Market · 5 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 16 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 147,948 | 82.4¢ | $110K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| luck000040xc6e9…0741 | No | 93,353 | 70.2¢ | $69.5K | New80 settled bets |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | Yes | 189,831 | 28.7¢ | $48.4K | — |
| LeopoldAschenbooger0x929a…8cf0 | Yes | 113,452 | 29.5¢ | $28.9K | — |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | No | 26,000 | 79.5¢ | $19.4K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 13,036 | 80.0¢ | $9.71K | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,020 bets |
| 83offwrf0x663b…67be | No | 10,265 | 72.3¢ | $7.65K | New8 settled bets |
| 0xda68…6b7b | No | 9,499 | 81.2¢ | $7.08K | — |
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | No | 7,583 | 73.4¢ | $5.65K | Proven+$2.98 per $100 · 2,738 bets |
| djfhdjfhdjfhdj0x2c89…5f1c | Yes | 15,908 | 38.0¢ | $4.06K | New87 settled bets |
| gydmasg0xc456…8996 | No | 5,321 | 80.0¢ | $3.96K | — |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 72.0¢ | $3.73K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 4,968 | 70.9¢ | $3.7K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 13,679 | 11.8¢ | $3.49K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 0xb497…89b9 | Yes | 13,179 | 34.5¢ | $3.36K | — |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 4,106 | 71.0¢ | $3.06K | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | No | 3,842 | 70.7¢ | $2.86K | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| Kerigan0x7a4d…546a | No | 3,651 | 82.6¢ | $2.72K | — |
| AlmostNoAwareness0x33b3…d03d | Yes | 9,367 | 26.8¢ | $2.39K | Losing−$2.84 per $100 · 182 bets |
| pup10x54b5…4b31 | Yes | 9,045 | 27.2¢ | $2.31K | Positive+$2.96 per $100 · 5,558 bets |
| jyPoz0x6cf9…cffd | Yes | 8,993 | 30.3¢ | $2.29K | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 195 bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 2,732 | 74.8¢ | $2.04K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | No | 2,502 | 75.9¢ | $1.86K | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| CARXE0x511d…3633 | No | 2,450 | 76.7¢ | $1.83K | Losing−$1.39 per $100 · 478 bets |
| JeremmyGondon0xbbe0…1bb7 | No | 2,423 | 82.6¢ | $1.8K | — |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 7,000 | 14.9¢ | $1.78K | New13 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 2,213 | 79.9¢ | $1.65K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 2,172 | 72.6¢ | $1.62K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| 0x7f45…284b | Yes | 6,190 | 9.8¢ | $1.58K | — |
| LordProtector0x8420…6183 | Yes | 6,141 | 24.2¢ | $1.57K | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 2,092 | 72.6¢ | $1.56K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| Red781RuM0x04bf…7caf | No | 2,005 | 72.5¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$4.82 per $100 · 1,031 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,000 | 75.5¢ | $1.49K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| garlictrump0x6630…2f4e | No | 2,000 | 75.5¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 547 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 2,000 | 64.0¢ | $1.49K | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 2,000 | 76.0¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | No | 2,000 | 77.0¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| 0x87120xa676…1c22 | No | 2,000 | 70.0¢ | $1.49K | Break-even−$0.99 per $100 · 424 bets |
| mefirofan0x4292…4a08 | No | 1,983 | 68.9¢ | $1.48K | Losing−$20.09 per $100 · 217 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 1,904 | 72.4¢ | $1.42K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| joiwjapo4w0x14ef…a922 | Yes | 5,317 | 31.4¢ | $1.36K | New1 settled bet |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 1,817 | 81.1¢ | $1.35K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 1,791 | 71.8¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,557 | 74.0¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | No | 1,462 | 81.4¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | No | 1,414 | 72.2¢ | $1.05K | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 4,000 | 26.8¢ | $1.02K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| 0x8895…466d | No | 1,347 | 85.4¢ | $1K | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 1,240 | 81.2¢ | $924 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| jojis0x521d…46e7 | No | 1,220 | 82.6¢ | $909 | New39 settled bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | No | 1,185 | 72.8¢ | $883 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| kotyashmisha0x1c82…75c1 | No | 1,150 | 73.4¢ | $857 | New84 settled bets |
