Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 515 | 75.7¢ | $430 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 400 | 88.5¢ | $334 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| WillBeQuant0xc6be…a0f3 | No | 338 | 85.5¢ | $282 | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 682 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 230 | 88.0¢ | $192 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 163 | 89.0¢ | $136 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 158 | 88.3¢ | $132 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 102 | 81.9¢ | $85 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 86 | 87.0¢ | $72 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | No | 86 | 63.9¢ | $72 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 405 | 17.2¢ | $67 | — |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | Yes | 300 | 38.0¢ | $49 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| romeinzc0x1bce…24cd | Yes | 291 | 39.8¢ | $48 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 50 | 95.0¢ | $42 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 219 | 20.1¢ | $36 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| BAO958890x300c…6a92 | Yes | 182 | 9.6¢ | $30 | Proven+$4.48 per $100 · 1,903 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 30 | 88.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 22.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x6196…6208 | Yes | 97 | 38.0¢ | $16 | — |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | 80 | 19.0¢ | $13 | — |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 73 | 17.8¢ | $12 | — |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | Yes | 72 | 37.9¢ | $12 | — |
| Faston0xa7fe…1f3e | Yes | 62 | 34.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 50 | 35.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| asd560xda65…e87e | Yes | 50 | 18.0¢ | $8 | — |
| piggyramen0xa3b4…88df | No | 7 | 63.9¢ | $6 | — |
| palochka0x5fc6…9561 | No | 6 | 64.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 28 | 18.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| QuessTea0070x660c…7f7a | No | 5 | 62.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.70 per $100 · 5,116 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 24 | 26.9¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 20 | 17.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 14,400 bets |
| blaqnorth0x02b6…e113 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x9925…baa3 | Yes | 20 | 25.8¢ | $3 | — |
| jzy05460x1e42…0520 | Yes | 15 | 35.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3d05…acde | Yes | 13 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| hahhastar0x45c9…5d27 | Yes | 8 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | Yes | 5 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jumpy-roamer0x12ff…0d78 | No | 1 | 63.0¢ | $1 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | 1 | 42.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 0 | 63.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Flingflonger0xecef…4909 | No | 0 | 73.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| 0x053b…65e9 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LovelyPanda0x2ccf…5f6a | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2f7c…208a | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cool.keith0x90b8…8665 | No | 0 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| BotFuvker0x9ded…b2ab | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV20x8dc6…22a3 | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play