Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pump0xe74d…22fd | Yes | 9,250 | 61.7¢ | $5.6K | — |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 13,758 | 35.6¢ | $5.43K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| l3t00xd14a…a8ad | Yes | 6,805 | 59.7¢ | $4.12K | Proven+$6.10 per $100 · 109 bets |
| kevinzhaoo0xd235…6f93 | No | 8,871 | 40.5¢ | $3.5K | — |
| charliealmanack0xa3a3…c2f9 | Yes | 5,193 | 68.9¢ | $3.14K | Proven+$10.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No | 7,623 | 37.4¢ | $3.01K | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | No | 7,065 | 38.7¢ | $2.79K | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 4,348 | 67.2¢ | $2.63K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| Quarzo0x88ee…c234 | Yes | 3,975 | 70.3¢ | $2.4K | — |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 3,670 | 58.9¢ | $2.22K | — |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 3,105 | 65.8¢ | $1.88K | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 4,000 | 37.0¢ | $1.58K | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | Yes | 2,003 | 68.0¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | Yes | 2,000 | 58.0¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 3,010 | 32.9¢ | $1.19K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| RICDZ0xdd28…d7ff | No | 2,853 | 41.7¢ | $1.13K | — |
| 08A0x16ad…936f | Yes | 1,774 | 77.5¢ | $1.07K | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,720 | 63.3¢ | $1.04K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| takeormake0xa38a…821d | No | 2,591 | 50.6¢ | $1.02K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,341 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,692 | 65.0¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| xutopia360x3309…523d | Yes | 1,671 | 78.3¢ | $1.01K | — |
| bbb.smb10x673e…f853 | No | 2,540 | 23.5¢ | $1K | — |
| Tanjirooo0x7c9d…acff | Yes | 1,506 | 73.8¢ | $911 | — |
| rabbit0070xf2aa…21fb | Yes | 1,500 | 69.2¢ | $907 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 860 bets |
| Lulul0xae9f…6eef | Yes | 1,328 | 60.0¢ | $803 | — |
| 0x87120xa676…1c22 | No | 2,000 | 14.0¢ | $790 | Break-even−$0.99 per $100 · 424 bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | Yes | 1,299 | 63.1¢ | $786 | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 995 | 66.0¢ | $602 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| jajupe0xfec3…c3a0 | No | 1,509 | 30.7¢ | $596 | — |
| sundalo0x59d6…0704 | Yes | 968 | 64.8¢ | $586 | — |
| LehmanBrother2.00x5fbf…8925 | No | 1,400 | 33.0¢ | $553 | New12 settled bets |
| 0xb261…09a7 | No | 1,376 | 22.0¢ | $544 | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 853 | 68.2¢ | $516 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,253 bets |
| 0xwordjnn0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | 813 | 65.0¢ | $492 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 675 bets |
| kaparo0x3947…6c1e | Yes | 767 | 66.1¢ | $464 | — |
| Sparta1211220120xf666…24df | Yes | 741 | 62.6¢ | $448 | New13 settled bets |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | No | 1,114 | 31.4¢ | $440 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 809 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 700 | 69.1¢ | $424 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 675 | 75.5¢ | $408 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| Copyright-10x235e…5673 | No | 1,000 | 42.0¢ | $395 | — |
| wallet-account-test0xcaff…e3ad | No | 1,000 | 17.0¢ | $395 | — |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 644 | 86.8¢ | $390 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 963 | 38.6¢ | $380 | — |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | No | 934 | 31.9¢ | $369 | Proven+$11.02 per $100 · 220 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 600 | 61.0¢ | $363 | — |
| lineth0x2c41…133e | No | 881 | 22.5¢ | $348 | Proven+$15.49 per $100 · 924 bets |
| Kfjdbebjdjdvwnksjfvebks0x5943…0d97 | No | 881 | 11.8¢ | $348 | — |
