Market · 2 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 5,103 | 81.4¢ | $4.02K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 5,044 | 82.3¢ | $3.97K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,695 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 4,505 | 10.3¢ | $955 | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,223 | 13.7¢ | $895 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| lexdpc0x310e…5050 | Yes | 2,707 | 19.7¢ | $574 | — |
| Quarzo0x88ee…c234 | Yes | 2,500 | 17.5¢ | $530 | — |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | Yes | 2,339 | 14.7¢ | $496 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| gydmasg0xc456…8996 | No | 252 | 81.9¢ | $198 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 932 | 13.1¢ | $197 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Rmagic0xb9c0…91af | Yes | 790 | 7.7¢ | $167 | — |
| BBBBBB8860xd2ca…fc0d | Yes | 513 | 1.0¢ | $109 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 125 | 83.2¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 101 | 80.2¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 100 | 86.0¢ | $79 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 225 | 5.9¢ | $48 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| cc4160x8242…cb6e | Yes | 216 | 1.8¢ | $46 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 201 | 5.9¢ | $43 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 85.1¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 50 | 85.1¢ | $39 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| FortunaFelix0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | 154 | 18.3¢ | $33 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 84.6¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | No | 30 | 85.3¢ | $24 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 29 | 84.9¢ | $23 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 26 | 84.5¢ | $20 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 96.7¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| breakingcute0x7dff…1f35 | Yes | 70 | 2.0¢ | $15 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| 0x2532…62ea | Yes | 55 | 18.7¢ | $12 | New11 settled bets |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | Yes | 55 | 2.5¢ | $12 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| Freddyboy950x87ae…bc8e | Yes | 54 | 9.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 50 | 1.5¢ | $11 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| rkalko0x0ad5…c02c | Yes | 46 | 22.4¢ | $10 | — |
| ChairmanFed0x8369…f584 | No | 11 | 73.6¢ | $8 | Losing−$23.92 per $100 · 794 bets |
| 0x3309…64b0 | Yes | 38 | 2.7¢ | $8 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 75.2¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 75.1¢ | $8 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 80.4¢ | $8 | — |
| Marijas0xdb05…89b1 | Yes | 28 | 18.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf625…7047 | Yes | 27 | 7.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 10.1¢ | $4 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 20 | 4.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $4 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | Yes | 17 | 20.1¢ | $4 | — |
| wanone3650xf15f…c75d | No | 3 | 81.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3cce…a405 | Yes | 12 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| agentcal0x42b7…abff | Yes | 10 | 20.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,595 bets |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | Yes | 10 | 17.5¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 3 | 83.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 8 | 29.5¢ | $2 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 7 | 18.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| dfobos0x78f5…bccd | Yes | 7 | 17.1¢ | $1 | — |
| tumenskiy0xf692…ce9b | Yes | 6 | 16.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x93fa…5bdb | Yes | 4 | 23.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa282…4697 | No | 1 | 83.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 93.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3a2b…3874 | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 1 | 71.7¢ | $1 | — |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | Yes | 3 | 5.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 85.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 1 | 17.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| tomkat070x5695…002b | No | 0 | 83.1¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 5.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 0 | 71.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,530 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 80.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 0 | 83.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 0 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 0 | 26.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.