Market · 4 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 800 | 95.9¢ | $781 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 142 | 94.2¢ | $138 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 5,000 | 14.7¢ | $118 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | No | 73 | 95.3¢ | $72 | — |
| Telluxion0x204b…6a5c | Yes | 3,000 | 8.3¢ | $70 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 64 | 90.9¢ | $62 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 2,483 | 5.9¢ | $58 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| 0x8ed3…631d | Yes | 1,770 | 11.0¢ | $42 | — |
| prodset0x4d57…8620 | No | 40 | 51.0¢ | $39 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.4¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | No | 34 | 95.4¢ | $34 | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 30 | 96.6¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| sukpicc0xe690…5598 | No | 30 | 97.8¢ | $29 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,208 | 12.5¢ | $28 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 4.5¢ | $28 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x0b3e328455c4059EEb9e3f84b5543F74E24e7E1w0xbcde…8dda | No | 28 | 89.4¢ | $27 | — |
| FrankG47280x7b3a…c1fb | Yes | 873 | 1.2¢ | $21 | — |
| randomgambla0xec2c…4676 | Yes | 700 | 10.3¢ | $16 | New26 settled bets |
| aviad1020x07e4…6c18 | Yes | 538 | 5.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 443 | 5.3¢ | $10 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 387 | 3.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 6.1¢ | $9 | New36 settled bets |
| 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | 360 | 3.2¢ | $8 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 277 | 5.4¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 257 | 8.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 230 | 1.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x6d91…7a49 | Yes | 229 | 4.5¢ | $5 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 210 | 4.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Coconuts890x42e5…5ade | Yes | 207 | 5.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 196 | 7.6¢ | $5 | — |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 130 | 2.5¢ | $3 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 3 | 89.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| lexswitz0x460a…e696 | Yes | 124 | 8.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 122 | 14.3¢ | $3 | — |
| hoshigaki.kisame0x277a…6345 | Yes | 105 | 10.5¢ | $2 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Ben.Graham0xdcd4…a7b8 | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 8.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 96 | 7.5¢ | $2 | — |
| ivybaby020x9771…db67 | Yes | 89 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Eric0180x2f63…f247 | Yes | 70 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 68 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 66 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 63 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 98.3¢ | $1 | — |
| YotamF0x4725…ba00 | Yes | 45 | 10.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Naorr0x3170…ec92 | Yes | 44 | 11.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 39 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 38 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 65sfds0x783e…5a19 | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | — |
| bbaebae0x69d8…8cc0 | Yes | 25 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 25 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9dae…b9d2 | Yes | 20 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | 19 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbcba…223f | Yes | 18 | 14.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 17 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| giochi0xcd96…11a3 | Yes | 16 | 6.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ruthereyetsir0xf39e…9f90 | Yes | 14 | 12.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ToadToad0xf2fa…4a62 | No | 0 | 91.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 11 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 10 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 0 | 78.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 4 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 93 events · $5.98M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.