Market · 6 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| luck000040xc6e9…0741 | No | 202,232 | 89.2¢ | $190K | New80 settled bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 176,755 | 90.4¢ | $166K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | Yes | 298,982 | 10.8¢ | $18.4K | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 10,107 | 90.0¢ | $9.49K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| e888880x0d15…c454 | No | 10,000 | 89.9¢ | $9.38K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 167 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 9,100 | 93.3¢ | $8.54K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 777 bets |
| LeopoldAschenbooger0x929a…8cf0 | Yes | 121,184 | 9.2¢ | $7.45K | — |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 89.1¢ | $4.69K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| jasonstathem0x31d6…e66c | No | 4,396 | 91.3¢ | $4.13K | New42 settled bets |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | No | 3,960 | 91.0¢ | $3.72K | New98 settled bets |
| makemoney20250xe3a1…3c87 | No | 3,460 | 89.6¢ | $3.25K | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 1,224 bets |
| HornyBibi0x708d…ea78 | No | 3,200 | 0.0¢ | $3K | — |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 3,000 | 90.0¢ | $2.82K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| 0x6c92…1322 | No | 3,000 | 93.1¢ | $2.82K | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | No | 3,000 | 89.0¢ | $2.82K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 2,538 | 93.8¢ | $2.38K | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 2,500 | 94.2¢ | $2.35K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| yielderwelderS0x1018…43b5 | No | 2,187 | 91.8¢ | $2.05K | New7 settled bets |
| AirForceMax0x001d…ac84 | No | 2,089 | 91.3¢ | $1.96K | New2 settled bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | No | 2,000 | 90.0¢ | $1.88K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| garlictrump0x6630…2f4e | No | 2,000 | 93.0¢ | $1.88K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 547 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 1,986 | 92.5¢ | $1.86K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| 0x2e1c…db61 | No | 1,905 | 89.7¢ | $1.79K | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 359 bets |
| Rushwave0x5ca9…6ccf | No | 1,758 | 92.9¢ | $1.65K | Proven+$2.97 per $100 · 260 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 1,566 | 91.2¢ | $1.47K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 1,209 | 88.8¢ | $1.13K | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,193 | 91.0¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | No | 1,000 | 93.2¢ | $939 | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 1,000 | 91.4¢ | $939 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| HEBI550xd4cb…ecb7 | No | 1,000 | 88.2¢ | $939 | — |
| NiceFalcons0x1421…9e62 | No | 962 | 93.8¢ | $903 | New5 settled bets |
| zhuo1an90xeff3…4e66 | No | 729 | 93.3¢ | $684 | New70 settled bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 11,030 | 10.4¢ | $678 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 664 | 90.8¢ | $623 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 658 | 91.1¢ | $618 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| 0xb497…89b9 | Yes | 8,708 | 10.1¢ | $536 | — |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | No | 555 | 94.2¢ | $521 | — |
| DrinkingWime0xebaf…b654 | No | 549 | 91.3¢ | $516 | — |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 8,248 | 9.3¢ | $507 | Proven+$9.89 per $100 · 324 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 505 | 93.9¢ | $474 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| djfhdjfhdjfhdj0x2c89…5f1c | Yes | 7,667 | 10.2¢ | $472 | New87 settled bets |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 470 | 91.5¢ | $441 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| LordProtector0x8420…6183 | Yes | 6,751 | 8.0¢ | $415 | — |
| lopoticha0x14a3…c186 | No | 440 | 91.3¢ | $413 | Proven+$12.41 per $100 · 306 bets |
| NastyGirl0x6e06…5fe6 | No | 440 | 91.3¢ | $413 | — |
| 0x4900…05d1 | No | 403 | 89.4¢ | $379 | New14 settled bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 400 | 91.5¢ | $376 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| k7X9mP2qW40x7994…c512 | No | 390 | 92.9¢ | $366 | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 380 | 89.4¢ | $357 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 670 bets |
| freeelon0x57b7…9cc5 | No | 364 | 89.4¢ | $341 | New53 settled bets |
| CARXE0x511d…3633 | No | 350 | 89.3¢ | $328 | Losing−$1.39 per $100 · 478 bets |
| pigment0x02ea…a39c | No | 347 | 91.2¢ | $326 | New29 settled bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 300 | 91.6¢ | $282 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| BeginnersLuck20x8817…cda8 | No | 300 | 90.3¢ | $282 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 290 | 92.7¢ | $272 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 4,079 | 6.4¢ | $251 | New13 settled bets |
| Oliver7980xba74…e022 | No | 264 | 90.3¢ | $248 | — |
| VortexBet0x107f…bb8c | No | 250 | 92.8¢ | $235 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 7,947 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,046 | 3.4¢ | $126 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| 79VBB90x7a6f…e243 | Yes | 1,707 | 12.1¢ | $105 | — |
| AlmostNoAwareness0x33b3…d03d | Yes | 996 | 9.7¢ | $61 | Losing−$2.84 per $100 · 182 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 763 | 8.7¢ | $47 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| andreseurodr760x09bd…6f5a | Yes | 600 | 10.4¢ | $37 | New3 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 555 | 7.3¢ | $34 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,020 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 350 | 7.2¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 282 | 6.4¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 220 | 6.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| TopDog0xb428…5e88 | Yes | 214 | 7.3¢ | $13 | — |
| cc4160x8242…cb6e | Yes | 200 | 6.0¢ | $12 | — |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 200 | 10.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 172 | 6.9¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| goog-ly-6-10xa4a1…ebaa | Yes | 160 | 9.3¢ | $10 | — |
| vaicoolrents0x8d24…2af6 | Yes | 133 | 9.1¢ | $8 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 119 | 10.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 119 | 7.8¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| Lightpass0xa687…53a5 | Yes | 113 | 4.2¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 6.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0x3340…83fb | Yes | 100 | 6.2¢ | $6 | New4 settled bets |
| CloudyDayTrade0x44f5…ea4b | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.94 per $100 · 406 bets |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 100 | 8.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| LithiumIon0x4fd5…f4f1 | Yes | 100 | 8.1¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 979 bets |
| R-770x2d62…0a41 | Yes | 97 | 7.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.66 per $100 · 1,500 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 90 | 9.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 70 | 16.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| frankierivers0xf4a3…5f01 | Yes | 65 | 12.0¢ | $4 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 10.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xac46…2cae | Yes | 38 | 13.5¢ | $2 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 35 | 10.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 31 | 7.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0x3c4f…b2be | Yes | 31 | 8.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.20 per $100 · 398 bets |
| 0xf2a8…da5c | Yes | 28 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Mnimiy0xdafa…9f46 | Yes | 25 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 21 | 7.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 2,058 bets |
| king54210x3605…52bd | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0xe8fa…b3f9 | Yes | 19 | 10.3¢ | $1 | — |
| McProducer0x7c37…5b82 | Yes | 18 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec910x4569…ec91 | Yes | 11 | 11.5¢ | $1 | New67 settled bets |
| 0x117a…2f36 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $1 | New8 settled bets |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 3 | 10.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 533 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.