Market · 2 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 2,863 | 36.2¢ | $1.06K | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 1,368 | 62.6¢ | $862 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,308 | 64.0¢ | $824 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 1,793 | 44.9¢ | $663 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 1,354 | 31.9¢ | $501 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 728 | 63.4¢ | $459 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 574 | 56.9¢ | $361 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | No | 500 | 57.0¢ | $315 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 454 bets |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 700 | 43.0¢ | $259 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| 0xwordjnn0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | 619 | 42.0¢ | $229 | Losing−$4.39 per $100 · 685 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 593 | 39.9¢ | $219 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Liechti00xb410…57eb | Yes | 506 | 40.5¢ | $187 | New63 settled bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 492 | 42.8¢ | $182 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 400 | 42.5¢ | $148 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 204 | 64.9¢ | $129 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 200 | 57.0¢ | $126 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| abba040x3d52…d44f | No | 137 | 73.8¢ | $86 | — |
| johnny2k0x4b1b…62c1 | No | 100 | 59.0¢ | $63 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 81 | 57.0¢ | $51 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 72 | 56.0¢ | $45 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 39.0¢ | $44 | — |
| 0x4f8e…df5c | Yes | 114 | 45.0¢ | $42 | — |
| DeverNoom0x529d…6381 | Yes | 100 | 44.0¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.16 per $100 · 877 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | No | 58 | 55.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 54 | 65.0¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 50 | 53.0¢ | $32 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 50 | 65.0¢ | $32 | — |
| JumpingJacksboy0x5df7…080b | Yes | 85 | 48.0¢ | $31 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 47 | 65.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 66 | 41.6¢ | $24 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 50 | 43.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| T-deg0x9163…0cab | Yes | 50 | 29.0¢ | $19 | — |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 48 | 32.3¢ | $18 | — |
| BearHug0x25f7…9e74 | Yes | 42 | 36.6¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | 40 | 58.0¢ | $15 | — |
| HighBetaBro0xb309…d14b | Yes | 39 | 45.4¢ | $14 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 42.0¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | No | 20 | 53.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x08ef…e466 | Yes | 30 | 37.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 1,174 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 16 | 66.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 14 | 64.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| 0x423e…d872 | Yes | 21 | 48.5¢ | $8 | — |
| graybull0x543d…3302 | Yes | 20 | 42.0¢ | $7 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 18 | 41.9¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 66.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 61.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 8 | 56.3¢ | $5 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 7 | 57.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 7 | 61.0¢ | $4 | — |
| xJared0x6ce0…c89d | Yes | 11 | 40.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x8381…99b4 | Yes | 9 | 32.9¢ | $3 | — |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | No | 4 | 68.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 6 | 46.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 5 | 43.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| 0x5a29…7f5c | No | 2 | 57.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe633…56b8 | Yes | 3 | 34.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 2 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Juzy0x020c…f6c9 | Yes | 2 | 54.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 2 | 39.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 1 | 43.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| polksilko0x758a…f23c | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pat070x6e99…edca | Yes | 0 | 36.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Aggggaa120x498a…a9ee | Yes | 0 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| g6j3zpru8au4jci41u4m4hk40x0032…731a | Yes | 0 | 40.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| soliton1370x7b18…efae | Yes | 0 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | No | 0 | 53.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420030x2e62…b22e | No | 0 | 58.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 10,669 bets |
| 0xf566…85d6 | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FFFFFFFF90xf333…ba41 | No | 0 | 68.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elementarius0x7c11…99a1 | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Skko0x39cd…1650 | No | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.