Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 98 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shijiebeiii0xbb59…6ca3 | No | 771 | 91.2¢ | $768 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.1¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| trutur0xbcda…f2a6 | No | 25 | 95.9¢ | $25 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 5,000 | 14.7¢ | $15 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 2,530 | 3.7¢ | $8 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 7 | 33.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| LearningPizza0x4da4…5535 | Yes | 2,300 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.24 per $100 · 301 bets |
| Lipider0x0523…a3ed | No | 7 | 91.3¢ | $7 | New78 settled bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,290 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| sagarana0x2be0…68ad | Yes | 931 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 892 | 2.2¢ | $3 | — |
| FrankG47280x7b3a…c1fb | Yes | 833 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 782 | 14.3¢ | $2 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 2 | 98.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| 0xbd6d…ed0b | Yes | 525 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 455 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 442 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 436 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 107 bets |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 3.4¢ | $1 | New36 settled bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 355 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 352 | 16.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 348 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Ben.Graham0xdcd4…a7b8 | Yes | 316 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Morras0x7ab8…65db | Yes | 243 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 233 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$39.16 per $100 · 1,739 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 217 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| PolCsf0xfd88…4037 | Yes | 200 | 36.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 182 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 163 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 161 | 10.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 149 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 64.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 120 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 101 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| verbo0x4d01…992b | Yes | 100 | 10.1¢ | $0 | New12 settled bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| rplc-crpt0x8a52…6a3c | Yes | 100 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 79 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 69 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 65 | 7.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 56 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 55 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 49 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| username230x09df…5ca9 | Yes | 39 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 39 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| compchild0x3de9…d0de | Yes | 27 | 37.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 94.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 25 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Clarencetsai0x8c04…2eae | Yes | 23 | 1.1¢ | $0 | New12 settled bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | 19 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 10 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tailchaser0x6ab3…77d4 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 10 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.