Market · 8 of 8 outcomes
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6666666p0xb989…d000 | No | 260 | 99.9¢ | $260 | — |
| 95a587b840x1e3a…968a | No | 180 | 99.9¢ | $180 | — |
| 78998720x88ec…59c2 | No | 178 | 99.9¢ | $178 | — |
| 6780020x224b…d2ce | No | 137 | 99.9¢ | $137 | — |
| 6c6800x7821…9676 | No | 136 | 99.9¢ | $136 | — |
| 8eE400xa8a9…eec2 | No | 135 | 99.9¢ | $135 | — |
| 890020xb4fd…df3f | No | 132 | 99.9¢ | $132 | — |
| hsixl0x2ef0…0837 | No | 129 | 99.9¢ | $129 | — |
| 0922340xc9f4…2117 | No | 129 | 99.9¢ | $129 | — |
| 666y7770xe3f9…f1b2 | No | 127 | 99.9¢ | $127 | — |
| 53f1c3a8746cB420xe878…fadd | No | 126 | 99.9¢ | $126 | — |
| yyyy33330xa78b…2060 | No | 124 | 99.9¢ | $124 | — |
| 360E9fb0xbd1f…02a3 | No | 123 | 99.9¢ | $123 | — |
| 25ae0x5584…c1cc | No | 122 | 99.9¢ | $122 | — |
| hhhh420xd481…f799 | No | 122 | 99.9¢ | $122 | — |
| B08390x2de6…98e1 | No | 121 | 99.9¢ | $121 | — |
| 13199e0x267b…ea9d | No | 120 | 99.9¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x75F0x7821…9636 | No | 113 | 99.9¢ | $113 | — |
| 696F80x3557…fefc | No | 112 | 99.9¢ | $112 | — |
| 0x2fc71c5ae58fe14c40x5f4b…f334 | No | 112 | 99.9¢ | $112 | — |
| tt1f0xb1a5…6610 | No | 112 | 99.9¢ | $112 | — |
| 3c1e0x4d7a…b4eb | No | 111 | 99.9¢ | $111 | — |
| 0xe1ce0x202d…5355 | No | 110 | 99.9¢ | $110 | — |
| fuk20x0da1…71e3 | No | 106 | 99.9¢ | $106 | — |
| 3257880x839c…256d | No | 104 | 99.9¢ | $104 | — |
| hh2210xfa8f…3195 | No | 102 | 99.9¢ | $102 | — |
| 581f70xc9f3…5b48 | No | 101 | 99.9¢ | $101 | — |
| 0xbd90x3189…4c97 | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | $100 | — |
| suosuojiu0x8387…f44c | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| 8887890xf614…a82c | No | 87 | 99.9¢ | $87 | — |
| xiaomimi10xfb20…d7b9 | No | 83 | 99.9¢ | $83 | — |
| 3.350x1219…14b0 | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| hh30x2c4f…2b3f | No | 69 | 99.9¢ | $69 | — |
| e4e60xf2af…6ea1 | No | 68 | 99.9¢ | $68 | — |
| 66677f0xb04a…6237 | No | 56 | 99.9¢ | $56 | — |
| diaomao20x1d33…d4ab | No | 54 | 99.9¢ | $54 | — |
| FGHFdsd0x7525…dd88 | No | 51 | 98.7¢ | $51 | — |
| BIDDEN0x3aba…ed23 | No | 32 | 99.9¢ | $32 | — |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 26 | 98.9¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 11,334 bets |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 49,751 | 0.1¢ | $25 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| rouchsng0xb7bf…6926 | No | 24 | 99.7¢ | $24 | — |
| wealth0x3da6…83c7 | No | 22 | 99.0¢ | $22 | — |
| lonny0xf88d…6055 | No | 20 | 98.9¢ | $20 | — |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | Yes | 40,357 | 2.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| hun2790x4537…fea5 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 34,029 | 0.2¢ | $17 | Positive+$16.56 per $100 · 11,141 bets |
| eerasdahgrhr54450x77ff…18b7 | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x42f0…fc65 | Yes | 23,179 | 0.4¢ | $12 | New61 settled bets |
| th9970x0309…22d1 | Yes | 22,299 | 0.6¢ | $11 | Losing−$34.23 per $100 · 115 bets |
| dfgwwjouiui0x2470…72c5 | No | 11 | 99.0¢ | $11 | — |
| sylee10x7d82…1263 | No | 11 | 99.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 28460xbf18…3a71 | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| galxegirl0xfe70…de8b | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| HsrtMmmdov80xaef6…eaa7 | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Wenkie30x0e4f…81a1 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.05 per $100 · 503 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 16,099 | 0.5¢ | $8 | Positive+$12.27 per $100 · 3,945 bets |
| BIGCATWIN0xcee9…68fb | Yes | 13,419 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xb3fb…a324 | Yes | 13,107 | 0.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x6f70…5948 | Yes | 12,922 | 0.2¢ | $6 | — |
| markdenes0x4089…99d5 | Yes | 8,203 | 0.1¢ | $4 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,021 | 3.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,587 bets |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | Yes | 5,357 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| Lucjano0x1ea1…17c1 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 4,838 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 4,710 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,013 bets |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 4,444 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| cc4160x8242…cb6e | Yes | 4,228 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$60.62 per $100 · 199 bets |
| arbarb1230x5894…c28e | Yes | 3,873 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| BobInvestments0x4181…de86 | Yes | 3,688 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.74 per $100 · 347 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,650 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,542 bets |
| pabss0xed2a…2606 | Yes | 3,485 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Terminatrader0xa8de…5976 | Yes | 3,333 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Safdar160x86f3…af44 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 2,862 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | 2,533 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 2,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,812 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 2,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| fabic-ai0x972d…99aa | Yes | 2,311 | 2.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 2,243 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.72 per $100 · 12,552 bets |
| xiaoguojun0xe624…5489 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,609 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.04 per $100 · 18,981 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 1,601 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,919 bets |
| LuigiIV0xb937…7092 | Yes | 1,589 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,487 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,829 bets |
| products0x8575…87fe | Yes | 1,396 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Mike30x1854…d1a3 | Yes | 1,250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9181…64ac | Yes | 1,250 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | Yes | 1,249 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 9,228 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 1,231 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| SomeOtherName0x8661…0e14 | Yes | 1,071 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SGLPNRSIO0x4c53…38f9 | Yes | 1,067 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| UncleFill0x1232…6158 | Yes | 1,011 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$24.71 per $100 · 453 bets |
| 0x36af…175f | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa08c…6a83 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb92b…0a74 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcc3d…b4c1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.