Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| memester0x2edb…9ac5 | No | 2,198 | 91.3¢ | $2.15K | — |
| jjjclv60x1c4f…2852 | No | 1,337 | 97.3¢ | $1.31K | — |
| spongebobs0x821f…f9c3 | No | 1,082 | 92.7¢ | $1.06K | — |
| HEBI550xd4cb…ecb7 | No | 1,000 | 98.0¢ | $981 | — |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 966 | 92.3¢ | $947 | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 627 | 90.3¢ | $615 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 458 | 91.2¢ | $449 | — |
| lopoticha0x14a3…c186 | No | 430 | 93.3¢ | $422 | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 421 | 96.1¢ | $413 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | No | 392 | 97.7¢ | $384 | New39 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 346 | 96.2¢ | $339 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| freeelon0x57b7…9cc5 | No | 273 | 90.4¢ | $268 | — |
| caca110x2380…b53e | No | 263 | 90.4¢ | $258 | — |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 244 | 95.4¢ | $239 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| 0x8895…466d | No | 222 | 90.8¢ | $218 | — |
| Alittlewin0xa53d…0cc1 | No | 187 | 92.3¢ | $183 | — |
| jinone0x1b03…14c1 | No | 100 | 96.7¢ | $98 | — |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 4,914 | 7.4¢ | $96 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | No | 87 | 96.5¢ | $86 | — |
| worldhappy0x0def…ab31 | No | 87 | 89.1¢ | $86 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 79 | 89.2¢ | $77 | — |
| 0xangel0x930c…3a8f | No | 50 | 95.0¢ | $49 | — |
| todterry0x9f19…6e9f | No | 50 | 96.2¢ | $49 | — |
| chenhanxin050x3263…19d9 | No | 33 | 98.1¢ | $32 | — |
| shadowwizardmoneygang0x249b…5df1 | Yes | 1,657 | 8.3¢ | $32 | — |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | No | 26 | 97.2¢ | $26 | Proven+$7.56 per $100 · 3,291 bets |
| vnvn0x9457…22a7 | No | 22 | 91.3¢ | $22 | — |
| srmiiie0xbca5…8727 | Yes | 1,009 | 3.2¢ | $20 | Losing−$55.78 per $100 · 173 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 747 | 3.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x3783…36d2 | No | 13 | 97.4¢ | $13 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 585 | 7.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| jacknilson0xa4aa…dc18 | No | 11 | 92.3¢ | $11 | — |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 10 | 94.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 399 | 5.2¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| Nametafg0x3516…366a | No | 7 | 92.3¢ | $6 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 6 | 97.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| nfghtrf0x1317…f146 | No | 6 | 98.2¢ | $6 | — |
| akazawin0xc9bf…2bd8 | No | 6 | 98.0¢ | $6 | — |
| smart-onion0x55c9…43c9 | Yes | 283 | 5.3¢ | $6 | — |
| fffjffgs0xa943…826d | No | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | — |
| WoodLiam0xe1c9…ebf2 | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 78ghgdghvk0x6a28…0c26 | No | 5 | 97.4¢ | $5 | New76 settled bets |
| 4356578980x3a1e…7aa6 | No | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
| paula0xa0xed86…6ee1 | Yes | 250 | 2.1¢ | $5 | New94 settled bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 156 | 8.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| aprsu0x0979…364b | No | 3 | 97.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 127 | 2.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 123 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 2 | 97.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 106 | 2.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| comfan0xe09c…3b0c | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 92 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xec63…2554 | Yes | 71 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x04c8…b02f | Yes | 53 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| TPAA0x93ef…468b | Yes | 50 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ivybaby020x9771…db67 | Yes | 50 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 44 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Clemmerco0xb3b3…66ad | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ora.io-PolyValory0xc796…3e82 | Yes | 17 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| vluke4040x8d24…61b9 | Yes | 15 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3cff…6fbd | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0a70…6270 | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| RandomGreg0x705f…8814 | Yes | 11 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 6 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Rahalt0xebb5…961c | No | 0 | 97.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Clemaltur0x167e…6fcd | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | — |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| Chegildek0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | 1 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FFFFFFFF90xf333…ba41 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 0 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play