| 0x24da…0b29 | No | 1,140 | 65.8¢ | $849 | Proven+$10.90 per $100 · 112 bets |
| Isengard10x9032…b5c3 | No | 1,052 | 62.9¢ | $784 | — |
| Monies-For-Nuggies0xe86b…9371 | No | 1,001 | 75.4¢ | $746 | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 1,000 | 74.8¢ | $745 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0x34a9…4cfd | No | 944 | 74.8¢ | $704 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 2,503 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 944 | 70.9¢ | $703 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| pigment0x02ea…a39c | No | 933 | 84.4¢ | $695 | New29 settled bets |
| jpurd170x8473…70ef | Yes | 2,693 | 15.4¢ | $687 | — |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 897 | 78.7¢ | $669 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| 0xfcef…9499 | No | 892 | 74.8¢ | $665 | — |
| TPAA0x93ef…468b | No | 863 | 90.0¢ | $643 | — |
| Espreso0x76b8…3f1e | No | 832 | 84.6¢ | $620 | — |
| 79VBB90x7a6f…e243 | Yes | 888 | 24.0¢ | $226 | — |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 830 | 11.6¢ | $212 | — |
| k7X9mP2qW40x7994…c512 | Yes | 788 | 25.5¢ | $201 | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| 0xd0f8…6b50 | Yes | 631 | 18.9¢ | $161 | Proven+$11.40 per $100 · 266 bets |
| andreseurodr760x09bd…6f5a | Yes | 474 | 19.6¢ | $121 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x4378…b236 | Yes | 463 | 33.0¢ | $118 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x911b…a7fe | Yes | 455 | 22.7¢ | $116 | — |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Yes | 310 | 23.7¢ | $79 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 250 | 5.0¢ | $64 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| SlayerH0x17e4…4d33 | Yes | 200 | 30.0¢ | $51 | Losing−$7.61 per $100 · 480 bets |
| 1g0xx0x73f4…0eee | Yes | 186 | 6.4¢ | $47 | — |
| cisworker0x45b7…2ddc | Yes | 180 | 28.5¢ | $46 | New62 settled bets |
| thebettttorrrr0xeade…8632 | Yes | 167 | 15.5¢ | $42 | — |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 158 | 35.9¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 150 | 12.3¢ | $38 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 145 | 17.2¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| 0x5493…c6b9 | Yes | 130 | 27.8¢ | $33 | Losing−$7.69 per $100 · 157 bets |
| cc4160x8242…cb6e | Yes | 125 | 8.0¢ | $32 | — |
| kaifu0x44f2…1415 | Yes | 120 | 21.7¢ | $31 | Losing−$3.43 per $100 · 1,239 bets |
| RobbyMoon0x8790…165a | Yes | 114 | 22.7¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xe8d5…b73d | Yes | 105 | 19.6¢ | $27 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 84 | 30.6¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| aseoslon0xfd8a…f8e2 | Yes | 80 | 7.0¢ | $20 | — |
| TEEZ0x86e3…ad70 | Yes | 75 | 29.8¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x2255…39a9 | Yes | 74 | 27.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$8.06 per $100 · 281 bets |
| Oslnl0xfbd2…61f1 | Yes | 71 | 6.2¢ | $18 | — |
| josephHFT0x0eef…02c0 | Yes | 69 | 29.0¢ | $18 | New61 settled bets |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | 66 | 30.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | Yes | 55 | 16.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| M5an0xe01a…cd84 | Yes | 53 | 19.6¢ | $13 | — |
| mazw80x7c30…7673 | Yes | 50 | 19.6¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 777 bets |
| fireponbabylon0xa667…84fe | Yes | 46 | 14.5¢ | $12 | Positive+$2.51 per $100 · 1,399 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 42 | 31.1¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| 0xf2a8…da5c | Yes | 34 | 29.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xac46…2cae | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $8 | — |
| ktv.020xeab5…f570 | Yes | 17 | 25.2¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.