Market · 5 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 2,240 | 0.1¢ | $50 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| BBB88660x146e…ab0b | Yes | 1,861 | 0.1¢ | $42 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 99.1¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,275 | 2.7¢ | $29 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| BBBBBB8860xd2ca…fc0d | Yes | 665 | 1.0¢ | $15 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 483 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Penooooo0x615f…5f37 | Yes | 454 | 0.8¢ | $10 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 232 | 5.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | Yes | 210 | 2.5¢ | $5 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 201 | 5.9¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 167 | 5.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | Yes | 145 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 124 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| sagejiraiyah0x5d76…99d6 | Yes | 110 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 102 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 102 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 101 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 78 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 68 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| chidanBOOM0x7677…dcfc | Yes | 55 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 50 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 27 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 26 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 23 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 20 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 15 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | Yes | 0 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.