Market · 1 of 12 outcomes
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 94 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 139,613 | 87.0¢ | $64.1K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 94,028 | 49.0¢ | $50.9K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 0xffbb…36e9 | Yes | 77,633 | 19.6¢ | $42K | — |
| BMM-10xdf1c…2ebb | No | 43,317 | 43.3¢ | $19.9K | — |
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | Yes | 20,000 | 49.0¢ | $10.8K | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 17,553 bets |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Yes | 18,548 | 49.0¢ | $10K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 14,237 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 18,524 | 47.9¢ | $10K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | Yes | 13,613 | 31.4¢ | $7.36K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| 0x6d4a…f05f | Yes | 10,000 | 7.5¢ | $5.41K | — |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | Yes | 8,518 | 49.3¢ | $4.61K | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | No | 10,000 | 52.3¢ | $4.59K | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| BeneGesseritVoice0xcb59…0a22 | Yes | 8,426 | 46.1¢ | $4.56K | Proven+$2.38 per $100 · 2,191 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 7,920 | 55.8¢ | $4.28K | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 7,756 | 55.9¢ | $4.2K | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| navtradez0x72ae…9b0a | Yes | 6,474 | 25.3¢ | $3.5K | — |
| cassino0x9b06…0b42 | Yes | 4,554 | 17.2¢ | $2.46K | — |
| UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU0x84a7…9743 | Yes | 4,154 | 57.8¢ | $2.25K | Losing−$14.48 per $100 · 244 bets |
| Shijiebeiii0xbb59…6ca3 | Yes | 3,862 | 55.9¢ | $2.09K | — |
| iForgor0x0562…9d66 | No | 4,001 | 40.9¢ | $1.84K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,122 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 2,652 | 24.6¢ | $1.43K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 2,535 | 49.0¢ | $1.37K | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 2,928 | 78.5¢ | $1.34K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| Liechti00xb410…57eb | Yes | 2,447 | 54.1¢ | $1.32K | New63 settled bets |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | Yes | 2,189 | 16.2¢ | $1.18K | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 2,149 | 48.8¢ | $1.16K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 2,000 | 49.0¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 1,931 | 47.6¢ | $1.04K | Proven+$7.88 per $100 · 526 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,906 | 46.1¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 1,638 | 3.2¢ | $886 | — |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | 1,630 | 16.8¢ | $882 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| a.weidel0x0213…82f6 | Yes | 1,616 | 36.7¢ | $874 | — |
| dlakmldka0xee45…25a8 | Yes | 1,600 | 13.6¢ | $866 | — |
| HermanLi0x32c3…dbd0 | Yes | 1,500 | 49.0¢ | $812 | — |
| zjavax20xe5c4…2231 | Yes | 1,409 | 61.0¢ | $762 | — |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | Yes | 1,401 | 62.1¢ | $758 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| usurper550x6fd4…4fa0 | No | 1,562 | 45.9¢ | $717 | — |
| hack-vc0xdb1b…efb5 | Yes | 1,288 | 55.0¢ | $697 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 1,250 | 49.0¢ | $676 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 1,439 | 58.0¢ | $661 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| SmilingFriends0x752d…d335 | Yes | 1,075 | 57.5¢ | $582 | — |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | Yes | 1,065 | 52.8¢ | $576 | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| GamblingEnjoyer0x55d8…0cf5 | Yes | 1,000 | 14.8¢ | $541 | — |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $541 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| TenChuSama0xe577…6c42 | Yes | 997 | 51.6¢ | $539 | — |
