Market · 2 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oieshfn3450x6550…8451 | Yes | 114,531 | 63.6¢ | $93.3K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 3,170 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 80,440 | 68.3¢ | $65.6K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 63,165 | 45.2¢ | $51.5K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| uma0030x53c4…740b | No | 240,444 | 44.7¢ | $44.5K | New77 settled bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 6,697 | 83.7¢ | $5.46K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| WorkingIsBad0xc58b…ff58 | No | 29,040 | 21.2¢ | $5.37K | — |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 5,457 | 88.9¢ | $4.45K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| pmcb0xa569…96ec | Yes | 4,000 | 60.2¢ | $3.26K | New60 settled bets |
| 0x9f57…4f12 | Yes | 3,487 | 65.8¢ | $2.84K | — |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 3,435 | 84.3¢ | $2.8K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | Yes | 3,000 | 79.7¢ | $2.45K | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| joiwjapo4w0x14ef…a922 | Yes | 2,997 | 85.5¢ | $2.44K | New1 settled bet |
| djfhdjfhdjfhdj0x2c89…5f1c | Yes | 2,894 | 70.0¢ | $2.36K | — |
| cripes30x8454…331a | No | 7,453 | 73.4¢ | $1.38K | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 2,770 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,477 | 81.9¢ | $1.2K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| M88800x44da…e225 | Yes | 1,420 | 84.4¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 159 bets |
| mazw80x7c30…7673 | Yes | 1,361 | 50.5¢ | $1.11K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 777 bets |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | Yes | 1,338 | 82.8¢ | $1.09K | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 1,202 | 55.3¢ | $980 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 885 | 60.7¢ | $721 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | No | 3,810 | 17.2¢ | $705 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0x04da…5f04 | No | 3,697 | 27.8¢ | $684 | New29 settled bets |
| kthehandyman0x0f93…3300 | Yes | 800 | 65.7¢ | $652 | New64 settled bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 3,333 | 18.8¢ | $617 | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| jpurd170x8473…70ef | Yes | 717 | 48.4¢ | $585 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 654 | 78.3¢ | $533 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| PancraceRoyer0x29d3…b2ed | Yes | 600 | 55.0¢ | $489 | Proven+$11.54 per $100 · 638 bets |
| michaelSlasher0x6fa1…1f74 | Yes | 500 | 87.0¢ | $407 | Proven+$10.95 per $100 · 208 bets |
| MineYours0xe096…be8e | No | 2,200 | 49.9¢ | $407 | — |
| inno0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | 429 | 57.8¢ | $349 | — |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | No | 1,867 | 26.8¢ | $345 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| glasssnakeater0x2312…67cc | No | 1,852 | 55.0¢ | $343 | — |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 412 | 68.0¢ | $336 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| 0xf96f…1f5c | Yes | 409 | 47.4¢ | $333 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 407 | 75.4¢ | $332 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| code.up0x2e2f…6884 | Yes | 395 | 89.2¢ | $322 | — |
| AlexZ70x3896…ece6 | No | 1,710 | 39.7¢ | $316 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 313 bets |
| spongebobs0x821f…f9c3 | Yes | 360 | 56.3¢ | $294 | — |
| 0xbfba…f650 | Yes | 344 | 50.0¢ | $280 | — |
| Oferp0x6d93…f70a | Yes | 329 | 61.7¢ | $268 | — |
| horatio0x7dd0…2b4b | No | 1,400 | 50.2¢ | $259 | — |
| Eric0180x2f63…f247 | No | 1,374 | 47.7¢ | $254 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 300 | 81.5¢ | $245 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| littlepo0x6282…3ea8 | Yes | 300 | 81.1¢ | $244 | — |
| qwertyyyy0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | 300 | 59.0¢ | $244 | — |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | Yes | 273 | 78.7¢ | $222 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,133 bets |
| raymondzhao0x53ad…cee9 | Yes | 266 | 55.0¢ | $217 | — |
| wukong63630x5888…940e | Yes | 258 | 75.6¢ | $210 | — |
| Artaius0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | 254 | 48.2¢ | $207 | — |
| KalungaHD0x7f5f…5985 | No | 988 | 28.1¢ | $183 | — |
| dzzzq0xb79a…a203 | Yes | 200 | 25.8¢ | $163 | — |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | Yes | 200 | 88.8¢ | $163 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| Frieren680x9e45…3662 | No | 876 | 46.6¢ | $162 | — |
| 79VBB90x7a6f…e243 | Yes | 193 | 60.0¢ | $157 | — |
| 0xeeca…0de6 | Yes | 191 | 53.3¢ | $156 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 808 | 44.5¢ | $149 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| MagaliA0x19df…e8c7 | Yes | 179 | 56.9¢ | $146 | New61 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 776 | 29.8¢ | $144 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c2930xb8a9…2948 | No | 766 | 26.7¢ | $142 | — |
| andreseurodr760x09bd…6f5a | Yes | 156 | 53.9¢ | $127 | New3 settled bets |
| 0xaa05…4908 | No | 687 | 52.4¢ | $127 | — |
| k7X9mP2qW40x7994…c512 | Yes | 151 | 88.1¢ | $123 | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | Yes | 136 | 58.1¢ | $111 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | No | 530 | 55.3¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| reizo0xc81c…e454 | Yes | 117 | 53.1¢ | $95 | — |
| unknownpineapple0xffd8…91c8 | No | 500 | 20.6¢ | $93 | — |
| cooliensiemsien0x35d6…5467 | Yes | 106 | 48.2¢ | $86 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 454 | 30.0¢ | $84 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| 0x2eae…a25f | No | 450 | 9.9¢ | $83 | — |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | Yes | 100 | 84.0¢ | $82 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 92 | 81.7¢ | $75 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| 0xOTd0x79a8…bb66 | No | 400 | 11.4¢ | $74 | — |
| honte0xad9a…c3f4 | No | 385 | 13.5¢ | $71 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 378 | 20.0¢ | $70 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| professorlim0xa8d6…d3da | No | 369 | 55.2¢ | $68 | — |
| VenomTrade0x27ab…1f86 | No | 369 | 18.3¢ | $68 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 305 | 29.6¢ | $56 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| 0x57e7…84e9 | No | 271 | 16.0¢ | $50 | Losing−$3.66 per $100 · 10,324 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 219 | 49.4¢ | $41 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x12b3…e104 | No | 178 | 14.5¢ | $33 | Losing−$9.61 per $100 · 364 bets |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 150 | 18.0¢ | $28 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 117 | 19.5¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| eusha0x9941…e1cf | No | 112 | 45.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x7acb…5ed3 | No | 101 | 20.4¢ | $19 | — |
| Flaner0x585b…753f | No | 100 | 59.0¢ | $19 | — |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | No | 97 | 14.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 259 bets |
| 3ea9d0107984400x5dd9…1f81 | No | 96 | 53.5¢ | $18 | — |
| kaixi98990x278b…43bf | No | 71 | 45.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xb625…79c1 | No | 60 | 51.0¢ | $11 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 55 | 36.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 55 | 20.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| 0x8570…a6c8 | No | 52 | 19.9¢ | $10 | — |
| zwp0x539b…624c | No | 50 | 19.6¢ | $9 | — |
| z1xus0x9409…045d | No | 50 | 31.9¢ | $9 | — |
| S.Cooper0xa99b…1211 | No | 50 | 63.5¢ | $9 | — |
| superlp0xc64c…b542 | No | 50 | 34.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x65a2…6950 | No | 50 | 20.2¢ | $9 | — |
| zhuangjia5560xc8e4…d454 | No | 49 | 42.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | No | 48 | 41.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.