Market · 3 of 8 outcomes
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| alphainvestor0xee8b…64e7 | No | 2,500 | 95.2¢ | $2.46K | — |
| leo-20200x1882…fdb3 | No | 2,240 | 98.6¢ | $2.2K | New57 settled bets |
| BMM-10xdf1c…2ebb | Yes | 100,000 | 15.0¢ | $1.7K | — |
| presidentmaster0xdd10…416f | No | 1,655 | 84.5¢ | $1.63K | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| yanchu10xd785…2599 | No | 1,225 | 94.2¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x42f0…fc65 | Yes | 47,646 | 10.2¢ | $810 | New61 settled bets |
| SteveTheFish0xe917…9612 | Yes | 35,975 | 4.9¢ | $612 | — |
| InnovationEdu0x5b75…433b | No | 500 | 60.0¢ | $491 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 540 bets |
| Tharayman0x837b…ad2d | No | 200 | 85.5¢ | $197 | New2 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 193 | 92.5¢ | $190 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,039 bets |
| deah120x9c16…a981 | Yes | 11,125 | 12.0¢ | $189 | — |
| alternate010x5c4c…8131 | No | 150 | 87.3¢ | $147 | Losing−$4.41 per $100 · 128 bets |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | Yes | 7,681 | 32.9¢ | $131 | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 679 bets |
| placeholder630x6101…f85e | No | 125 | 84.5¢ | $123 | New22 settled bets |
| TomFung0x80cc…b5a4 | Yes | 7,143 | 7.3¢ | $121 | Losing−$18.31 per $100 · 482 bets |
| crypto-futur30x31cc…ea6b | No | 120 | 95.2¢ | $118 | New48 settled bets |
| superforecastor0x47e8…faea | Yes | 6,542 | 29.9¢ | $111 | New73 settled bets |
| 0x6074…8840 | No | 112 | 89.4¢ | $110 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xf96f…1f5c | Yes | 6,461 | 22.4¢ | $110 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,447 | 3.6¢ | $110 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,570 bets |
| SheldonLuis0x96df…1f97 | No | 111 | 90.0¢ | $109 | — |
| 0x4fa5…2962 | No | 110 | 50.0¢ | $108 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xbc30…59a3 | No | 110 | 91.3¢ | $108 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 105 | 58.0¢ | $103 | — |
| carlitosway1230x1abf…6024 | Yes | 6,047 | 32.4¢ | $103 | Losing−$7.78 per $100 · 117 bets |
| santashrek810x3fbc…30a4 | Yes | 6,000 | 13.4¢ | $102 | Positive+$6.78 per $100 · 177 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 5,878 | 4.8¢ | $100 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| 0x7806…ae3f | Yes | 5,573 | 10.3¢ | $95 | New57 settled bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 5,500 | 10.9¢ | $93 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,812 bets |
| 0xf986…9a43 | No | 94 | 50.0¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x90e1…59d9 | No | 91 | 50.0¢ | $89 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 5,026 | 2.7¢ | $85 | New62 settled bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 3,916 | 21.6¢ | $67 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| rwcoffee0xd8c1…16c0 | Yes | 3,511 | 17.6¢ | $60 | Losing−$18.99 per $100 · 605 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 3,443 | 14.2¢ | $59 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| EdgeOfChaos0x896a…7b9c | No | 59 | 91.5¢ | $58 | — |
| Darkkhaos0xc87b…9152 | No | 56 | 90.4¢ | $55 | — |
| Pmarket-2860x5e68…a66a | No | 55 | 91.3¢ | $54 | New41 settled bets |
| Copyright-10x235e…5673 | Yes | 3,100 | 13.6¢ | $53 | Losing−$4.42 per $100 · 2,197 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 50 | 88.0¢ | $49 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| disji0xe689…e085 | No | 46 | 90.4¢ | $45 | — |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | Yes | 2,568 | 15.0¢ | $44 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| SniperPro0xf88d…8935 | No | 44 | 92.8¢ | $44 | — |
| Jayshuai0x14ab…a6fd | Yes | 2,497 | 40.1¢ | $42 | New21 settled bets |
| midnighttrader0xc656…aa88 | Yes | 2,388 | 20.2¢ | $41 | — |
| RoughAnalytics0x8bfa…1e46 | No | 41 | 73.0¢ | $40 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 98.6¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,513 bets |
