Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 49,917 | 78.8¢ | $46.4K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 9,940 | 92.8¢ | $9.24K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Yes | 5,500 | 92.6¢ | $5.12K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 4,788 | 90.5¢ | $4.45K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | No | 44,590 | 21.9¢ | $3.12K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0x99f3…87eb | Yes | 2,692 | 75.1¢ | $2.5K | — |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | Yes | 2,388 | 90.2¢ | $2.22K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| sisisisissss0xf0a0…86b2 | Yes | 2,120 | 33.9¢ | $1.97K | — |
| WillBeQuant0xc6be…a0f3 | Yes | 2,025 | 93.0¢ | $1.88K | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 682 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 2,000 | 69.7¢ | $1.86K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,802 | 91.6¢ | $1.68K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,668 bets |
| pmcb0xa569…96ec | Yes | 1,500 | 77.0¢ | $1.39K | New60 settled bets |
| AlloyRuvia0xf5bf…5fb1 | Yes | 1,200 | 95.2¢ | $1.12K | — |
| Ethan999990x8cd1…ea75 | Yes | 1,196 | 92.3¢ | $1.11K | — |
| JT7160x7650…fac1 | Yes | 850 | 65.9¢ | $791 | — |
| Yallen-4740xdd1d…e206 | Yes | 730 | 74.1¢ | $679 | — |
| memester0x2edb…9ac5 | Yes | 673 | 75.1¢ | $626 | — |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | Yes | 671 | 94.3¢ | $624 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| Hyperaster0x8bda…f001 | Yes | 600 | 32.9¢ | $558 | — |
| delphilo0xca52…0cdf | Yes | 535 | 75.5¢ | $498 | — |
| HEBI550xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | 470 | 85.0¢ | $437 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 457 | 91.0¢ | $425 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 443 | 45.3¢ | $412 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 440 | 69.9¢ | $409 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 5,472 | 8.2¢ | $383 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,042 bets |
| Oferp0x6d93…f70a | Yes | 410 | 74.0¢ | $381 | — |
| AlwaysTimed0x13c2…b7c8 | Yes | 400 | 64.9¢ | $372 | — |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 5,109 | 9.9¢ | $358 | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| Pump0xe74d…22fd | No | 5,000 | 7.3¢ | $350 | — |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No | 4,929 | 8.0¢ | $345 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| essjay15900xbc4f…fe8c | Yes | 350 | 73.0¢ | $326 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | No | 4,123 | 9.0¢ | $289 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| WorkingIsBad0xc58b…ff58 | No | 4,007 | 8.3¢ | $281 | — |
| littlepo0x6282…3ea8 | Yes | 300 | 80.4¢ | $279 | — |
| zachary2270xff94…c347 | Yes | 300 | 76.4¢ | $279 | — |
| 0xf356…2d35 | Yes | 295 | 68.7¢ | $274 | — |
| spongebobs0x821f…f9c3 | Yes | 290 | 69.6¢ | $270 | — |
| raymondzhao0x53ad…cee9 | Yes | 270 | 74.8¢ | $251 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 268 | 89.0¢ | $249 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| 0x2900xf30c…ddfb | Yes | 250 | 69.9¢ | $233 | — |
| 0x9f57…4f12 | Yes | 245 | 78.0¢ | $228 | — |
| Eric0180x2f63…f247 | No | 2,914 | 24.5¢ | $204 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 215 | 93.2¢ | $199 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 173 | 75.2¢ | $161 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | No | 2,000 | 15.0¢ | $140 | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| cassino0x9b06…0b42 | No | 2,000 | 26.0¢ | $140 | — |
| MineYours0xe096…be8e | No | 1,850 | 36.9¢ | $129 | — |
| 0xf078…48d5 | Yes | 131 | 77.1¢ | $122 | — |
| 79VBB90x7a6f…e243 | Yes | 129 | 79.7¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x0268…638b | Yes | 129 | 78.3¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x624c…0ce2 | Yes | 128 | 77.3¢ | $119 | — |
| Zhao4120xaee2…fffc | Yes | 128 | 78.7¢ | $119 | — |
| 0x9d30…dcd6 | Yes | 128 | 78.7¢ | $119 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 123 | 70.4¢ | $114 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| f3ita0xe788…736b | Yes | 123 | 70.6¢ | $114 | Losing−$9.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| pp22230xb263…6484 | No | 1,600 | 36.4¢ | $112 | — |
| thecapper0x6f18…d8f5 | Yes | 120 | 66.7¢ | $112 | — |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | Yes | 111 | 90.1¢ | $103 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 1,382 | 21.0¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,015 bets |
| glasssnakeater0x2312…67cc | No | 1,347 | 38.0¢ | $94 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 100 | 91.0¢ | $93 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 100 | 74.0¢ | $93 | — |
| 0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c2930xb8a9…2948 | No | 1,071 | 18.1¢ | $75 | — |
| oieshfn3450x6550…8451 | No | 1,060 | 6.0¢ | $74 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 2,784 bets |
| unknownpineapple0xffd8…91c8 | No | 1,000 | 10.4¢ | $70 | — |
| 0xb261…09a7 | No | 928 | 7.3¢ | $65 | — |
| 0x2eae…a25f | No | 829 | 15.3¢ | $58 | — |
| xinloy0xecee…2120 | No | 760 | 33.0¢ | $53 | — |
| 3ea9d0107984400x5dd9…1f81 | No | 710 | 23.5¢ | $50 | — |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | No | 500 | 14.3¢ | $35 | — |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | No | 489 | 46.8¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x0e56…3218 | No | 421 | 24.5¢ | $29 | — |
| theravada0x9e63…1a1b | No | 405 | 37.9¢ | $28 | — |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | No | 390 | 8.0¢ | $27 | — |
| Frieren680x9e45…3662 | No | 341 | 32.2¢ | $24 | — |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | No | 310 | 23.7¢ | $22 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| horatio0x7dd0…2b4b | No | 300 | 28.5¢ | $21 | — |
| E16550x381f…2d05 | No | 286 | 35.9¢ | $20 | — |
| professorlim0xa8d6…d3da | No | 286 | 35.9¢ | $20 | — |
| zhuo1an90xeff3…4e66 | No | 266 | 0.0¢ | $19 | New70 settled bets |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | No | 248 | 31.0¢ | $17 | — |
| yadxi0x019c…e8d2 | No | 242 | 64.6¢ | $17 | — |
| Head0xce63…0a6d | No | 200 | 28.8¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x57e7…84e9 | No | 194 | 9.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$3.66 per $100 · 10,324 bets |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 150 | 33.9¢ | $11 | — |
| PredictionMMayr0x8f9d…5e06 | No | 137 | 7.3¢ | $10 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | No | 105 | 13.8¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | 102 | 6.0¢ | $7 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 100 | 33.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Oliverstewart210x5c42…6288 | No | 100 | 7.3¢ | $7 | — |
| S.Cooper0xa99b…1211 | No | 100 | 42.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Flaner0x585b…753f | No | 100 | 46.0¢ | $7 | — |
| zwp0x539b…624c | No | 100 | 22.4¢ | $7 | — |
| SubashChandraBose0xf01a…f231 | No | 93 | 6.5¢ | $6 | — |
| mefirofan0x4292…4a08 | No | 91 | 4.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xb625…79c1 | No | 69 | 29.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x0514…b196 | No | 63 | 32.9¢ | $4 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 150 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 92 events · $5.94M in play