Market · 1 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 91 events · $5.94M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 7,454 | 50.2¢ | $6.15K | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| nelbal84860x8c44…fcd4 | Yes | 7,079 | 65.3¢ | $5.84K | Positive+$4.41 per $100 · 128 bets |
| 0xa5d8…ff3a | Yes | 6,287 | 68.9¢ | $5.19K | — |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 4,898 | 83.5¢ | $4.04K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,668 bets |
| zoootic0xa3cc…447c | Yes | 3,852 | 0.0¢ | $3.18K | — |
| anonymousoctopus0x6b32…3535 | Yes | 3,386 | 73.1¢ | $2.79K | — |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | No | 13,527 | 17.7¢ | $2.37K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| mazw80x7c30…7673 | Yes | 2,800 | 80.6¢ | $2.31K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 777 bets |
| JT7160x7650…fac1 | Yes | 2,500 | 83.6¢ | $2.06K | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,473 | 58.5¢ | $2.04K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Bursted0x843e…d2f3 | No | 9,543 | 44.7¢ | $1.67K | New6 settled bets |
| laaaaadida0x7e42…8807 | Yes | 1,747 | 85.5¢ | $1.44K | — |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 1,471 | 68.8¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 6,665 | 49.1¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,344 | 20.0¢ | $1.11K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| lexswitz0x460a…e696 | Yes | 1,295 | 40.7¢ | $1.07K | — |
| 0x7131…29cc | Yes | 1,240 | 0.0¢ | $1.02K | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 373 bets |
| jpurd170x8473…70ef | Yes | 881 | 19.7¢ | $727 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 693 | 78.6¢ | $572 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| legaloslotr0xfa35…77d5 | Yes | 640 | 63.9¢ | $528 | — |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 622 | 50.0¢ | $513 | — |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 565 | 69.9¢ | $466 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 514 | 40.0¢ | $424 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| YOYO62660x3c2f…9765 | Yes | 505 | 41.9¢ | $417 | — |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 420 | 48.0¢ | $347 | — |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 41.4¢ | $300 | New36 settled bets |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 355 | 57.5¢ | $293 | — |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | Yes | 350 | 67.8¢ | $289 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | No | 1,344 | 18.1¢ | $235 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| Herozl0xae6a…329c | Yes | 261 | 82.0¢ | $216 | — |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | No | 1,186 | 23.4¢ | $208 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| the-contrarian0xedc6…20fc | No | 1,130 | 53.1¢ | $198 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 207 | 82.0¢ | $171 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| xfm-1-70x2f97…425f | Yes | 200 | 51.0¢ | $165 | — |
| OntheHedge0x6f71…b80e | Yes | 200 | 83.0¢ | $165 | — |
| xfm-1-100xb0ef…11d8 | Yes | 200 | 51.0¢ | $165 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 194 | 17.6¢ | $160 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| xfm-10-90xc796…35c6 | Yes | 188 | 63.0¢ | $155 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 184 | 37.3¢ | $151 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 160 | 85.0¢ | $132 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| rallaghan0xac70…dfb1 | Yes | 142 | 47.6¢ | $117 | — |
| ZKNark0x65a4…d48c | Yes | 131 | 46.8¢ | $108 | — |
| undertaker070xa7a3…7739 | No | 604 | 18.3¢ | $106 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 342 bets |
| hoshigaki.kisame0x277a…6345 | Yes | 110 | 52.4¢ | $91 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 100 | 81.0¢ | $83 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 81aa0x3904…7d5c | Yes | 100 | 51.0¢ | $83 | — |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | Yes | 100 | 83.0¢ | $83 | — |
| chaoticgod0xffea…06c0 | No | 390 | 17.8¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 316 bets |
| 0x55e8…ba22 | Yes | 82 | 50.0¢ | $67 | — |
| Lypongu0xec57…6b28 | Yes | 61 | 70.0¢ | $51 | — |
| PYEQUANT0x95a8…1c69 | Yes | 60 | 84.5¢ | $49 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 53 | 78.9¢ | $44 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | No | 250 | 13.0¢ | $44 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Lihazazs0x1ec6…7edb | No | 248 | 17.6¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 259 bets |
| GENLI0x57cb…bbb3 | Yes | 50 | 49.0¢ | $41 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 47 | 68.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | No | 217 | 57.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| xfm-2-70x3611…b882 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $35 | — |
| xfm-2-100x5130…25a1 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $35 | — |
| xfm-9-90x69ab…662b | No | 188 | 37.9¢ | $33 | — |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 37 | 80.9¢ | $31 | — |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | No | 163 | 38.8¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | Yes | 34 | 40.9¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xa24e…dfcc | Yes | 32 | 31.9¢ | $27 | — |
| rplc-crpt0x8a52…6a3c | Yes | 31 | 79.7¢ | $26 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | No | 137 | 22.9¢ | $24 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| chthollyseniorious0x4333…1f57 | No | 134 | 86.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Brianm0xa8da…d488 | No | 100 | 0.0¢ | $18 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 78 | 64.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| tetsuuoo0x0d93…9ed1 | No | 75 | 16.5¢ | $13 | — |
| Catatau10010x212b…9671 | No | 70 | 64.9¢ | $12 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 44 | 19.3¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 41 | 30.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | No | 35 | 11.0¢ | $6 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 29 | 56.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 20 | 32.9¢ | $4 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 17 | 59.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $2 | — |
| whodatbo10x5ca9…9eff | No | 10 | 60.0¢ | $2 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 17.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | No | 10 | 62.0¢ | $2 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 8 | 25.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| svoter0x1c56…0b1d | No | 5 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 5 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gigazone4360x3ea8…0795 | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ravenlor0x5a65…b640 | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ratleffco0xbd8c…9cfb | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| eagle1330xca37…ebfe | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| icelordpulsehunter0xe95e…d1d4 | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gabbamonteconner0xfc7f…a769 | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 4 | 15.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8c2e…c0fd | No | 3 | 31.1¢ | $1 | — |
| icelordp0x19c8…89a2 | No | 3 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| cryptx3227ir0x1a2d…9efb | No | 3 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| katzenkirstenus0x5c54…1737 | No | 3 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| megaify468eagle0x74de…a552 | No | 3 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| katharinasparlin0xb8f5…007d | No | 3 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nova2110xf7cc…108f | No | 3 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 1 | 74.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.