Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| BBB88660x146e…ab0b | Yes | 2,226 | 0.1¢ | $13 | — |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 2,002 | 0.1¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,275 | 2.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| BBBBBB8860xd2ca…fc0d | Yes | 686 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Penooooo0x615f…5f37 | Yes | 458 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| sagejiraiyah0x5d76…99d6 | Yes | 267 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 253 | 5.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | Yes | 230 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 4,948 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 226 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 201 | 5.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Inossakira0x4e5c…26a3 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| deffel0x45ff…e4fc | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 139 | 5.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 131 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 120 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 102 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 98 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 93 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc80x9b71…c042 | Yes | 78 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 68 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 31 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 6 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | Yes | 0 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.