| jpurd170x8473…70ef | Yes | 955 | 12.9¢ | $517 | — |
| 0x2aab…3b61 | Yes | 948 | 2.5¢ | $513 | — |
| sky6886880x83a3…3645 | Yes | 858 | 57.5¢ | $464 | — |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | 844 | 13.0¢ | $457 | — |
| laaaaadida0x7e42…8807 | Yes | 795 | 61.0¢ | $430 | — |
| 0xd271…37e0 | No | 887 | 86.9¢ | $407 | — |
| Flaquito0x426d…b976 | Yes | 746 | 54.6¢ | $404 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 703 | 1.4¢ | $380 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| plyzjjct0xdb59…e178 | Yes | 692 | 18.6¢ | $375 | — |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 663 | 51.1¢ | $359 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| zohandvir0000x24ee…4e60 | Yes | 625 | 13.9¢ | $338 | — |
| dataaroom0x9456…4f9f | Yes | 623 | 49.9¢ | $337 | — |
| 0xdc0b…8011 | Yes | 605 | 8.3¢ | $327 | — |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | No | 621 | 44.5¢ | $285 | — |
| 7576770x7b98…5cfa | No | 444 | 96.6¢ | $204 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,528 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 419 | 51.8¢ | $192 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 397 | 48.7¢ | $182 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| KrdRL0x63c1…70d7 | No | 343 | 87.9¢ | $157 | — |
| tvampire0x16d4…c2c5 | No | 335 | 89.8¢ | $154 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 320 | 45.5¢ | $147 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| 0xe1d0…892d | No | 233 | 42.6¢ | $107 | — |
| 0x.4a5140x8c2a…38d0 | No | 218 | 92.1¢ | $100 | — |
| maximus840xc05f…ddd3 | No | 216 | 54.0¢ | $99 | — |
| 0x5835…6410 | No | 200 | 87.0¢ | $92 | — |
| 0xecf9…328a | No | 181 | 55.0¢ | $83 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 172 | 46.9¢ | $79 | — |
| 0x0d50…d407 | No | 144 | 70.1¢ | $66 | — |
| robertoo0xadaf…6eb9 | No | 124 | 88.5¢ | $57 | — |
| tommychien0x52fa…8692 | No | 123 | 53.6¢ | $57 | — |
| JaneEyre0x783d…9a35 | No | 120 | 52.8¢ | $55 | — |
| DontDonk0xae35…76db | No | 112 | 63.3¢ | $51 | — |
| 0x8895…466d | No | 110 | 91.5¢ | $51 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | No | 100 | 41.5¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| speculativefire0x54e3…f2fd | No | 100 | 55.8¢ | $46 | — |
| goog-ly-1-10x655f…bba7 | No | 92 | 86.1¢ | $42 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | No | 86 | 42.4¢ | $40 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 80 | 45.9¢ | $36 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | No | 74 | 58.0¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| interisthebest0x6edb…a7c7 | No | 69 | 95.0¢ | $32 | — |
| hisoka72000x9440…2809 | No | 67 | 75.3¢ | $31 | — |
| Sunbreon0xf26c…ebe5 | No | 62 | 53.4¢ | $28 | — |
| potatosnack0x7bfe…b139 | No | 60 | 98.0¢ | $28 | — |
| EdgeOfChaos0x896a…7b9c | No | 60 | 85.2¢ | $28 | — |
| Tomgee0xe036…c19b | No | 59 | 51.7¢ | $27 | — |
| ewhdfer0x404c…74dc | No | 50 | 86.8¢ | $23 | — |
| DanBolla330x4934…6d71 | No | 50 | 80.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Momolly0x8355…6ce8 | No | 50 | 86.8¢ | $23 | — |
| jajajajajaja0xa5c6…38b6 | No | 50 | 85.9¢ | $23 | — |
| Shark.of.the.Felt0x5b71…7d59 | No | 50 | 65.7¢ | $23 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 97.4¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x2255…39a9 | No | 47 | 43.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xa1c7…bdbb | No | 43 | 47.1¢ | $20 | New83 settled bets |
| data-sync0x21ad…10d2 | No | 42 | 53.9¢ | $19 | — |
| Discombobulator0x2301…d847 | No | 40 | 98.0¢ | $18 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 40 | 43.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.