Market · 6 of 6 outcomes
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0330330330xd1c7…1d2b | No | 30,000 | 99.9¢ | $30K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 830 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 25,794 | 98.9¢ | $25.8K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 8,002 | 97.5¢ | $8K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 3,510 | 78.0¢ | $3.51K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0xbe04…3c60 | No | 3,338 | 96.8¢ | $3.34K | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 527 bets |
| 0xad96…d498 | No | 3,000 | 99.1¢ | $3K | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 101 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 2,000 | 99.1¢ | $2K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb | No | 2,000 | 98.3¢ | $2K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 699 bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 1,997 | 97.1¢ | $2K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 1,650 | 99.2¢ | $1.65K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 1,340 | 35.5¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$14.85 per $100 · 244 bets |
| 0x81f8…1ffe | No | 1,303 | 99.7¢ | $1.3K | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 1,172 | 94.8¢ | $1.17K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | No | 1,000 | 93.3¢ | $1K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| kukubaja0xa0c3…5b9a | No | 1,000 | 99.9¢ | $1K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,092 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 732 | 89.7¢ | $732 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | No | 700 | 96.9¢ | $700 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| hwey346ed0x8637…39bd | No | 693 | 99.1¢ | $692 | — |
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | No | 680 | 90.5¢ | $680 | — |
| betjunkie0x03be…f6d9 | No | 500 | 92.0¢ | $500 | — |
| Aragorn-II0xc9ad…79d0 | No | 500 | 96.9¢ | $500 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 403 | 32.6¢ | $403 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 379 | 41.0¢ | $379 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| Odin.Valhal0xdd0d…17b6 | No | 340 | 97.0¢ | $340 | New79 settled bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 333 | 96.3¢ | $333 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,952 bets |
| randjoe2710x3666…939b | No | 250 | 99.4¢ | $250 | — |
| 0x886e…b9be | No | 220 | 99.8¢ | $220 | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 125 bets |
| VortexTrading0x41c7…0df5 | No | 200 | 99.1¢ | $200 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 5,224 bets |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 200 | 93.3¢ | $200 | Proven+$7.81 per $100 · 425 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 200 | 89.4¢ | $200 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | No | 184 | 41.0¢ | $184 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| mazacapital0x2dfe…a376 | No | 142 | 39.6¢ | $142 | — |
| ResolvedMarkets0x4109…ad6b | No | 120 | 77.0¢ | $120 | — |
| Serene-Savior0xed16…cc75 | No | 115 | 31.9¢ | $115 | — |
| Mirotadze0xb462…fc89 | No | 100 | 94.2¢ | $100 | — |
| kinderSman0xa6d9…fd2f | No | 78 | 95.3¢ | $78 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 842 bets |
| miya20160xbecd…f54e | No | 76 | 99.5¢ | $76 | Proven+$2.17 per $100 · 2,286 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | No | 74 | 98.7¢ | $74 | New39 settled bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 67 | 99.1¢ | $67 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| vwhig90xdd05…edf7 | No | 63 | 98.0¢ | $63 | — |
| bronsonjones.0xc8f8…5d3d | No | 57 | 99.3¢ | $57 | — |
| trader-8fff01810x8fff…0482 | No | 55 | 99.8¢ | $55 | — |
| 0xff12…cdc4 | No | 48 | 41.3¢ | $48 | Losing−$5.81 per $100 · 651 bets |
| fjwioewef0xcfe8…30cb | No | 46 | 91.3¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x61824002685454-8361008463710x299c…d85e | No | 40 | 98.0¢ | $40 | — |
| eduardtm0x0e77…187f | No | 40 | 32.9¢ | $40 | — |
| tailoree0x17b5…e8d7 | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $33 | — |
| Silentoperator10xa6ef…74fc | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $33 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 32 | 93.0¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| GeorgiiRach0x296a…fb2f | No | 31 | 98.3¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xaeb1…03fb | Yes | 45,380 | 4.1¢ | $23 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x737d…ca1d | Yes | 6,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| cat67670x124a…3741 | Yes | 5,424 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| lgrand690xb238…6a46 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 3,100 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$12.17 per $100 · 3,925 bets |
| tdmilk0x5b02…7fbd | Yes | 1,645 | 61.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | Yes | 1,438 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 809 bets |
| nomad6560xb7b6…78f5 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 1,058 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| jajupe0xfec3…c3a0 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 950 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Minteamade0x82aa…fe2f | Yes | 888 | 68.0¢ | $0 | — |
| KimchiCapital0x9578…f066 | Yes | 884 | 45.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x14ec…c745 | Yes | 792 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 673 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 612 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 14.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| pipilos0xf210…0328 | Yes | 567 | 10.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 11,001 bets |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 550 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 508 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 500 | 58.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| OilWizard0x4d77…af31 | Yes | 500 | 68.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hrhrhrez0x2583…fe5c | Yes | 450 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Garga0x51d6…3ea0 | Yes | 413 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 397 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x124e…a8a9 | Yes | 312 | 67.9¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 301 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 300 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 292 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Edje250x6268…6031 | Yes | 256 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$30.99 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| Kfjdbebjdjdvwnksjfvebks0x5943…0d97 | Yes | 244 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 202 | 72.2¢ | $0 | — |
| PseudoIntellect0xfe72…9025 | Yes | 200 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| estoicc0x738a…5996 | Yes | 198 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| peter0120x7492…532c | Yes | 179 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| snaf64400xef29…5f83 | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| eratoxtenex0x0b65…013e | Yes | 150 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Gaby990x3d74…b519 | Yes | 150 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| smartpreset0x1680…490d | Yes | 146 | 49.3¢ | $0 | — |
| hristoskoff0xbdb6…2146 | Yes | 129 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| aquafish-..-..-0x6660…c786 | Yes | 127 | 79.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x32e7…90b8 | Yes | 125 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 102 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa837…34ea | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| issamemario0xb5d1…32e2 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x658f…367f | Yes | 71 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Phantom280x2bab…af65 | Yes | 70 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.