Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rumpelstiltskin0xfb1b…a11d | No | 444 | 27.3¢ | $262 | — |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 410 | 23.5¢ | $242 | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pragmat1sm0x8841…c2d3 |
| Yes |
| 432 |
| 76.7¢ |
| $177 |
| — |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 234 | 59.0¢ | $138 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,934 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 273 | 47.8¢ | $112 | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | Yes | 200 | 73.0¢ | $82 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 93 | 34.9¢ | $55 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | 117 | 35.9¢ | $48 | Proven+$9.60 per $100 · 493 bets |
| mintable0xe977…74ca | Yes | 103 | 68.9¢ | $42 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 96 | 38.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0x12b3…e104 | No | 50 | 25.8¢ | $30 | Losing−$9.61 per $100 · 364 bets |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | No | 42 | 29.6¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| erFiodena0x961b…2b00 | No | 39 | 51.0¢ | $23 | — |
| misha-d10x040a…118d | Yes | 50 | 60.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 50 | 42.0¢ | $21 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 30 | 67.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | Yes | 40 | 35.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| VenomTrade0x27ab…1f86 | No | 28 | 32.8¢ | $16 | New55 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 22 | 36.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 28 | 74.0¢ | $11 | — |
| trader-9b7793990x9b77…53cd | No | 15 | 27.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x65a2…6950 | No | 11 | 25.8¢ | $7 | New63 settled bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 15 | 39.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | No | 8 | 63.9¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| tigertest10x73bd…ac54 | Yes | 10 | 74.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 5 | 44.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| wildboar080xb260…9d59 | Yes | 6 | 76.7¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 6 | 37.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 5 | 66.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Tiresias1230x3682…63b7 | Yes | 2 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zzmdc20x5354…50e7 | No | 1 | 36.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | No | 1 | 29.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 67.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play