Market · 16 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 5,530 | 98.5¢ | $5.52K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,696 bets |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 2,903 | 16.3¢ | $2.9K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | No | 1,660 | 26.0¢ | $1.66K | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| Hakei.0x97ea…3363 | No | 1,000 | 30.0¢ | $998 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 400 | 96.8¢ | $399 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 268 | 87.4¢ | $267 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 217 | 99.4¢ | $217 | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 122 | 98.3¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| cfkwong8880xf312…8c35 | No | 81 | 37.9¢ | $81 | — |
| mefirofan0x4292…4a08 | No | 63 | 50.0¢ | $63 | Losing−$20.09 per $100 · 217 bets |
| VortexTrading0x41c7…0df5 | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 5,248 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 98.0¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 26 | 31.0¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| MichaelCohnson0x508f…491e | No | 21 | 98.8¢ | $21 | — |
| nbijoij0xf048…c61e | No | 21 | 24.7¢ | $21 | — |
| CNSTNTN0x9624…e4d0 | No | 20 | 98.1¢ | $20 | — |
| svala0x467b…af8f | No | 20 | 50.0¢ | $20 | — |
| g341210x3c4a…0be9 | No | 20 | 96.2¢ | $20 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 316 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 25.8¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 20 | 28.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 19 | 97.5¢ | $19 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 14 | 85.3¢ | $14 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| Oriannao0x8e02…40e6 | No | 13 | 96.8¢ | $13 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 13 | 14.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 10 | 32.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 4,541 | 4.1¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | No | 5 | 41.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,420 | 10.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 2,101 | 74.7¢ | $3 | — |
| smm.ls0x8312…b7f7 | No | 3 | 32.9¢ | $3 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | No | 3 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| Euan0xdd22…9ef1 | Yes | 1,568 | 76.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 2,621 bets |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Yes | 1,411 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 1,303 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$19.58 per $100 · 1,654 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 2 | 40.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | No | 2 | 37.7¢ | $2 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 996 | 69.6¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 952 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0x7131…29cc | Yes | 949 | 71.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 373 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 851 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| wanone3650xf15f…c75d | No | 1 | 97.8¢ | $1 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 1 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 1 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 511 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 451 | 19.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 400 | 23.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| BBB88660x146e…ab0b | Yes | 351 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 280 | 60.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| buyaoshangtou10x7afb…61ea | Yes | 252 | 69.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 354 bets |
| ...---...0x2dee…7ffd | Yes | 200 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 185 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 143 | 58.6¢ | $0 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 137 | 61.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 103 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 91 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 89 | 51.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| tBeotM0x0ce3…cfd7 | Yes | 79 | 77.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 9527win0x433a…38e5 | Yes | 71 | 70.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 505 bets |
| 0x5f9d…dd7c | Yes | 69 | 70.5¢ | $0 | — |
| CumbiaMaster0xf3f6…1f44 | Yes | 64 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 62 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 606 bets |
| starss110x26b2…2436 | Yes | 60 | 75.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2532…62ea | Yes | 56 | 3.7¢ | $0 | New11 settled bets |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 54 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 533 bets |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | 50 | 49.1¢ | $0 | — |
| IgnoreMostPrompts0x24cc…639f | Yes | 50 | 63.9¢ | $0 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7d2a…e532 | Yes | 39 | 65.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 32 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x637e…8cea | Yes | 30 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa837…34ea | Yes | 25 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 20 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 20 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbf25…64e9 | Yes | 19 | 62.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca08…c267 | Yes | 18 | 72.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Respire0x604a…14f4 | Yes | 18 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x32e7…90b8 | Yes | 17 | 59.0¢ | $0 | New45 settled bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 15 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x19ee…e2ca | Yes | 15 | 69.2¢ | $0 | — |
| McAbre0x3a3e…b436 | Yes | 14 | 69.9¢ | $0 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | No | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 101 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.