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,142 bets |
| IvanG20010xe865…ae26 | No | 400 | 79.1¢ | $319 | — |
| SteveTheFish0xe917…9612 | Yes | 1,500 | 8.2¢ | $302 | — |
| prediction.addiction0x3728…4288 | Yes | 1,330 | 27.4¢ | $268 | New31 settled bets |
| 0xfc91…31eb | Yes | 1,318 | 28.6¢ | $265 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 105 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 300 | 86.5¢ | $240 | Losing−$2.91 per $100 · 1,166 bets |
| Awestin.eth0xb779…ab22 | No | 300 | 77.0¢ | $240 | — |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | Yes | 1,170 | 18.1¢ | $236 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| VibeyQuant0x1f85…a51b | No | 295 | 87.0¢ | $236 | Proven+$3.09 per $100 · 1,520 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 1,092 | 14.6¢ | $220 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,085 | 15.9¢ | $219 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| GammaSqueeze12340xb25d…d127 | Yes | 1,079 | 15.3¢ | $218 | New79 settled bets |
| 0x7806…ae3f | Yes | 1,041 | 9.5¢ | $210 | New57 settled bets |
| 16352620x013d…3e88 | Yes | 1,025 | 16.0¢ | $207 | Positive+$4.79 per $100 · 606 bets |
| 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | 1,022 | 20.2¢ | $206 | Losing−$8.96 per $100 · 599 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 1,018 | 6.7¢ | $205 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| bobo20250x6507…7d79 | Yes | 1,000 | 16.3¢ | $202 | New27 settled bets |
| AnonTet0xca29…287f | Yes | 1,000 | 28.6¢ | $202 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 975 | 19.5¢ | $196 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 900 | 10.4¢ | $181 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 0xecf5…b7af | Yes | 873 | 12.8¢ | $176 | — |
| gonster0x8f22…3f6c | Yes | 806 | 20.8¢ | $162 | — |
| karlb64680x7ef1…b97d | No | 203 | 81.6¢ | $162 | New48 settled bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 201 | 64.9¢ | $160 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| 0x9c2d…17d9 | No | 200 | 74.9¢ | $160 | — |
| MoKongo0xb5a3…4793 | Yes | 720 | 16.0¢ | $145 | — |
| 0xa82c…dd71 | Yes | 700 | 10.8¢ | $141 | Losing−$11.94 per $100 · 154 bets |
| PANYUNYONG0x78b7…76f8 | No | 172 | 87.0¢ | $137 | Losing−$1.75 per $100 · 155 bets |
| Delta220x4b51…6ea3 | No | 165 | 80.3¢ | $132 | — |
| Domerina0xf4ad…d00b | Yes | 650 | 10.4¢ | $131 | — |
| bbbbbbxianggggg0x0538…e483 | Yes | 600 | 13.9¢ | $121 | New6 settled bets |
| 0xbd53…8dd1 | No | 146 | 72.0¢ | $117 | — |
| EdgeOfChaos0x896a…7b9c | No | 141 | 75.1¢ | $112 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 133 | 78.7¢ | $106 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| Bumblebee20240x68f1…ae33 | Yes | 500 | 6.1¢ | $101 | New83 settled bets |
| Bunter.Hiden0x860d…6071 | Yes | 500 | 18.2¢ | $101 | — |
| sebien990x8dfe…b081 | Yes | 500 | 19.0¢ | $101 | New58 settled bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 105 | 89.0¢ | $84 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 105 | 85.0¢ | $84 | — |
| OntheHedge0x6f71…b80e | No | 102 | 88.8¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 1,619 bets |
| gkebxrfflfthx60x5652…41a4 | No | 102 | 80.8¢ | $81 | New42 settled bets |
| airdropper0x4fd8…af91 | Yes | 400 | 25.0¢ | $81 | Positive+$3.16 per $100 · 757 bets |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | 400 | 15.0¢ | $81 | New44 settled bets |
| trumpinoo0xaf6d…f13b | No | 100 | 83.6¢ | $80 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 388 | 15.9¢ | $78 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| meihaod0xa046…b20b | No | 91 | 90.8¢ | $73 | — |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | No | 78 | 86.9¢ | $63 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 9,228 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 77 | 87.1¢ | $61 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | No | 74 | 87.5¢ | $59 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 991 bets |
| tmmxy0xed74…d5de | No | 65 | 80.9¢ | $52 | — |
| dlbbbdbdbdblw0x369a…0b41 | No | 64 | 86.5¢ | $51 | New35 settled bets |
| maraya0xd1c7…74b5 | No | 64 | 83.4¢ | $51 | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 1,070 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 62 | 82.4¢ | $49 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| goldenseason0x7bca…d592 | No | 56 | 78.9¢ | $45 | New43 settled bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 54 | 91.7¢ | $43 | — |
| fanjyun010x5773…54d2 | No | 52 | 85.7¢ | $42 | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 245 bets |
| ggd150x13f5…bfa0 | No | 50 | 85.2¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 127 bets |
| ryzq1120x2225…bee7 | No | 50 | 81.0¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 655 bets |
| Fantasy110x388e…3381 | No | 50 | 85.3¢ | $40 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 225 bets |
| 216megu0xdf9e…7b79 | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $40 | — |
| zoroZ10x4967…8327 | No | 48 | 73.1¢ | $38 | New0 settled bets |
| clong060x57da…a280 | No | 40 | 84.9¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 237 bets |
| darkai0x9478…d6d5 | No | 40 | 94.0¢ | $32 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 40 | 83.0¢ | $32 | — |
| zephyrblue0x73ee…336b | No | 37 | 81.8¢ | $30 | New19 settled bets |
| ktv.020xeab5…f570 | No | 4 | 86.6¢ | $4 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.