| liukun0x8f2d…e36f | No | 40 | 90.7¢ | $39 | — |
| axiuluohhh0xe34d…b134 | Yes | 2,240 | 8.5¢ | $38 | — |
| evrenucok0x925a…5373 | Yes | 2,200 | 28.0¢ | $37 | — |
| dlbbbdbdbdblw0x369a…0b41 | No | 38 | 84.5¢ | $37 | New35 settled bets |
| Randomnessjeep0xdd1f…c728 | Yes | 2,138 | 34.7¢ | $36 | — |
| ryzq1120x2225…bee7 | Yes | 1,968 | 4.7¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 655 bets |
| ilovethefuturesomuch0xfc2d…063f | Yes | 1,927 | 25.9¢ | $33 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | No | 33 | 84.5¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 1,800 | 12.5¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xcc81…da07 | Yes | 1,776 | 9.8¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,652 | 14.1¢ | $28 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| beida0xb29b…3904 | No | 28 | 95.2¢ | $28 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 1,600 | 2.6¢ | $27 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| Bobbmon0x2657…4af5 | Yes | 1,600 | 26.0¢ | $27 | New98 settled bets |
| 0x46f2…2dcf | No | 28 | 84.9¢ | $27 | New24 settled bets |
| Sly0x3dd1…ac3f | Yes | 1,569 | 34.4¢ | $27 | Positive+$9.36 per $100 · 194 bets |
| 0x2ef8…5e0a | Yes | 1,320 | 7.4¢ | $22 | New0 settled bets |
| Shashama0x1047…7dd9 | No | 22 | 90.4¢ | $22 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 204 bets |
| ethmar0xf261…a709 | Yes | 1,282 | 23.9¢ | $22 | — |
| RojasBurgos0xa1c4…e5ed | No | 21 | 94.2¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 1,231 | 1.9¢ | $21 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| 9-110x5f79…3256 | No | 21 | 94.2¢ | $21 | New50 settled bets |
| 0xe5f0…dc1d | Yes | 1,229 | 21.6¢ | $21 | Losing−$9.81 per $100 · 4,372 bets |
| g33klord2k0x37ff…2625 | No | 21 | 95.2¢ | $21 | New49 settled bets |
| imjustalarp0x57e4…835e | Yes | 1,205 | 33.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$2.64 per $100 · 477 bets |
| okissqqd0xc98f…97c1 | Yes | 1,160 | 10.0¢ | $20 | — |
| variousthings0x03b3…9aaf | Yes | 1,150 | 11.0¢ | $20 | New9 settled bets |
| GarlicVillage0x29b8…b564 | No | 20 | 87.2¢ | $19 | New54 settled bets |
| Bukrev0xd9c8…c658 | Yes | 1,122 | 11.2¢ | $19 | — |
| Willhappen0xada4…48ba | Yes | 1,121 | 28.5¢ | $19 | — |
| minx60xede3…2f81 | Yes | 1,089 | 11.0¢ | $19 | — |
| ioxxdccdxa0xe3c8…0af5 | Yes | 1,020 | 10.0¢ | $17 | — |
| WXY1810xc35f…f0e6 | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $17 | — |
| allenddcs0x29e4…16a6 | Yes | 1,000 | 11.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$10.90 per $100 · 202 bets |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | Yes | 1,000 | 6.2¢ | $17 | Proven+$32.96 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| bobo20250x6507…7d79 | Yes | 1,000 | 12.0¢ | $17 | New27 settled bets |
| disscok0xdf8d…189c | Yes | 1,000 | 11.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 978 | 9.4¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x650300x9bab…5e85 | No | 15 | 87.0¢ | $15 | — |
| SunMoonStars0xf093…2609 | No | 15 | 67.0¢ | $15 | — |
| HankS0xc877…05b4 | No | 14 | 64.0¢ | $14 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 14 | 74.2¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 50,803 bets |
| geyhfge120xb956…4b7f | No | 14 | 85.5¢ | $14 | — |
| miilong90xd440…166e | No | 12 | 95.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Biomaster0x4add…8cdf | No | 12 | 86.9¢ | $11 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 11 | 87.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| notmarketmaker0x06ae…f059 | No | 10 | 87.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 14,913 bets |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | 52 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| chenlin20250x088f…dddd | Yes | 36 | 35.0¢ | $1 | New8 settled bets |
| ktv.020xeab5…f570 | Yes | 29 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| sherry460x4556…3f06 | Yes | 5 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.34 per $100 · 122 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.