| goatboss0x56e7…cf24 | No | 805 | 47.1¢ | $318 | New35 settled bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 486 | 63.0¢ | $294 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,681 bets |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc0x477a…2d8e | No | 700 | 32.3¢ | $277 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 908 bets |
| 0x124e…a8a9 | Yes | 450 | 62.0¢ | $272 | — |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | No | 688 | 31.9¢ | $272 | — |
| Odin.Valhal0xdd0d…17b6 | Yes | 435 | 82.6¢ | $263 | New79 settled bets |
| unknownpineapple0xffd8…91c8 | No | 625 | 32.9¢ | $247 | — |
| NoTeacher0xcb48…be6d | No | 622 | 34.3¢ | $246 | — |
| ulysse2220x25d9…ff14 | Yes | 400 | 66.0¢ | $242 | New42 settled bets |
| 0x5b91…2709 | Yes | 400 | 70.0¢ | $242 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 400 | 67.0¢ | $242 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 392 | 66.0¢ | $237 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| GidGud0x4867…a6f8 | Yes | 385 | 65.0¢ | $233 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 2,793 bets |
| AmericaFirst10x154c…658e | Yes | 382 | 63.9¢ | $231 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 6,420 bets |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Yes | 340 | 63.1¢ | $206 | — |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 490 | 42.3¢ | $194 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| 0xde1d…ef49 | Yes | 318 | 78.1¢ | $193 | — |
| pqx0x866d…dc93 | Yes | 308 | 85.4¢ | $186 | — |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 465 | 43.9¢ | $184 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| HornyBibi0x708d…ea78 | Yes | 298 | 66.9¢ | $180 | — |
| tosse0xe240…7cb3 | Yes | 286 | 70.8¢ | $173 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 278 | 66.0¢ | $168 | Losing−$1.44 per $100 · 58,479+ bets · updating |
| decaflatte0xfb2c…6bf7 | No | 400 | 31.9¢ | $158 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 254 | 67.0¢ | $153 | — |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 252 | 67.2¢ | $152 | — |
| simulacrum30x2843…b3d2 | Yes | 252 | 74.0¢ | $152 | — |
| KimchiCapital0x9578…f066 | Yes | 250 | 57.0¢ | $151 | — |
| 0x872e…e58f | Yes | 241 | 55.0¢ | $146 | Losing−$12.93 per $100 · 134 bets |
| 0xf466…be63 | No | 358 | 29.3¢ | $141 | — |
| persikbandit0xe499…b583 | No | 340 | 41.0¢ | $134 | — |
| DonSpyro0x5c68…e0c8 | Yes | 215 | 70.3¢ | $130 | — |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | 213 | 66.0¢ | $129 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| foxy40x40ca…a96d | Yes | 203 | 67.0¢ | $123 | — |
| 0xbd3d…742f | No | 300 | 36.0¢ | $119 | — |
| H2g38K120x3bb5…7ad9 | No | 247 | 41.0¢ | $97 | — |
| predictor5550x4ebb…061a | No | 240 | 44.0¢ | $95 | — |
| okc350xccf3…8f27 | No | 201 | 15.9¢ | $79 | — |
| NNNNNobita0x37a1…6691 | No | 200 | 38.9¢ | $79 | — |
| 0x4015…f4a9 | No | 200 | 22.0¢ | $79 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 200 | 37.0¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Mahnic0xdf34…dc86 | No | 200 | 51.0¢ | $79 | — |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 127 | 70.8¢ | $77 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 27,047 bets |
| 0x4ca4…c467 | No | 152 | 33.9¢ | $60 | — |
| 0xc8c9…2e25 | No | 150 | 21.7¢ | $59 | — |
| M88800x44da…e225 | No | 137 | 39.8¢ | $54 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 159 bets |
| hwhwlhwlhwl0xae0b…0913 | No | 120 | 25.8¢ | $47 | Losing−$2.34 per $100 · 474 bets |
| maybebrian0x580a…a236 | No | 119 | 43.0¢ | $47 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 115 | 15.7¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| nottheworst20x98bd…781e | No | 114 | 30.6¢ | $45 | — |
| StillWater00x7bab…8322 | No | 100 | 31.9¢ | $40 | — |
| fjwioewef0xcfe8…30cb | No | 100 | 17.2¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x6bdc…9036 | No | 98 | 21.0¢ | $39 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 87 | 35.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.