Market · 4 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 100 events · $6.03M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 15 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e0xbf0f…28ce | Yes | 22,831 | 24.0¢ | $10.6K | — |
| djfhdjfhdjfhdj0x2c89…5f1c | Yes | 11,886 | 51.5¢ | $5.53K | New87 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| borchi0xbfb3…4b43 |
| No |
| 10,000 |
| 77.0¢ |
| $5.35K |
| — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 9,006 | 72.6¢ | $4.82K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 4,808 | 75.3¢ | $2.57K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| Pump0xe74d…22fd | No | 4,035 | 53.3¢ | $2.16K | — |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | No | 4,000 | 70.0¢ | $2.14K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| AlmostNoAwareness0x33b3…d03d | Yes | 4,560 | 45.0¢ | $2.12K | Losing−$2.84 per $100 · 182 bets |
| 0x7f45…284b | Yes | 4,457 | 15.3¢ | $2.07K | New2 settled bets |
| 0xb497…89b9 | Yes | 4,257 | 44.3¢ | $1.98K | — |
| iForgor0x0562…9d66 | No | 3,558 | 52.1¢ | $1.9K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,122 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | No | 3,457 | 58.3¢ | $1.85K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | Yes | 3,301 | 31.1¢ | $1.54K | — |
| enriquedeti0x03d1…2c64 | Yes | 3,154 | 51.7¢ | $1.47K | New67 settled bets |
| joiwjapo4w0x14ef…a922 | Yes | 3,015 | 50.9¢ | $1.4K | New1 settled bet |
| Isengard10x9032…b5c3 | No | 2,308 | 49.7¢ | $1.23K | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 2,281 | 75.9¢ | $1.22K | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,020 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 2,062 | 49.3¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | No | 2,000 | 51.0¢ | $1.07K | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 1,900 | 53.5¢ | $1.02K | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,091 | 29.8¢ | $972 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| BibX0x6012…900f | No | 1,755 | 58.0¢ | $939 | Losing−$7.12 per $100 · 219 bets |
| thegreatbambino0x540e…7922 | Yes | 1,904 | 45.7¢ | $886 | New34 settled bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 1,802 | 56.0¢ | $838 | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 1,500 | 53.0¢ | $802 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| 0x9f57…4f12 | Yes | 1,652 | 43.4¢ | $768 | — |
| GibaGaba0x1437…3553 | No | 1,408 | 71.8¢ | $754 | New34 settled bets |
| LordProtector0x8420…6183 | Yes | 1,590 | 30.5¢ | $739 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 1,382 bets |
| TPAA0x93ef…468b | No | 1,375 | 77.8¢ | $736 | — |
| horatio0x7dd0…2b4b | No | 1,300 | 74.8¢ | $696 | Positive+$1.57 per $100 · 1,333 bets |
| HEOS0xf04e…22de | Yes | 1,463 | 49.2¢ | $680 | — |
| Bobbmon0x2657…4af5 | Yes | 1,430 | 35.1¢ | $665 | New98 settled bets |
| MoonGoose0xbd08…ff3b | No | 1,202 | 73.8¢ | $643 | — |
| 0x8895…466d | No | 1,183 | 82.5¢ | $633 | — |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | No | 1,168 | 56.0¢ | $625 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 1,110 | 51.1¢ | $594 | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| Red781RuM0x04bf…7caf | No | 1,100 | 58.4¢ | $589 | Proven+$4.82 per $100 · 1,031 bets |
| mazw80x7c30…7673 | Yes | 1,250 | 55.2¢ | $581 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 777 bets |
| jpurd170x8473…70ef | Yes | 1,211 | 26.3¢ | $563 | New30 settled bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 1,152 | 49.7¢ | $536 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| arbinaut0xde3d…81df | No | 1,000 | 72.0¢ | $535 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | No | 950 | 52.5¢ | $508 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | No | 944 | 47.3¢ | $505 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,055 | 49.8¢ | $490 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| MineYours0xe096…be8e | No | 900 | 44.7¢ | $482 | — |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | No | 899 | 73.0¢ | $481 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| profitmax0x0561…51c7 | Yes | 1,000 | 46.5¢ | $465 | Proven+$5.43 per $100 · 157 bets |
