Market · 3 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5d8…ff3a | No | 1,848 | 88.0¢ | $1.8K | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 803 | 80.6¢ | $782 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 8,219 | 12.1¢ | $210 | — |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 200 | 86.0¢ | $195 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| 0x8ed3…631d | Yes | 3,460 | 13.0¢ | $88 | — |
| nugdealer0x6330…9a92 | No | 60 | 96.2¢ | $59 | — |
| gtribunalo0x63f9…b568 | No | 52 | 96.2¢ | $51 | — |
| rplc-crpt0x8a52…6a3c | No | 42 | 97.0¢ | $41 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 98.7¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| 0xbd6d…ed0b | Yes | 1,313 | 15.3¢ | $33 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,115 | 11.5¢ | $28 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 1,000 | 20.0¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 782 | 14.3¢ | $20 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 769 | 9.6¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| BenjaminNetanyahooo0x2deb…9e9a | No | 20 | 95.0¢ | $19 | — |
| A15ThePredator0x5cc4…b4f2 | Yes | 720 | 1.4¢ | $18 | — |
| Bursted0x843e…d2f3 | Yes | 659 | 14.4¢ | $17 | New6 settled bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 637 | 8.5¢ | $16 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| suoha5180x29bb…f0f4 | Yes | 374 | 8.1¢ | $10 | — |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 11.4¢ | $9 | New36 settled bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 267 | 11.9¢ | $7 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 260 | 2.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| Morras0x7ab8…65db | Yes | 257 | 18.7¢ | $7 | — |
| Goorsakbardari0x5670…2b9c | Yes | 249 | 18.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 6 | 0.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 240 | 4.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 221 | 8.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| 0xb54f…af22 | Yes | 212 | 4.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FrankG47280x7b3a…c1fb | Yes | 211 | 4.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 207 | 16.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| svoter0x1c56…0b1d | No | 5 | 81.0¢ | $5 | — |
| oligarc0x6842…f629 | Yes | 179 | 5.8¢ | $5 | — |
| calm.rabbit0x33db…417a | Yes | 136 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 133 | 2.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 118 | 15.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 3 | 84.4¢ | $3 | — |
| hoshigaki.kisame0x277a…6345 | Yes | 113 | 13.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 110 | 15.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 105 | 10.7¢ | $3 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 103 | 19.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | 101 | 14.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 100 | 8.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Clarencetsai0x8c04…2eae | Yes | 100 | 2.1¢ | $3 | New12 settled bets |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 2 | 86.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| BaaDsHa0xec2d…de68 | Yes | 76 | 21.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 69 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 68 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 68 | 5.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Kimera-0xcc7c…4ce2 | Yes | 48 | 21.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| slime5670x2a0d…2eda | Yes | 36 | 14.5¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 33 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| tomkat070x5695…002b | Yes | 23 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 20 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | 19 | 21.7¢ | $0 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 15 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5a58…9fe4 | Yes | 13 | 18.6¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 81.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| tailchaser0x6ab3…77d4 | Yes | 10 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 10 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56f7…c043 | Yes | 7 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| giochi0xcd96…11a3 | Yes | 6 | 18.6¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | No | 0 | 87.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.