Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 5,971 | 89.6¢ | $5.79K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 5,671 | 66.7¢ | $5.5K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| LJa7io23MCv954j0x85a8…9281 | No | 5,208 | 85.8¢ | $5.05K | — |
| 0x2b67…b814 | No | 2,000 | 78.5¢ | $1.94K | Proven+$6.18 per $100 · 355 bets |
| Ume-Chang0xae89…90b8 | No | 2,000 | 76.0¢ | $1.94K | Losing−$2.13 per $100 · 8,308 bets |
| LehmanBrother2.00x5fbf…8925 | No | 1,616 | 76.4¢ | $1.57K | New12 settled bets |
| FTX2.00x0a26…1851 | No | 1,564 | 61.4¢ | $1.52K | — |
| jaredsub0xb397…47e1 | No | 1,457 | 75.0¢ | $1.41K | — |
| Skepticc0x5734…fd4d | No | 800 | 31.9¢ | $776 | — |
| gydmasg0xc456…8996 | No | 800 | 87.4¢ | $776 | — |
| 0x5b91…2709 | No | 773 | 78.8¢ | $750 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| Liechti00xb410…57eb | No | 725 | 69.9¢ | $703 | New63 settled bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 510 | 90.8¢ | $494 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| Kfjdbebjdjdvwnksjfvebks0x5943…0d97 | No | 432 | 70.4¢ | $418 | — |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 427 | 75.3¢ | $414 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 400 | 76.2¢ | $388 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 9,000 | 76.0¢ | $274 | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | No | 280 | 89.4¢ | $271 | — |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 215 | 89.4¢ | $209 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| iForgor0x0562…9d66 | Yes | 5,494 | 9.9¢ | $168 | — |
| Myfichs0x204c…1e26 | No | 160 | 33.1¢ | $155 | — |
| Aragorn-II0xc9ad…79d0 | No | 150 | 77.7¢ | $145 | — |
| dzog-chen0x7fb2…69e5 | No | 130 | 77.7¢ | $126 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 125 | 26.8¢ | $121 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| fjwioewef0xcfe8…30cb | No | 119 | 20.6¢ | $115 | — |
| JackPaper0xb17a…08b8 | No | 109 | 92.3¢ | $105 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 100 | 91.6¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| nightmare010x99e9…e2a7 | No | 100 | 26.8¢ | $97 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 90 | 71.7¢ | $87 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 2,817 | 22.4¢ | $86 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | Yes | 2,712 | 19.5¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 809 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No | 80 | 75.8¢ | $78 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 0x6bdc…9036 | No | 77 | 26.8¢ | $75 | — |
| lineth0x2c41…133e | No | 67 | 24.6¢ | $65 | Proven+$15.49 per $100 · 924 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 67 | 80.0¢ | $65 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| hisoka72000x9440…2809 | No | 63 | 80.6¢ | $61 | — |
| zabih0x63da…9146 | No | 50 | 59.4¢ | $48 | — |
| ethombu0xc074…1f3d | No | 50 | 80.6¢ | $48 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,575 | 13.2¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 1,566 | 45.7¢ | $48 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 46 | 78.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 44 | 89.4¢ | $43 | — |
| Leros0x60b3…44ac | No | 38 | 26.8¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x3340…83fb | No | 35 | 76.9¢ | $34 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 1,018 | 3.5¢ | $31 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| 0x72f7…b009 | Yes | 1,000 | 22.1¢ | $31 | — |
| doramifa0x21a8…1aec | No | 31 | 80.6¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 455 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 30 | 23.3¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 29 | 18.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Podublin0xb4a3…c352 | No | 22 | 92.0¢ | $21 | — |
| HighBetaBro0xb309…d14b | No | 20 | 87.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 19 | 79.8¢ | $19 | — |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 500 | 37.5¢ | $15 | — |
| RICDZ0xdd28…d7ff | No | 15 | 26.8¢ | $15 | — |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | Yes | 370 | 24.9¢ | $11 | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| cashy0x8f42…b88f | Yes | 366 | 27.7¢ | $11 | Proven+$11.86 per $100 · 1,051 bets |
| 8dcc906a9b0xdbd0…8c1c | Yes | 341 | 35.9¢ | $10 | Losing−$19.90 per $100 · 244 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 335 | 44.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| 0xe68b…a259 | No | 10 | 28.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x8a99…1362 | No | 10 | 29.8¢ | $10 | — |
| KenanEvren0xb8d6…44ee | No | 10 | 20.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | Yes | 298 | 12.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 250 | 76.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 241 | 10.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 229 | 22.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | Yes | 228 | 79.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| whoknows110x00fc…78f5 | Yes | 200 | 19.6¢ | $6 | — |
| ulysse2220x25d9…ff14 | Yes | 200 | 33.0¢ | $6 | New42 settled bets |
| negativePNL0x2675…2374 | Yes | 200 | 26.0¢ | $6 | — |
| mazw80x7c30…7673 | Yes | 200 | 65.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 777 bets |
| simulacrum30x2843…b3d2 | Yes | 191 | 24.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | Yes | 185 | 27.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| 0x611c…a931 | Yes | 156 | 32.9¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 291 bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 150 | 10.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| breakingcute0x7dff…1f35 | Yes | 150 | 72.9¢ | $5 | — |
| rocky420130xf971…0a57 | Yes | 139 | 27.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 117 | 35.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 6.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 101 | 4.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 08A0x16ad…936f | Yes | 100 | 53.4¢ | $3 | — |
| CenturyFox0x2bb8…b136 | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| GamerBolo0x4930…82ab | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $3 | — |
| littlepo0x6282…3ea8 | Yes | 100 | 80.6¢ | $3 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 100 | 19.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 100 | 60.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| szemencio0x51e9…d803 | Yes | 93 | 85.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Popcorn11030x087a…ee1e | Yes | 93 | 27.8¢ | $3 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 91 | 26.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 91 | 26.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| timasigma0xe28e…990f | Yes | 83 | 75.7¢ | $3 | — |
| just-playin0xb3c5…54a3 | Yes | 83 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| weez-acee0x38c7…806e | Yes | 70 | 12.4¢ | $2 | — |
| yarrro0x4454…f6bf | Yes | 70 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| IceWindL0xdae6…e440 | Yes | 57 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$7.53 per $100 · 261 bets |
| Owner320x9c9b…818f | Yes | 56 | 18.6¢ | $2 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 36 | 15.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 210 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 91 events · $5.94M in play