Market · 6 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 677 | 95.3¢ | $651 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 340 | 93.5¢ | $327 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| K96380x81fd…1775 | Yes | 7,506 | 13.3¢ | $285 | — |
| LilTimmyJimmy0x7268…c903 | Yes | 6,230 | 1.9¢ | $237 | — |
| 0xb261…09a7 | Yes | 3,725 | 4.4¢ | $142 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 3,333 | 10.0¢ | $127 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 2,625 | 0.2¢ | $100 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | Yes | 2,007 | 5.9¢ | $76 | New39 settled bets |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 78 | 96.0¢ | $75 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 1,933 | 1.7¢ | $73 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 71 | 97.6¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 1,627 | 1.9¢ | $62 | — |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 1,372 | 3.6¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| AlexJupiter0x0c50…15ef | Yes | 1,364 | 8.1¢ | $52 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 50 | 94.7¢ | $48 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,231 | 2.7¢ | $47 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| dinimueter0x69ee…19ab | Yes | 1,121 | 3.3¢ | $43 | — |
| oyster820x6771…5ce3 | Yes | 1,011 | 1.5¢ | $38 | New16 settled bets |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 39 | 96.0¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| 0x7231…415a | Yes | 900 | 2.5¢ | $34 | New4 settled bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 32 | 96.1¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 671 | 9.7¢ | $26 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 606 | 2.4¢ | $23 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 578 | 2.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| Brummer0x370a…baac | Yes | 566 | 4.2¢ | $21 | — |
| maladec0x6ab3…fc3b | Yes | 511 | 3.5¢ | $19 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 500 | 0.5¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| abze0x8c0d…9d95 | Yes | 500 | 4.1¢ | $19 | New57 settled bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 500 | 0.3¢ | $19 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| BBB88660x146e…ab0b | Yes | 431 | 4.9¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 16 | 98.6¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 6.4¢ | $14 | New36 settled bets |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | Yes | 335 | 2.3¢ | $13 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 322 | 9.0¢ | $12 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 317 | 9.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 300 | 1.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 300 | 3.0¢ | $11 | — |
| KarooKid0x3dff…0332 | Yes | 279 | 1.9¢ | $11 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 276 | 1.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 265 | 1.2¢ | $10 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0xa2ee…b470 | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | $10 | — |
| sd4f5g67h8j90x31a4…dd86 | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 10 | 96.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 232 | 2.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| RandomWalker30x9276…37a3 | Yes | 218 | 4.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Olka0x5849…a99e | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 200 | 1.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 194 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| dost-basti0xc87e…8eab | Yes | 180 | 5.5¢ | $7 | — |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 173 | 4.2¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 173 | 9.9¢ | $7 | — |
| gldx0xf930…cfbd | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 6 | 96.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Bet9740xdeee…cb75 | Yes | 154 | 4.1¢ | $6 | — |
| WorkingIsBad0xc58b…ff58 | Yes | 152 | 2.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Bellsprout0x3234…8400 | Yes | 150 | 5.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 65sfds0x783e…5a19 | No | 6 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Ainur20000xf85a…a2ed | Yes | 135 | 3.8¢ | $5 | — |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 5 | 97.3¢ | $5 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 119 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 116 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,790 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 115 | 4.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 9.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| zstaxpl4fpb20x92c7…89f5 | No | 3 | 96.2¢ | $3 | — |
| KreoAnon0xe9ce…711f | No | 3 | 95.3¢ | $3 | — |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 3 | 96.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 1 | 89.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 25 | 9.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 22 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 10 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 50kcasestudy0xeb54…d452 | No | 0 | 89.3¢ | $0 | — |
| G9vQK5Gcyx0xe90f…131e | No | 0 | 97.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7a15…df69 | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 1 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.