Market · 6 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 5 | 98.7¢ | $5 | — |
| BalthazarCroix0x1080…c725 | No | 2 | 99.6¢ | $2 | — |
| CassianThalassa0x019a…9203 | No | 2 | 99.6¢ | $2 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 2 | 72.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| dca10xfb33…73b3 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 3,041 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| PorseFE0x2636…86c0 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 2,222 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$60.11 per $100 · 7,837 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,997 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 1,485 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,378 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,255 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Kfjdbebjdjdvwnksjfvebks0x5943…0d97 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb92b…0a74 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Earntest0xdfb7…71d5 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| buzagaza0xfa43…76a5 | Yes | 700 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 625 | 14.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Zuliye0x0e15…0e19 | Yes | 467 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 396 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 328 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 301 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 298 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 289 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 264 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 204 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 180 | 14.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,695 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 90 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 81 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 74 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 66 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 56 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 55 | 14.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mowe210xd9fa…e91e | Yes | 52 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| pmaker0xe243…79f7 | Yes | 48 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 48 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 47 | 14.3¢ | $0 | — |
| veniaminhuesos0xc0e8…fbe3 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 31 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 25 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 25 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| win-at-all-cost0x62ad…79fc | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| magnamDolorum4880x3d6b…1101 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SolutaRepellendus8750x9efe…5b22 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| quaedeleniti0x9faf…f0d3 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 15 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 15 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 10 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 7 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| somecode330x3188…9e6c | Yes | 6 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| achrbot0x09d5…a84b | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.