Market · 9 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 9,439 | 92.6¢ | $9.21K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 2,505 | 93.2¢ | $2.44K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | No | 1,700 | 97.6¢ | $1.66K | New39 settled bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 1,340 | 94.0¢ | $1.31K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| 0x9f57…4f12 | No | 1,113 | 93.9¢ | $1.09K | — |
| HEBI550xd4cb…ecb7 | No | 1,000 | 94.0¢ | $976 | — |
| spongebobs0x821f…f9c3 | No | 979 | 92.2¢ | $955 | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 692 | 93.8¢ | $675 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| lopoticha0x14a3…c186 | No | 659 | 91.3¢ | $643 | Proven+$12.41 per $100 · 306 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 586 | 93.2¢ | $572 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 372 | 93.0¢ | $363 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 777 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 363 | 95.2¢ | $355 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| srmiiie0xbca5…8727 | Yes | 11,246 | 6.8¢ | $276 | Losing−$55.78 per $100 · 173 bets |
| miya20160xbecd…f54e | No | 172 | 95.1¢ | $168 | Proven+$2.17 per $100 · 2,286 bets |
| 0x8493…1200 | No | 106 | 94.2¢ | $104 | — |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | No | 100 | 94.6¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 755 bets |
| turtle9110x4fff…be78 | No | 100 | 93.0¢ | $98 | — |
| huntermax12240x7dde…30b1 | No | 50 | 95.2¢ | $49 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 7,672 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 50 | 93.0¢ | $49 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | Yes | 1,841 | 5.6¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| Investnow0x97f3…0eba | Yes | 1,730 | 6.0¢ | $42 | — |
| paula0xa0xed86…6ee1 | Yes | 1,543 | 6.7¢ | $38 | New94 settled bets |
| 0xc4a7…898a | No | 36 | 94.4¢ | $35 | — |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 1,308 | 7.9¢ | $32 | — |
| g341210x3c4a…0be9 | No | 30 | 96.2¢ | $29 | — |
| tiger120x0979…bae6 | Yes | 1,100 | 8.3¢ | $27 | New8 settled bets |
| 0xea97…a471 | No | 20 | 96.1¢ | $20 | — |
| ignc0x57aa…04c5 | Yes | 500 | 8.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | 12 | 94.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x7cf7…3c63 | No | 11 | 94.2¢ | $10 | — |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 10 | 96.2¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 10 | 96.7¢ | $10 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 350 | 3.1¢ | $9 | — |
| frostyhopper0xef4a…5eeb | No | 8 | 95.2¢ | $8 | — |
| Pineseeker0x55ea…8eb2 | Yes | 222 | 9.3¢ | $5 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 210 | 10.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| 0x90dc…f09b | No | 5 | 96.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xea6b…988d | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xBoF0xb7c2…5fbf | No | 5 | 95.4¢ | $5 | — |
| postmeta0x2987…8512 | No | 5 | 97.1¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 792 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 154 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 147 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 130 | 7.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c2930xb8a9…2948 | Yes | 130 | 6.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xff09…25ab | No | 3 | 94.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Ox359449186AafB044680CeF3BBe2aB4FAba7025990x3594…2599 | No | 3 | 96.2¢ | $3 | — |
| crudeoilenthusiast0x3964…66b2 | Yes | 111 | 9.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbeff…08e4 | Yes | 111 | 9.3¢ | $3 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 105 | 3.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 93 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 2,058 bets |
| 0x6e9b…e445 | No | 2 | 93.3¢ | $2 | — |
| ryguyy0x6ab7…d0a4 | No | 2 | 93.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xedbc…6824 | No | 2 | 96.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x475b…8594 | No | 2 | 97.1¢ | $2 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | Yes | 79 | 11.4¢ | $2 | — |
| sportkingzer0x0637…1e31 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Po1yBot-EQARi6RxED0x6491…6ed2 | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| 0x3b09…b884 | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x76a5…555c | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x04c8…b02f | Yes | 30 | 3.6¢ | $1 | New15 settled bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Degovnerd0x034a…d14b | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 331 bets |
| 0x0a70…6270 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | New69 settled bets |
| RandomGreg0x705f…8814 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 7 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Clemaltur0x167e…6fcd | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 313 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 0 | 93.5¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 96.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play