Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No |
| 1,123 |
| 69.2¢ |
| $954 |
| — |
| Gdub0x0b64…49bd | No | 721 | 59.0¢ | $613 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 1,466 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 500 | 55.0¢ | $425 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 375 | 65.4¢ | $319 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| h4xor0x7a25…81d1 | No | 240 | 68.6¢ | $204 | — |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 201 | 69.3¢ | $171 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| Glicha0x91ff…8f40 | No | 168 | 53.3¢ | $143 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 157 | 72.0¢ | $133 | — |
| aandriy0x5de8…f004 | No | 145 | 83.6¢ | $123 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 140 | 62.5¢ | $119 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 794 | 44.3¢ | $119 | — |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | Yes | 608 | 44.7¢ | $91 | — |
| 98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF0xda91…9ffd | No | 102 | 61.0¢ | $86 | — |
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 100 | 79.7¢ | $85 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| wqujvj0x24fb…973e | Yes | 545 | 35.6¢ | $82 | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 102 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 85 | 69.9¢ | $73 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| lisan-al-gaib930xfa04…7818 | No | 81 | 62.0¢ | $69 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 80 | 83.3¢ | $68 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 348 | 30.5¢ | $52 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Hoodedslinky80x233c…3ab8 | Yes | 343 | 18.1¢ | $51 | — |
| lpratas0x91c5…0596 | Yes | 341 | 43.9¢ | $51 | — |
| 0xfec8…67f7 | Yes | 330 | 31.2¢ | $49 | — |
| pragmat1sm0x8841…c2d3 | Yes | 310 | 28.1¢ | $47 | — |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 54 | 81.1¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,934 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 283 | 24.5¢ | $42 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Miguel2621440x2df5…51ac | No | 33 | 61.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$4.12 per $100 · 9,181 bets |
| eratoxtenex0x0b65…013e | No | 33 | 60.0¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 845 bets |
| misha-d10x040a…118d | Yes | 150 | 30.3¢ | $23 | — |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | Yes | 135 | 32.8¢ | $20 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| Legacy.crypto0x9dfb…e887 | No | 23 | 81.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x12b3…e104 | No | 22 | 56.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.61 per $100 · 364 bets |
| 0xc8a0…6c71 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $17 | — |
| MaxJ.0x2f82…6a55 | No | 17 | 59.5¢ | $15 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 13 | 74.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 12 | 52.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| willepille3333330x96b0…3336 | Yes | 57 | 32.3¢ | $9 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 79.0¢ | $9 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 79.0¢ | $8 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 41 | 28.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| takeright320xfd50…0687 | No | 7 | 70.8¢ | $6 | — |
| KolmogorovDoob0xa61f…f609 | No | 7 | 76.7¢ | $6 | — |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | Yes | 33 | 48.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x61b0…ea7f | Yes | 29 | 34.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 82.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 82.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xa689…4253 | No | 5 | 76.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | 20 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 19 | 29.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0x37e4…3b66 | No | 3 | 67.9¢ | $3 | — |
| mctangelus0x20d2…3cc3 | Yes | 15 | 34.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Shekel0x3e56…35d5 | No | 2 | 56.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 27.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | Yes | 10 | 26.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | Yes | 10 | 26.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | Yes | 10 | 26.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ChebupeliFlex0x858b…a2ce | Yes | 10 | 42.5¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | Yes | 10 | 28.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe83c…0d7f | No | 2 | 61.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9a71…3020 | Yes | 6 | 49.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xce63…0889 | Yes | 6 | 17.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 5 | 49.0¢ | $1 | — |
| piggyramen0xa3b4…88df | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 5 | 37.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| agentcal0x42b7…abff | Yes | 5 | 36.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,595 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 3 | 26.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 2 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nonc0xf804…d2b7 | Yes | 2 | 63.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| brra0x9435…91fd | No | 0 | 79.7¢ | $0 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hollowbyte90x23fe…0b95 | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 0 | 31.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.