Market · 7 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | Yes | 937 | 0.7¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 579 | 3.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 525 | 2.5¢ | $9 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 513 | 9.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 289 | 9.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 0.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000000xbe9f…014a | Yes | 188 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 160 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 65 | 12.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 51 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0x11b5…8c02 | Yes | 51 | 16.1¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 50 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 16 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 13 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 13 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 7 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 5 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 3 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| soliton1370x7b18…efae | Yes | 2 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.68 per $100 · 56,830+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.