| zhuo1an90xeff3…4e66 | No | 828 | 80.6¢ | $443 | New70 settled bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | No | 650 | 55.0¢ | $348 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| 0xf96f…1f5c | Yes | 721 | 28.5¢ | $335 | — |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 715 | 45.4¢ | $332 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 600 | 57.0¢ | $321 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| k7X9mP2qW40x7994…c512 | No | 587 | 48.4¢ | $314 | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 582 | 51.9¢ | $312 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| jyPoz0x6cf9…cffd | Yes | 653 | 47.9¢ | $304 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 195 bets |
| lufei888880xa927…4847 | Yes | 593 | 34.6¢ | $276 | — |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | No | 500 | 77.0¢ | $268 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | No | 500 | 57.0¢ | $268 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| thelongx0xb85a…50ea | No | 500 | 70.0¢ | $268 | — |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | No | 500 | 54.4¢ | $267 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| 0x24da…0b29 | No | 441 | 50.0¢ | $236 | Proven+$10.90 per $100 · 112 bets |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | No | 441 | 48.7¢ | $236 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,133 bets |
| 0xJasonSan0xedc8…3296 | No | 396 | 56.0¢ | $212 | — |
| Freeborne0xbfcc…12a6 | No | 388 | 78.2¢ | $208 | — |
| generouspirate0xe5ed…5e8c | No | 383 | 48.0¢ | $205 | — |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | No | 371 | 46.7¢ | $198 | Proven+$7.56 per $100 · 3,291 bets |
| Rushwave0x5ca9…6ccf | No | 355 | 74.5¢ | $190 | Proven+$2.97 per $100 · 260 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 335 | 63.9¢ | $179 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 332 | 55.9¢ | $178 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 320 | 79.8¢ | $171 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 349 | 42.0¢ | $162 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 300 | 85.5¢ | $161 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 284 | 64.9¢ | $152 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 79VBB90x7a6f…e243 | Yes | 323 | 38.0¢ | $150 | New5 settled bets |
| NX-Trading0xd133…ef27 | Yes | 305 | 23.7¢ | $142 | — |
| 56gh340x4644…280e | Yes | 300 | 49.0¢ | $140 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 100 bets |
| predictionmarketslover0xf587…de7f | No | 250 | 79.2¢ | $134 | — |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | Yes | 271 | 15.5¢ | $126 | — |
| LearningPizza0x4da4…5535 | No | 223 | 81.0¢ | $119 | Losing−$5.24 per $100 · 301 bets |
| MellowWaters0x7f26…e5e8 | Yes | 211 | 35.9¢ | $98 | Losing−$5.83 per $100 · 147 bets |
| goog-ly-5-40x228d…dd5b | Yes | 180 | 31.9¢ | $84 | New7 settled bets |
| goog-ly-5-60xeeec…9a13 | Yes | 180 | 31.9¢ | $84 | — |
| 0x4378…b236 | Yes | 156 | 55.9¢ | $73 | New1 settled bet |
| sandcastles0xa0a1…4ecb | Yes | 139 | 36.9¢ | $65 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 123 | 46.4¢ | $57 | — |
| goog-ly-6-30x4991…158f | Yes | 120 | 32.9¢ | $56 | New7 settled bets |
| finnjclancy0x7243…a299 | Yes | 108 | 46.0¢ | $50 | New2 settled bets |
| andreseurodr760x09bd…6f5a | Yes | 106 | 34.7¢ | $49 | New3 settled bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Yes | 105 | 40.0¢ | $49 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| 0x5493…c6b9 | Yes | 101 | 45.6¢ | $47 | Losing−$7.69 per $100 · 157 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 86 | 36.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0x5e9b…1e50 | Yes | 75 | 34.2¢ | $35 | New78 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 74 | 46.4¢ | $34 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| 0x06ee…a051 | Yes | 65 | 47.0¢ | $30 | New1 settled bet |
| inno0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | 64 | 23.2¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xd13c…02f4 | Yes | 64 | 56.0¢ | $30 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 63 | 30.0¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| techhawk0xc555…371f | Yes | 54 | 56.1¢ | $25 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 195 shares each side · Show
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